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CHAFEE, JOHN H

R Β· senate Β· bioguide C000269

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FEC candidate id
S6RI00056
Internal id
d3de6ce4-3539-498c-b92d-042f61d12971
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Rhode Island. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation1,101,801
PeopleMedian age41
IncomeMedian household income$87,796
IncomePer-capita income$47,150
IncomeIn poverty11.2%
IncomeUnemployed5.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.461
RaceWhite alone70.4%
RaceBlack alone5.5%
RaceAsian alone3.5%
RaceHispanic or Latino17.7%
RaceTwo or more races12.2%
OriginForeign-born15.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home76.9%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home13.5%
EducationHigh school or higher64.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher37.7%
EducationAdvanced degree15.4%
HouseholdFamily households61.3%
HouseholdAvg household size2.39
HouseholdNever married (15+)37.5%
HousingMedian home value$404,200
HousingMedian gross rent$1,342
HousingSingle-family detached55.7%
HousingBuilt before 19406.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.2%
HousingVacant units9.1%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.1%
HealthWith a disability13.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.4%
CommuteDrove alone72.4%
CommutePublic transit1.7%
CommuteWorked from home13.0%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2002$329$25,968$10,721$0$0
2000$21,213$339,426$14,917$0$1,070
1998$104,548$144,442$333,131$0$13,390
1996$81,869$147,101$373,025$0$8,195
1994$2,146,027$1,896,589$438,257$0$1,032,768
1992$154,802$69,674$188,821$0$83,300
1990$173,305$119,973$103,693$0$121,835
1988$2,455,215$2,841,985$50,360$0$1,267,565
1986$407,957$105,367$437,131$0$0
1984$152,832$71,977$134,541$0$116,848
1982$1,003,605$1,019,020$0$0$0
1980$113,482$46,607$0$0$0

Elections

Committees

Recent votes

No votes on file.

Sponsored & cosponsored bills

No sponsorships on file.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Connected on the graph

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”joint_fundraising_committee_ofREPUBLICAN SENATORIAL INNER CIRCLE 1990β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofSENATOR CHAFEE COMMITTEEβ€”candidate_committees

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