STENBERG, DON

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S6NE00079
Internal id: 222c20f4-daa3-47ee-820f-de627a1e4117
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Nebraska. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	1,978,707
People	Median age	37
Income	Median household income	$76,475
Income	Per-capita income	$41,751
Income	In poverty	10.6%
Income	Unemployed	3.0%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.456
Race	White alone	77.9%
Race	Black alone	4.8%
Race	Asian alone	2.6%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	12.7%
Race	Two or more races	9.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	8.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	87.2%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	8.4%
Education	High school or higher	59.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	34.6%
Education	Advanced degree	12.3%
Household	Family households	62.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.42
Household	Never married (15+)	31.7%
Housing	Median home value	$238,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,072
Housing	Single-family detached	71.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.1%
Housing	Vacant units	7.6%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.9%
Health	With a disability	12.3%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.6%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.6%
Commute	Drove alone	76.1%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	11.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2014	$24	$3,888	$0	$0	$0
2012	$886,750	$883,414	$3,864	$0	$822,153
2010	$0	$0	$531	$89,389	$0
2008	$2,874	$8,230	$531	$89,389	$2,022
2006	$564,919	$560,527	$9,017	$285,416	$447,657
2004	$0	$49	$4,625	$194,005	$0
2002	$57,212	$70,943	$4,669	$194,005	$46,605
2000	$1,876,978	$1,859,502	$18,401	$248,923	$1,293,191
1998	$6,662	$8,904	$675	$159,069	$6,651
1996	$524,139	$521,721	$2,916	$167,678	$328,716

Elections

1996 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
1996 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
1996 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2000 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2006 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2006 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2006 general senate · NE-S — running
2006 general senate · NE-S — running
2006 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2006 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2012 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2012 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2012 general senate · NE-S — lost_general
2012 general senate · NE-S — running
2012 general senate · NE-S — lost_general

Committees

DON STENBERG FOR US SENATE 1996 — principal · type S
GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND — joint_fundraising · type X
STENBERG FOR SENATE 2000 — principal · type S
STENBERG FOR SENATE 2006 COMMITTEE — principal · type S
STENBERG FOR SENATE 2012 COMMITTEE — principal · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (5)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	STENBERG FOR SENATE 2012 COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	STENBERG FOR SENATE 2006 COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	STENBERG FOR SENATE 2000	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	DON STENBERG FOR US SENATE 1996	—	candidate_committees

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