WHATLEY, MICHAEL
R · senate
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- FEC candidate id
S6NC00415- Internal id
a990d2c2-0668-478a-a358-b64561e75e39- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), North Carolina. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 10,730,404 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,388 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,385 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.6% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.477 |
| Race | White alone | 61.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 20.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 8.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 9.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 8.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.4% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.5% |
| Household | Family households | 64.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.44 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $288,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,228 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 12.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 71.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $8,410,252 | $5,881,909 | $2,528,343 | $666,374 | $3,752,923 |
Elections
- 2026 general senate · NC-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NC-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NC-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NC-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NC-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NC-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NC-S — running
- 2026 general senate · NC-S — running
Committees
- WHATLEY FOR NC SENATE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2026 — principal · type S
- WHATLEY FOR SENATE — principal · type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 18.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $3,683,897 | $0 | 38 |
Recent (latest 25)
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $1 |
| 2026-03-31 | STAND FOR AMERICA PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $0 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $1 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $1 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $1 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $1 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $7 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $26 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $1 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $1 |
| 2026-03-31 | SLF PAC | 24E | $84,059 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $4 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $23 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $32 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $1 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $8 |
| 2026-03-31 | WORKING FOR OHIO | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2026-03-31 | SLF PAC | 24E | $181,000 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $9 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $1 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $0 |
| 2026-03-31 | RED SENATE | 24E | $83 |
| 2026-03-30 | THE HAWKEYE PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2026-03-30 | PINNACLE WEST CAPITAL CORPORATION PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee WHATLEY FOR SENATE.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BRODIE, STEFAN | RETIRED · RETIRED | MIAMI, FL | 2 | $10,500 |
| STERN, MARC I | THE TCW GROUP INC · EXECUTIVE | MALIBU, CA | 2 | $10,500 |
| BRODIE, ELIZABETH | RETIRED · RETIRED | MIAMI, FL | 2 | $10,500 |
| SMITH, JERRY WAYNE | — | ADVANCE, NC | 1 | $3,500 |
| GLUECK, KENNETH | ORACLE CORPORATION · EXECUTIVE VICE PRESIDENT | NORTH PALM BEACH, FL | 1 | $3,500 |
| LAUGHERY, HELEN | — | ROCKY MOUNT, NC | 1 | $3,500 |
| KELLY, KATHLEEN | MMA · INSTITUTIONAL CONSULTING | GREENSBORO, NC | 2 | $3,500 |
| SCHNABEL, MARNA | SELF-EMPLOYED · INVESTOR | LOS ANGELES, CA | 1 | $3,500 |
| FULLER, CHARLES | THE RESULTS COMPANY · CEO | RALEIGH, NC | 1 | $2,500 |
| DOW, JIM | — | PALOS VERDES PENINSULA, CA | 1 | $2,000 |
| HOYLE, GEORGE | MMA · INSTITUTIONAL CONSULTING | GREENSBORO, NC | 1 | $1,750 |
| BRADY, JOE | BRADY DEVELOPMENT · LAND DEVELOPER | SUMMERFIELD, NC | 1 | $1,750 |
| SWAIN, ANN | WELLS FARGO · MANAGER | HARRISBURG, NC | 1 | $1,500 |
| BUDD, ALEXANDER | GREENSBORO INDUSTRIAL PLATERS · PRESIDENT | GREENSBORO, NC | 1 | $1,500 |
| JEROME, PEGGY | RETIRED · RETIRED | LIBERTY HILL, TX | 161 | $1,074 |
| NOUR-OMID, DORIS | — | LOS ANGELES, CA | 1 | $1,000 |
| TRIBULL, CHRIS | TRIBULL INVESTMENTS · INVESTOR | BEVERLY HILLS, CA | 1 | $1,000 |
| JOHNSON, ANNE | — | LOS ANGELES, CA | 1 | $1,000 |
| COHEN, JOHN | RETIRED · RETIRED | GREENSBORO, NC | 1 | $1,000 |
| SMITH, THOMAS | RETIRED · RETIRED | HOUSTON, TX | 1 | $950 |
| DUDLEY, JANET | RETIRED · RETIRED | MARIETTA, GA | 68 | $830 |
| SWEET, STEPHEN | RETIRED · RETIRED | HOUSTON, TX | 31 | $700 |
| JAMISON, JENNIFER | RETIRED · RETIRED | MUSTANG, OK | 26 | $664 |
| ROBINSON, ALICE | RETIRED · RETIRED | SAINT GEORGE, UT | 26 | $614 |
| DUNCAN, CHARLES | RETIRED · RETIRED | PAWLEYS ISLAND, SC | 47 | $591 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | WHATLEY FOR SENATE | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | principal_candidate_of | WHATLEY FOR NC SENATE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2026 | — | candidate_committees |