PARKINSON, SCOTT THOMAS
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S4VA00312- Internal id
90513171-baa7-46b0-a77c-4450b73b544d- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Virginia. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 8,705,170 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $93,170 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $50,666 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.471 |
| Race | White alone | 60.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 18.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 13.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 82.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 66.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 42.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.5% |
| Household | Family households | 64.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.52 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $383,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,579 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 61.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.1% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 9.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 2.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $7,017 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $999,121 | $992,104 | $7,017 | $18,554 | $871,129 |
Elections
- 2024 general senate Β· VA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· VA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· VA-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· VA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· VA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· VA-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· VA-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· VA-S β lost_general
- 2024 general senate Β· VA-S β running
Committees
- PARKINSON FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $468,835 | $0 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-07 | VIRGINIA NOW | support | $9,722 | Media Production |
| 2024-06-04 | VIRGINIA NOW | support | $459,113 | Media Placement |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (2)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-07 | VIRGINIA NOW | supports_independently | $9,722 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-06-04 | VIRGINIA NOW | supports_independently | $459,113 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | PARKINSON FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |