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BROWN, THEODORE E. JR.

L Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S4TX00888
Internal id
637b85d4-6ca5-4228-8ff1-390574e03cbf
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Texas. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation30,188,424
PeopleMedian age36
IncomeMedian household income$78,476
IncomePer-capita income$40,752
IncomeIn poverty13.8%
IncomeUnemployed5.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.478
RaceWhite alone48.5%
RaceBlack alone12.2%
RaceAsian alone5.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino39.7%
RaceTwo or more races23.5%
OriginForeign-born17.6%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home64.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home28.1%
EducationHigh school or higher58.1%
EducationBachelor's or higher33.8%
EducationAdvanced degree12.3%
HouseholdFamily households67.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.69
HouseholdNever married (15+)34.1%
HousingMedian home value$283,800
HousingMedian gross rent$1,403
HousingSingle-family detached64.4%
HousingBuilt before 19402.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)4.8%
HousingVacant units9.4%
ServiceVeterans (18+)6.2%
HealthWith a disability12.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.3%
CommuteDrove alone71.4%
CommutePublic transit0.9%
CommuteWorked from home14.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$6,200$5,258$1,010$0$1,200
2024$13,994$13,926$68$0$8,794

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 13.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$150,011$04

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
2024-10-30SAVE WESTERN CULTUREsupport$14,250Digital Advertising
2024-10-30SAVE WESTERN CULTUREsupport$3,688Digital Advertising
2024-10-24SAVE WESTERN CULTUREsupport$14,250Digital Advertising
2024-10-17SAVE WESTERN CULTUREsupport$117,824Direct Mail Advertising

Connected on the graph

Inbound (4)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2024-10-30SAVE WESTERN CULTUREsupports_independently$14,250fec_ies
2024-10-30SAVE WESTERN CULTUREsupports_independently$3,688fec_ies
2024-10-24SAVE WESTERN CULTUREsupports_independently$14,250fec_ies
2024-10-17SAVE WESTERN CULTUREsupports_independently$117,824fec_ies

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofTED BROWN ELECTION COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees

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