ALLRED, COLIN

D · senate

FEC candidate id: S4TX00722
Internal id: 48f07826-fea7-479b-aa14-0482ce1e3f43
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Texas. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	30,188,424
People	Median age	36
Income	Median household income	$78,476
Income	Per-capita income	$40,752
Income	In poverty	13.8%
Income	Unemployed	5.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.478
Race	White alone	48.5%
Race	Black alone	12.2%
Race	Asian alone	5.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	39.7%
Race	Two or more races	23.5%
Origin	Foreign-born	17.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	64.9%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	28.1%
Education	High school or higher	58.1%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	33.8%
Education	Advanced degree	12.3%
Household	Family households	67.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.69
Household	Never married (15+)	34.1%
Housing	Median home value	$283,800
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,403
Housing	Single-family detached	64.4%
Housing	Built before 1940	2.7%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	4.8%
Housing	Vacant units	9.4%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.2%
Health	With a disability	12.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	91.3%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.3%
Commute	Drove alone	71.4%
Commute	Public transit	0.9%
Commute	Worked from home	14.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$7,628,922	$7,761,104	$11,952	$0	$6,648,566
2024	$94,674,183	$94,530,048	$144,135	$0	$85,341,900

Elections

2024 general senate · TX-S — running
2024 general senate · TX-S — lost_general
2024 general senate · TX-S — lost_general
2024 general senate · TX-S — lost_general
2024 general senate · TX-S — running
2024 general senate · TX-S — running
2024 general senate · TX-S — lost_general
2024 general senate · TX-S — lost_general
2024 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S · 2026-11-03 — running
2026 general senate · TX-S · 2026-11-03 — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running
2026 general senate · TX-S — running

Committees

ALLRED FOR TEXAS 2026 — principal · type S
FRIENDS OF COLIN ALLRED 2024 — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$19,007	$0	1
2024	$11,654,681	$37,076,228	252

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD TEXAS VOTES VICTORY FUND	support	$19,007	Printing (Estimate)
—	WINSENATE	support	$2,462,417	Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$186,100	Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$575,000	Digital Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$891,250	Digital Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$3,500	Media Production Costs - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$250	Media Production Costs - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$3,740	Media Production Costs - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$9,500	Digital Media Production Costs - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$226,250	Digital Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$2,462,417	Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$1,968	Digital Media Production Costs - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$6,582	Digital Media Production Costs - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$795,000	Digital Media Buy & Production Costs - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$9,500	Digital Media Production Costs - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$575,000	Digital Media Buy - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$2,892	Media Production Costs - Estimate
—	WINSENATE	support	$1,878,088	Media Buy - Estimate
—	VOTAR ES PODER PAC	support	$25,355	IE - Allred - Paid Canvass (estimate)
—	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$4,500	Advertising (Estimate)
—	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$136,682	Canvassing (Estimate)
—	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMI…	support	$63,741	Staff Time (Estimate)
—	REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM FOR ALL FREEDOM FUND	support	$43	Phone Calls (Estimate)
—	REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM FOR ALL FREEDOM FUND	support	$255	Staff Time (Estimate)
—	REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM FOR ALL FREEDOM FUND	support	$4	Phone Calls (Estimate)

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-03-31	HOULAPAC	24K	$2,000
2026-02-28	INT'L UNION OF BRICKLAYERS AND ALLIED CRAFTWORK…	24K	$-5,000
2025-10-16	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONA…	24K	$5,000
2025-10-16	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONA…	24K	$5,000
2025-10-01	FEMINIST MAJORITY PAC	24K	$-1,000
2025-09-30	HOULAPAC	24K	$1,000
2025-09-30	BUILDING RELATIONSHIPS IN DIVERSE GEOGRAPHIC EN…	24K	$2,500
2025-07-24	JDCA PAC	24K	$500
2025-03-10	STAND UP FOR WORKERS PAC	24K	$-5,000
2025-01-15	RED SENATE	24A	$14,999

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee ALLRED FOR TEXAS 2026.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
CLARK, ALFRED	—	PALM BEACH, FL	1	$7,000
SKINNER, STEPHEN	PUBLIC CONSULTING GROUP, LLC · MARKETING	BOSTON, MA	2	$7,000
FORD, ARLENE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	DALLAS, TX	2	$7,000
ADDY, WILLIAM	ISN SOFTWARE CORPORATION · MANAGER	DALLAS, TX	2	$7,000
TOBIAS, ANDREW	SELF EMPLOYED · WRITER	NEW YORK, NY	2	$7,000
HILBERT, ANNE	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	LAKEWAY, TX	2	$5,000
FAYKUS, CHADWICK	CAVALCADE CAPITAL · FINANCE	HOUSTON, TX	2	$5,000
MULLEN, JOHN	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	DALLAS, TX	1	$3,500
ROGERS, JAMES	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SOUTHPORT, CT	1	$3,500
MARSHALL, LESLIE	MEI MAIL SERVICES · BUSINESS OWNER	PLANO, TX	1	$3,500
LYNCH, LORETTA	PAUL WEISS RIFKIND WHARTON & GARRISON · ATTORNEY	NEW YORK, NY	1	$3,500
LORENTS, EVELYN	SELF EMPLOYED · PHYSICIAN	PLANO, TX	1	$3,500
JAY, AMANDA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	CEDAR HILL, TX	1	$3,500
ELKINS, JENNY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	HOUSTON, TX	2	$3,500
RICE, EDWARD	SELF EMPLOYED · ATTORNEY	DALLAS, TX	1	$3,500
HOWARD, MARCIA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	DALLAS, TX	1	$3,100
RITTER, TIM	GI ALLIANCE · PHYSICIAN	COPPELL, TX	1	$2,500
SCOTT, ROBERT	BLANK ROME, LLP · ATTORNEY	HOUSTON, TX	1	$2,500
EULICH, LINDA	BELMONT GROUP · MARKETING	DALLAS, TX	1	$2,500
FALIK, BILL	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	BERKELEY, CA	1	$2,000
MCCARTY, REBECCA	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	SAN ANTONIO, TX	1	$2,000
MEYERS, MARIA TERESA	NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED	VENICE, FL	1	$2,000
FASKEN, ANDY	NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED	PARIS, TX	2	$1,500
JAMES, BRIGETTE	—	DALLAS, TX	1	$1,500
KIM, KAREN	UNIVERSITY OF TEXAS HEALTH AUSTIN · PHYSICIAN	AUSTIN, TX	1	$1,500

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	PLANNED PARENTHOOD TEXAS VOTES VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$19,007	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$2,892	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$2,462,417	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$3,740	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$795,000	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$226,250	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$575,000	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$1,968	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$1,878,088	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$6,582	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$9,500	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$575,000	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$3,500	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$186,100	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$891,250	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$250	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$9,500	fec_ies
—	WINSENATE	supports_independently	$2,462,417	fec_ies
—	VOTAR ES PODER PAC	supports_independently	$25,355	fec_ies
—	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$136,682	fec_ies
—	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$4,500	fec_ies
—	TEXAS ORGANIZING PROJECT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	supports_independently	$63,741	fec_ies
—	REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM FOR ALL FREEDOM FUND	supports_independently	$4	fec_ies
—	REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM FOR ALL FREEDOM FUND	supports_independently	$1,700	fec_ies
—	REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM FOR ALL FREEDOM FUND	supports_independently	$255	fec_ies
—	REPRODUCTIVE FREEDOM FOR ALL FREEDOM FUND	supports_independently	$43	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$46,496	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$37,044	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$11,303	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$43,887	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$26,810	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$12,195	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$15,000	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$5,898	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$21,966	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$2,936	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$28,280	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$9,487	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$2,383	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$12,654	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$27,109	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$42,671	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$5,836	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$11,821	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$1,703	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$13,231	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$16,334	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$7,855	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$13,531	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$32,647	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$6,346	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$7,571	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$3,818	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$47,637	fec_ies
—	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$11,981	fec_ies
—	LET AMERICA VOTE PAC	supports_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
—	LET AMERICA VOTE PAC	supports_independently	$24,000	fec_ies
—	LET AMERICA VOTE PAC	supports_independently	$1,400	fec_ies
—	HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN EQUALITY VOTES PAC	supports_independently	$15	fec_ies
—	HUMAN RIGHTS CAMPAIGN EQUALITY VOTES PAC	supports_independently	$15	fec_ies
—	END CITIZENS UNITED	supports_independently	$1,417	fec_ies
—	END CITIZENS UNITED	supports_independently	$80,000	fec_ies
—	END CITIZENS UNITED	supports_independently	$1,400	fec_ies
—	END CITIZENS UNITED	supports_independently	$16,800	fec_ies
—	DEMOCRATIC VICTORY PAC, INC.	supports_independently	$1,975	fec_ies
—	BRADY PAC	supports_independently	$1,000	fec_ies
—	AMERICANS FOR CONTRACEPTION VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$60,000	fec_ies
2026-03-31	HOULAPAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-28	INT'L UNION OF BRICKLAYERS AND ALLIED CRAFTWORKERS	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-10-16	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION ACTIVE BALLOT CLUB	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-10-16	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION ACTIVE BALLOT CLUB	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-10-01	FEMINIST MAJORITY PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2025-09-30	HOULAPAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-09-30	BUILDING RELATIONSHIPS IN DIVERSE GEOGRAPHIC ENVIRONMENTS PAC (BRIDGE PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2025-07-24	JDCA PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2025-03-10	STAND UP FOR WORKERS PAC	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-01-15	RED SENATE	contributed_to	$14,999	pas2
2024-11-04	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$9,000	fec_ies
2024-11-04	TRUTH AND COURAGE PAC	opposes_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
2024-11-04	TRUTH AND COURAGE PAC	opposes_independently	$24,305	fec_ies
2024-11-02	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$2,000	fec_ies
2024-11-02	TRUTH AND COURAGE PAC	opposes_independently	$15,270	fec_ies
2024-11-01	TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC	opposes_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2024-11-01	TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC	opposes_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2024-11-01	TRUTH AND COURAGE PAC	opposes_independently	$11,878	fec_ies
2024-11-01	TEXAS ALLIANCE FOR LIFE FED PAC	opposes_independently	$5,000	fec_ies
2024-11-01	TRUTH AND COURAGE PAC	opposes_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
2024-10-31	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$2,000	fec_ies
2024-10-31	PLANNED PARENTHOOD TEXAS VOTES VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$2,350	fec_ies
2024-10-31	NOVEMBER COALITION	supports_independently	$10,589	fec_ies
2024-10-31	TRUTH AND COURAGE PAC	opposes_independently	$53,120	fec_ies
2024-10-31	TRUTH AND COURAGE PAC	opposes_independently	$175,000	fec_ies
2024-10-31	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	supports_independently	$834	fec_ies
2024-10-31	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
2024-10-31	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
2024-10-31	RED SENATE	opposes_independently	$200,000	fec_ies
2024-10-30	THEY SEE BLUE	supports_independently	$378	fec_ies
2024-10-30	NOVEMBER COALITION	supports_independently	$16,049	fec_ies
2024-10-30	JDCA PAC	supports_independently	$2,250	fec_ies
2024-10-29	WORKING FAMILIES PARTY PAC	supports_independently	$2,000	fec_ies

Outbound (2)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	ALLRED FOR TEXAS 2026	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	FRIENDS OF COLIN ALLRED 2024	—		candidate_committees

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