LINCOLN, BLANCHE L
D Β· senate Β· bioguide L000035
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- FEC candidate id
S8AR00112- Internal id
ea46281d-d879-4eed-839a-c0492ccdb5f7- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Arkansas. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 3,049,391 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $60,773 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,225 |
| Income | In poverty | 16.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.479 |
| Race | White alone | 69.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 14.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 9.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 10.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 5.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 6.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.5% |
| Household | Family households | 64.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.46 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $188,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $947 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 18.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 86.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.5% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 78.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 8.8% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2012 | $75,143 | $114,623 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2010 | $10,752,803 | $11,545,776 | $17,504 | $28,268 | $6,134,706 |
| 2008 | $1,295,349 | $666,043 | $810,116 | $0 | $292,818 |
| 2006 | $293,481 | $450,707 | $180,811 | $0 | $72,475 |
| 2004 | $5,488,903 | $5,816,913 | $338,039 | $0 | $2,775,573 |
| 2002 | $916,797 | $344,018 | $667,041 | $0 | $391,594 |
| 2000 | $306,150 | $253,215 | $94,763 | $0 | $96,220 |
| 1998 | $3,056,184 | $3,122,776 | $41,828 | $43,073 | $1,740,109 |
Elections
- 1998 general senate Β· AR-S β won
- 2004 general senate Β· AR-S β won
- 2004 general senate Β· AR-S β won
- 2004 general senate Β· AR-S β won
- 2010 general senate Β· AR-S β won
- 2010 general senate Β· AR-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· AR-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· AR-S β lost_general
- 2010 general senate Β· AR-S β lost_general
Committees
- 2010 WOMEN'S SENATE FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- ARKANSAS COLORADO VICTORY β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- ARKANSAS SENATE 2004 β joint_fundraising Β· type X
- ARKANSAS SENATE 2010 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- FRIENDS OF BLANCHE LINCOLN β principal Β· type S
- LINCOLN BAYH VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- LINCOLN/CARSON 2004 β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- MICHIGAN CITIZENS FOR A SAFE ISRAEL 2010 β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- MISSOURI ARKANSAS VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- MONTANA ARKANSAS VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- POWER AND LEADERSHIP IN THE US SENATE (PLUS) β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- SENATE VICTORY '98 β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- VICTORY LINC 2010 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- WOMEN SENATE 2004 β joint_fundraising Β· type X
- WOMEN SENATE 2010 β joint_fundraising Β· type S
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (15)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2010 WOMEN'S SENATE FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | LINCOLN/CARSON 2004 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | VICTORY LINC 2010 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ARKANSAS SENATE 2004 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | LINCOLN BAYH VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ARKANSAS COLORADO VICTORY | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | MICHIGAN CITIZENS FOR A SAFE ISRAEL 2010 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SENATE VICTORY '98 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ARKANSAS SENATE 2010 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | MONTANA ARKANSAS VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | POWER AND LEADERSHIP IN THE US SENATE (PLUS) | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | WOMEN SENATE 2010 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | WOMEN SENATE 2004 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | MISSOURI ARKANSAS VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS OF BLANCHE LINCOLN | β | candidate_committees |