OSBORN, DAN
I · senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4NE00207- Internal id
2158a4f5-8e11-40bf-87d3-b9accf25218f- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Nebraska. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 1,978,707 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $76,475 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,751 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.456 |
| Race | White alone | 77.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 12.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 87.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.4% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.3% |
| Household | Family households | 62.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $238,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,072 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 76.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3,856,315 | $2,784,329 | $1,135,152 | $10,390 | $3,708,127 |
| 2024 | $15,129,327 | $15,066,161 | $63,166 | $9,000 | $14,362,160 |
Elections
- 2024 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
- 2024 general senate · NE-S — running
- 2024 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
- 2024 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
- 2024 general senate · NE-S — running
- 2024 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
- 2026 general senate · NE-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NE-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NE-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NE-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NE-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NE-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NE-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NE-S — running
Committees
- CONSERVATIVES FOR OSBORN — principal · type S
- OSBORN FOR SENATE — principal · type S
- OSBORN FOR SENATE 2024 — principal · type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 13.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $13,230,686 | $8,855,091 | 284 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | support | $3,750 | Video Production (Estimate) |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | support | $3,750 | Video Production (Estimate) |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | support | $3,750 | Video Production (Estimate) |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | support | $6,000 | Video Production (Estimate) |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | support | $35,000 | Phonebanking (Estimate) |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | support | $3,750 | Video Production (Estimate) |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | support | $7,500 | Video Production (Estimate) |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | support | $7,500 | Video Production (Estimate) |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | support | $7,500 | Video Production (Estimate) |
| — | RED SENATE | oppose | $10,000 | IE MEDIA PLACEMENT/VIDEO ADS |
| — | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | oppose | $115,225 | Advertising |
| — | GENBLUE PAC | support | $30,000 | Text Messages (Estimate) |
| — | GENBLUE PAC | support | $12,000 | Text Messages (Estimate) |
| — | GENBLUE PAC | support | $40,000 | Text Messages (Estimate) |
| — | GENBLUE PAC | support | $50,000 | Text Messages (Estimate) |
| — | GENBLUE PAC | support | $35,000 | Text Messages (Estimate) |
| — | GENBLUE PAC | support | $40,000 | Text Messages (Estimate) |
| — | ESAFUND | oppose | $48,196 | media production |
| — | DUNN'S DEMOCRACY DEFENDERS | support | $100,000 | Text Messages |
| — | DUNN'S DEMOCRACY DEFENDERS | support | $45,000 | Text Messages (Estimate) |
| — | CFFE PAC | support | $215,000 | Telephone Calls - Estimate |
| — | CFFE PAC | support | $10,000 | Text Messages - Estimate |
| — | BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT | support | $60,000 | Text Messages (Estimate) |
| — | BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT | support | $7,500 | Text Messages (Estimate) |
| — | BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT | support | $10,000 | Text Messages (Estimate) |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee OSBORN FOR SENATE.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| KEOWN, JOHN | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | TULSA, OK | 2 | $6,500 |
| ABRAMSON, ANNE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $3,500 |
| ABRAMSON, RONALD | BUCHANAN, INGERSOLL & ROONEY, PC · ATTORNEY | WASHINGTON, DC | 1 | $3,500 |
| SAMUELSON, CHARLES | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | PENDER, NE | 1 | $2,500 |
| PETERSON, LISA DROZD | CAPITAL MEDICAL CLINIC · PHYSICIAN | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $1,000 |
| LIEBEN, THOMAS GEOFFREY | SLOWIACZEK ALBERS · ATTORNEY | OMAHA, NE | 1 | $1,000 |
| NELSON, JODI A. | SOUTHEAST COMMUNITY COLLEGE · NURSE | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $1,000 |
| GARRISON, MARY C. | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $1,000 |
| POWERS, VINCE M. | SELF-EMPLOYED · ATTORNEY | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $1,000 |
| KIBLER, STEVEN | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | ALAMEDA, CA | 2 | $700 |
| ROCK, EILEEN D. | LINCOLN FAMILY WELLNESS · PHYSICIAN | BRAINARD, NE | 1 | $500 |
| MEYERS, MARIE L. | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | OMAHA, NE | 1 | $500 |
| ALLING, ALBERT M. | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | ARLINGTON, VA | 1 | $500 |
| HOELLWARTH, LARRY A. | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | CHICAGO, IL | 1 | $500 |
| RACHETER, BRUCE | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | CHICO, CA | 1 | $500 |
| PIETRINI, SEAN D. | LINCOLN RADIOLOGY GROUP · PHYSICIAN | KEARNEY, NE | 1 | $500 |
| ARCHIBALD, GILES | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | STAMFORD, CT | 1 | $500 |
| MANNING, MICHELLE K. | LINCOLN FAMILY WELLNESS · PHYSICIAN | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $500 |
| FULTON, MICHAEL | SELF-EMPLOYED · SALES | GOLDEN, CO | 2 | $500 |
| DURYEE, CORNELIA | SELF-EMPLOYED · FILMMAKER | SEATTLE, WA | 1 | $500 |
| EWING, FREDERIC | LAWRENCE LIVERMORE NATIONAL SECURITY · ENGINEER | SAN LEANDRO, CA | 1 | $500 |
| FELDMAN, RICHARD M. | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | OMAHA, NE | 1 | $500 |
| MOLLHOFF, WAYNE J. | — | ASHLAND, NE | 1 | $500 |
| WILLIAMS, DAVID M. | DOANE UNIVERSITY · PROFESSOR | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $500 |
| ZIMMERMAN, GLORIA | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | LINCOLN, NE | 1 | $500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $3,750 | fec_ies | |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $7,500 | fec_ies | |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $3,750 | fec_ies | |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $7,500 | fec_ies | |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $35,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $3,750 | fec_ies | |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $3,750 | fec_ies | |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $6,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $7,500 | fec_ies | |
| — | RED SENATE | opposes_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | opposes_independently | $115,225 | fec_ies | |
| — | GENBLUE PAC | supports_independently | $40,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | GENBLUE PAC | supports_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | GENBLUE PAC | supports_independently | $12,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | GENBLUE PAC | supports_independently | $35,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | GENBLUE PAC | supports_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | GENBLUE PAC | supports_independently | $40,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | ESAFUND | opposes_independently | $48,196 | fec_ies | |
| — | DUNN'S DEMOCRACY DEFENDERS | supports_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | DUNN'S DEMOCRACY DEFENDERS | supports_independently | $45,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT | supports_independently | $60,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | CFFE PAC | supports_independently | $215,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | CFFE PAC | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| — | BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT | supports_independently | $7,500 | fec_ies | |
| — | BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT | supports_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-03-31 | YINZER PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-31 | HEARTLAND PATRIOTS | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-20 | UA UNION PLUMBERS & PIPEFITTERS VOTE! PAC (UNITED ASSOCIATION OF JOURNEYMEN AND APPRENTICES OF THE PLUMBING & PIPEFITTING INDUSTRY OF THE UNITED STATES AND CANADA) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-19 | SIERRA CLUB INDEPENDENT ACTION | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-10 | A NEW POLICY PAC | contributed_to | $237 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-10 | AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $625 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-06 | WAY BACK PAC | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-06 | WAY BACK PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-05 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-26 | AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $625 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-17 | MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MACHINISTS & AEROSPACE WORKERS | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-17 | AMERICAN POSTAL WORKERS UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL ACTION | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-12 | KIND FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-10 | WORKING CLASS HEROES FUND | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-21 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-15 | AMERICAN ASSOCIATION FOR JUSTICE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AAJ PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-11 | AMERICAN POSTAL WORKERS UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL ACTION | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-04 | LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $50 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-29 | NEA FUND FOR CHILDREN AND PUBLIC EDUCATION | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-23 | HEARTLAND PATRIOTS | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-20 | BAKERY, CONFECTIONERY, TOBACCO WORKERS AND GRAIN MILLERS INTERNATIONAL UNION PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-30 | TREASURE STATE PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-29 | WARREN FOR SENATE, INC. | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-29 | DEMOCRACY SUMMER LEADERSHIP PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-24 | AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, AFL-CIO COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-22 | INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF SHEET METAL, AIR, RAIL AND TRANSPORTATION WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION LEAGUE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-02 | AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-28 | THE MAJORITY RULES | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-26 | AMERICAN POSTAL WORKERS UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL ACTION | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-10 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | contributed_to | $37 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-09 | THE PEOPLE UNITED PAC | contributed_to | $75 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-07 | WAY BACK PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-02-10 | DAVIS DEMOCRATIC CLUB | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-01-15 | RED SENATE | contributed_to | $9,999 | pas2 | |
| 2024-12-12 | HEARTLAND RESURGENCE | opposes_independently | $17,405 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-05 | BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT | supports_independently | $11,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-04 | COMMON DEFENSE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $29,548 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-04 | COMMON DEFENSE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $18,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-04 | GENBLUE PAC | supports_independently | $22,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-04 | BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT | supports_independently | $45,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-03 | ESAFUND | opposes_independently | $11,469 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-02 | BLUE BATTLEGROUND PROJECT | supports_independently | $75,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-01 | GENBLUE PAC | supports_independently | $75,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-01 | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $87,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-01 | ESAFUND | opposes_independently | $15,677 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-30 | RAILROADERS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY | supports_independently | $3,938 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-30 | COMMON DEFENSE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $76,775 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-30 | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $30,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-30 | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $70,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-30 | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $325,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-30 | WORKING AMERICA | supports_independently | $8,156 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-30 | DUNN'S DEMOCRACY DEFENDERS | supports_independently | $20,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-30 | DUNN'S DEMOCRACY DEFENDERS | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-30 | COMMON DEFENSE ACTION FUND | supports_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-29 | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $15 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-29 | RAILROADERS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY | supports_independently | $6,666 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-29 | GENBLUE PAC | supports_independently | $9,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-29 | ESAFUND | opposes_independently | $19,739 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-29 | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $174,985 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-29 | ESAFUND | opposes_independently | $23,039 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-29 | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $75,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | RAILROADERS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY | supports_independently | $120,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | RAILROADERS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY | supports_independently | $4,456 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | RAILROADERS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY | supports_independently | $4,456 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | GENBLUE PAC | supports_independently | $20,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | RAILROADERS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY | supports_independently | $100,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | RAILROADERS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY | supports_independently | $1,907 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | RAILROADERS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY | supports_independently | $2,321 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | RAILROADERS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY | supports_independently | $3,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | RAILROADERS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY | supports_independently | $555 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | RAILROADERS FOR PUBLIC SAFETY | supports_independently | $1,907 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $500,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $499,955 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-28 | RETIRE CAREER POLITICIANS | supports_independently | $17 | fec_ies |
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | OSBORN FOR SENATE 2024 | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | principal_candidate_of | CONSERVATIVES FOR OSBORN | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | principal_candidate_of | OSBORN FOR SENATE INC | — | candidate_committees |