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ALCORN, ETHAN WELD MR

OTHER Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S6ME00423
Internal id
5a49d7a7-0bcb-4c90-87ff-c005397d97bc
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Maine. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation1,387,817
PeopleMedian age45
IncomeMedian household income$74,733
IncomePer-capita income$43,742
IncomeIn poverty10.8%
IncomeUnemployed3.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.456
RaceWhite alone90.5%
RaceBlack alone1.8%
RaceAsian alone1.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino2.2%
RaceTwo or more races5.3%
OriginForeign-born4.1%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home94.0%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home1.0%
EducationHigh school or higher66.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher36.2%
EducationAdvanced degree13.7%
HouseholdFamily households60.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.26
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.1%
HousingMedian home value$296,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,139
HousingSingle-family detached70.0%
HousingBuilt before 19404.4%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.4%
HousingVacant units20.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)8.4%
HealthWith a disability15.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet7.0%
CommuteDrove alone70.8%
CommutePublic transit0.5%
CommuteWorked from home15.9%

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 13.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofETHAN FOR U.S. SENATEβ€”candidate_committees

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