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HUTCHINSON, TIM

R Β· senate Β· bioguide H001015

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FEC candidate id
S6AR00124
Internal id
25ec58b0-6ab1-4653-b4ba-a287888a5b61
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Arkansas. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation3,049,391
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$60,773
IncomePer-capita income$34,225
IncomeIn poverty16.0%
IncomeUnemployed4.9%
IncomeGini inequality index0.479
RaceWhite alone69.2%
RaceBlack alone14.7%
RaceAsian alone1.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino9.0%
RaceTwo or more races10.3%
OriginForeign-born5.4%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home91.7%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.1%
EducationHigh school or higher59.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher25.7%
EducationAdvanced degree9.5%
HouseholdFamily households64.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.46
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.8%
HousingMedian home value$188,000
HousingMedian gross rent$947
HousingSingle-family detached70.0%
HousingBuilt before 19403.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.7%
HousingVacant units13.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.4%
HealthWith a disability18.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband86.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet10.5%
CommuteDrove alone78.9%
CommutePublic transit0.3%
CommuteWorked from home8.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2008$326$54$6,848$0$0
2006$171$4,664$6,574$0$0
2004$15,485$42,231$11,068$0$0
2002$4,869,537$5,063,923$31,060$0$2,818,775
2000$338,437$169,374$232,198$0$186,209
1998$170,443$193,110$63,135$0$82,800
1996$1,691,276$1,605,473$85,802$0$920,732

Elections

Committees

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Sponsored & cosponsored bills

No sponsorships on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (6)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofHUTCHINSON VICTORY COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofHUTCHINSON AND ARKANSAS VICTORY COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofGREAT NORTHWEST CLASSIC COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofW/N 2002 C0MMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofW/N 2001 COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofHUTCHINSON FOR SENATEβ€”candidate_committees

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