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THARON CHANDLER

I Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S4TN00583
Internal id
0ea5969b-d8c9-4c20-8ada-027646f4de4d

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Tennessee. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation7,066,383
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$69,595
IncomePer-capita income$39,437
IncomeIn poverty13.8%
IncomeUnemployed4.7%
IncomeGini inequality index0.476
RaceWhite alone72.4%
RaceBlack alone15.6%
RaceAsian alone1.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino7.4%
RaceTwo or more races7.0%
OriginForeign-born6.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home91.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home5.2%
EducationHigh school or higher62.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher31.1%
EducationAdvanced degree11.7%
HouseholdFamily households64.2%
HouseholdAvg household size2.45
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.2%
HousingMedian home value$286,700
HousingMedian gross rent$1,189
HousingSingle-family detached68.3%
HousingBuilt before 19403.9%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.2%
HousingVacant units10.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.3%
HealthWith a disability14.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband89.2%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet8.2%
CommuteDrove alone75.8%
CommutePublic transit0.4%
CommuteWorked from home12.9%

Elections

Committees

No committees on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 13.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

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