PERKINS, JO RAE
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4OR00156- Internal id
5518152e-b981-4499-aca5-2cb5200b79e9- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Oregon. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 4,254,293 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $83,011 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $45,612 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.463 |
| Race | White alone | 74.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.5% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 14.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 12.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 84.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 9.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.1% |
| Household | Family households | 61.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $477,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,525 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 62.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 5.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 92.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 64.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.2% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $9,106 | $7,895 | $1,591 | $3,540 | $8,146 |
| 2024 | $0 | $2,819 | $319 | $4,040 | $0 |
| 2022 | $125,792 | $148,513 | $3,138 | $5,640 | $120,735 |
| 2020 | $142,924 | $117,246 | $25,859 | $7,140 | $120,540 |
| 2016 | $287 | $120 | $0 | $0 | $100 |
| 2014 | $13,458 | $11,424 | $2,029 | $1,343 | $8,539 |
Elections
- 2014 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2014 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2014 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2014 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2014 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OR-S β lost_general
- 2022 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2022 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· OR-S β running
- 2026 general senate Β· OR-S β running
Committees
- JO RAE PERKINS FOR US SENATE β principal Β· type S
- JO RAE PERKINS FOR US SENATOR β principal Β· type S
- PERKINS FOR OREGON β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-19 | WINRED | 24K | $-30 |
| 2022-10-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-10-13 | OREGON RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY PAC | 24E | $1,936 |
| 2022-09-27 | OREGON RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY PAC | 24E | $1,482 |
| 2022-09-27 | OREGON RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY PAC | 24E | $243 |
| 2022-09-21 | OREGON RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY PAC | 24E | $114 |
| 2022-09-18 | WINRED | 24K | $-75 |
| 2022-08-01 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-07-23 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2022-07-23 | WINRED | 24K | $-25 |
| 2021-10-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2021-10-27 | WINRED | 24K | $-15 |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24A | $8 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (13)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-11-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-30 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-13 | OREGON RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY PAC | contributed_to | $1,936 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-27 | OREGON RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY PAC | contributed_to | $243 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-27 | OREGON RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY PAC | contributed_to | $1,482 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-21 | OREGON RIGHT TO LIFE VICTORY PAC | contributed_to | $114 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-18 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-75 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-27 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 |
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JO RAE PERKINS FOR US SENATOR | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JO RAE PERKINS FOR US SENATE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | PERKINS FOR OREGON | β | candidate_committees |