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KUNIANSKY, JOANNE

OTHER Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S4NJ00144
Internal id
5691e42e-ac55-4c3a-be68-42cf19cb36e2

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), New Jersey. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation9,343,809
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$103,556
IncomePer-capita income$54,253
IncomeIn poverty9.7%
IncomeUnemployed6.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.478
RaceWhite alone54.0%
RaceBlack alone12.8%
RaceAsian alone10.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino22.5%
RaceTwo or more races12.4%
OriginForeign-born23.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home66.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home17.2%
EducationHigh school or higher68.9%
EducationBachelor's or higher43.6%
EducationAdvanced degree17.6%
HouseholdFamily households67.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.62
HouseholdNever married (15+)34.9%
HousingMedian home value$454,400
HousingMedian gross rent$1,720
HousingSingle-family detached52.6%
HousingBuilt before 19406.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)4.0%
HousingVacant units7.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)3.7%
HealthWith a disability10.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband92.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.4%
CommuteDrove alone62.2%
CommutePublic transit8.1%
CommuteWorked from home16.8%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 13.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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