HECK, JOE

R · senate

FEC candidate id: S6NV00218
Internal id: f115af49-688f-41c1-bab7-60da95527609
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Nevada. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	3,184,612
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$78,260
Income	Per-capita income	$41,354
Income	In poverty	12.4%
Income	Unemployed	6.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.467
Race	White alone	49.8%
Race	Black alone	9.4%
Race	Asian alone	9.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	29.6%
Race	Two or more races	17.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	19.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	70.5%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	19.9%
Education	High school or higher	55.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	27.9%
Education	Advanced degree	9.8%
Household	Family households	63.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.62
Household	Never married (15+)	34.8%
Housing	Median home value	$435,400
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,597
Housing	Single-family detached	60.4%
Housing	Built before 1940	1.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	4.4%
Housing	Vacant units	9.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.9%
Health	With a disability	13.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.0%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.3%
Commute	Drove alone	70.5%
Commute	Public transit	2.2%
Commute	Worked from home	11.9%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2018	$10,636	$264,344	$193,983	$0	$0
2016	$12,356,469	$11,908,775	$447,693	$0	$7,961,159

Elections

2016 general senate · NV-S — lost_general
2016 general senate · NV-S — lost_general
2016 general senate · NV-S — lost_general
2016 general senate · NV-S — lost_general
2016 general senate · NV-S — lost_general
2016 general senate · NV-S — lost_general

Committees

FOUNDERS COMMITTEE; THE — joint_fundraising · type S
FRIENDS OF JOE HECK PAC — principal · type N
KEEP THE SENATE MAJORITY COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type S
SAVE OUR SENATE COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type S
VETERANS FOR DEFENDING THE MAJORITY — joint_fundraising · type S

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 18.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$29,962	$0	1

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2021-10-20	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HOME BUILDERS	support	$29,962	Digital Ads

Connected on the graph

Inbound (1)

date	from	type	amount	role	source
2021-10-20	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HOME BUILDERS	supports_independently	$29,962		fec_ies

Outbound (5)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	KEEP THE SENATE MAJORITY COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	VETERANS FOR DEFENDING THE MAJORITY	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	FOUNDERS COMMITTEE; THE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SAVE OUR SENATE	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	FRIENDS OF JOE HECK PAC	—	candidate_committees

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