SINEMA, KYRSTEN
I · senate · bioguide S001191
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- FEC candidate id
S8AZ00197- Internal id
bd2fd3d1-5192-4456-aba9-32dd0e44006b- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Arizona. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 7,378,838 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $79,964 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,503 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.1% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.464 |
| Race | White alone | 59.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 31.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 19.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 13.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 74.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 19.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 33.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.0% |
| Household | Family households | 64.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.53 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.1% |
| Housing | Median home value | $394,500 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,543 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 64.2% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 10.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 13.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 66.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 18.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $162,530 | $4,439,410 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $5,311,801 | $9,272,137 | $4,276,880 | $0 | $2,146,870 |
| 2022 | $8,113,876 | $2,332,395 | $8,237,222 | $0 | $6,099,444 |
| 2020 | $3,625,300 | $1,341,085 | $2,455,741 | $0 | $2,161,827 |
| 2018 | $22,643,275 | $24,735,383 | $171,527 | $0 | $18,692,195 |
Elections
- 2018 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2018 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2018 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2018 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2018 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2018 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2018 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2018 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2018 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2018 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2018 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2018 general senate · AZ-S — won
- 2024 general senate · AZ-S — lost_general
- 2024 general senate · AZ-S — lost_general
- 2024 general senate · AZ-S — lost_general
- 2024 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2024 general senate · AZ-S — lost_general
- 2024 general senate · AZ-S — lost_general
- 2024 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2024 general senate · AZ-S — running
- 2024 general senate · AZ-S — won
Committees
- ARIZONA NEVADA VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
- ARIZONA OREGON VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type S
- BLUE SENATE 2018 — joint_fundraising · type S
- GREEN SENATE IMPACT 2018 — joint_fundraising · type S
- JUSTICE 2018 — joint_fundraising · type N
- SENATE IMPACT MT & AZ — joint_fundraising · type S
- SINEMA FOR ARIZONA — principal · type S
- WOMEN ON THE ROAD 2018 — joint_fundraising · type N
Recent votes
- 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 339
YEA on HR 10545 — American Relief Act, 2025 - 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 338
YEA on HR 82 — Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 - 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 337
YEA on HR 82 — Social Security Fairness Act of 2023 - 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 336
NAY on Amendment Rejected (34-62, 3/5 majority required) - 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 335
NAY on Amendment Rejected (32-64, 3/5 majority required) - 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 334
NAY on Amendment Rejected (28-67, 3/5 majority required) - 2024-12-21 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 333
NAY on Amendment Rejected (3-93, 3/5 majority required) - 2024-12-20 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 332
YEA on Nomination Confirmed (49-47) - 2024-12-20 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 331
YEA on Cloture Motion Agreed to (49-47) - 2024-12-20 · Cong. 118 · senate roll 330
YEA on Nomination Confirmed (49-47)
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- sponsor · 2024-03-21 — S 4016 — Help Hoover Dam Act
- cosponsor · 2024-02-29 — S 3834 — A bill to direct the Secretary of Veterans Affairs to ensure veterans may obtain a physical copy of a form for reimbursement of certain travel expenses by mail or at medical facilities of the Department of Veterans Affairs, and for other purposes.
- cosponsor · 2023-10-24 — S 2581 — Secure Rural Schools Reauthorization Act of 2023
- cosponsor · 2023-10-24 — S 3105 — Safe Schools Improvement Act
- cosponsor · 2023-07-27 — S 2645 — Preventing HEAT Illness and Deaths Act of 2024
- cosponsor · 2023-05-17 — S 912 — Mining Schools Act of 2023
- cosponsor · 2023-05-02 — S 1380 — Neighborhood Tree Act of 2023
- cosponsor · 2023-01-31 — S 161 — JOBS Act of 2023
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 91.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $146,033 | 12 |
| 2022 | $10,000 | $239,932 | 25 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | oppose | $12,223 | Digital Ads - Estimate |
| — | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | oppose | $1,405 | Text Messaging - Estimate |
| 2024-01-17 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $5,000 | Ad Buy - Digital |
| 2024-01-17 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $5,000 | Ad Buy - Digital |
| 2024-01-17 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $5,000 | Ad Buy - Digital |
| 2024-01-16 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $1,905 | Ad Production |
| 2024-01-10 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $30,000 | Ad Buy - TV |
| 2024-01-10 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $8,500 | Ad Production |
| 2024-01-10 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $8,500 | Ad Production |
| 2024-01-10 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $30,000 | Ad Buy - TV |
| 2024-01-10 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $30,000 | Ad Buy - TV |
| 2024-01-10 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $8,500 | Ad Production |
| 2022-12-09 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $10,000 | Digital Ad Buy |
| 2022-08-16 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | support | $5,000 | Digital Ad Buy |
| 2022-08-16 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $9,375 | Digital Billboard Display |
| 2022-08-16 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $5,000 | Digital Ad Buy |
| 2022-08-16 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $9,375 | Digital Billboard Display |
| 2022-08-08 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $5,000 | Ad Buy |
| 2022-07-28 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $5,000 | Digital Ad Buy |
| 2022-07-18 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | support | $5,000 | Digital Ad Buy |
| 2022-07-18 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $5,000 | Digital Ad Buy |
| 2022-07-12 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $5,000 | Digital Ad Buy |
| 2022-07-01 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $5,000 | Digital Ad Buy |
| 2022-06-24 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $5,000 | Ad Buy |
| 2022-01-24 | CHANGE FOR ARIZONA 2024 PAC | oppose | $20,000 | Ad Buy |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (16)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | SENATE IMPACT MT & AZ | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | principal_candidate_of | SINEMA FOR ARIZONA | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | WOMEN ON THE ROAD 2018 | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ARIZONA OREGON VICTORY FUND | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | JUSTICE 2018 | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | GREEN SENATE IMPACT 2018 | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | BLUE SENATE 2018 | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | joint_fundraising_committee_of | ARIZONA NEVADA VICTORY FUND | — | candidate_committees | |
| 2024-03-21 | sponsor_of_bill | S 4016 — Help Hoover Dam Act | — | sponsor | sponsorship |
| 2024-02-29 | cosponsor_of_bill | S 3834 — A bill to direct the Secretary of Veterans Affairs to ensure veterans may obtain a physical | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-10-24 | cosponsor_of_bill | S 2581 — Secure Rural Schools Reauthorization Act of 2023 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-10-24 | cosponsor_of_bill | S 3105 — Safe Schools Improvement Act | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-07-27 | cosponsor_of_bill | S 2645 — Preventing HEAT Illness and Deaths Act of 2024 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-05-17 | cosponsor_of_bill | S 912 — Mining Schools Act of 2023 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-05-02 | cosponsor_of_bill | S 1380 — Neighborhood Tree Act of 2023 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-01-31 | cosponsor_of_bill | S 161 — JOBS Act of 2023 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |