HAWLEY, JOSHUA DAVID SEN
R Β· senate
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- FEC candidate id
S8MO00160- Internal id
bf9e3268-1af2-4db6-9e99-932230501934- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Missouri. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 6,191,814 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $70,702 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $39,695 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.465 |
| Race | White alone | 77.5% |
| Race | Black alone | 11.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 32.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.6% |
| Household | Family households | 62.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.40 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.7% |
| Housing | Median home value | $230,300 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,033 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.5% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 11.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.3% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 13.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,518,951 | $917,520 | $899,694 | $0 | $296,136 |
| 2024 | $13,808,806 | $17,492,872 | $298,263 | $0 | $6,979,078 |
| 2022 | $11,477,019 | $8,933,406 | $3,982,329 | $0 | $10,908,720 |
| 2020 | $2,182,462 | $1,219,261 | $1,438,716 | $0 | $1,946,505 |
| 2018 | $11,946,032 | $11,470,517 | $475,515 | $0 | $9,314,787 |
Elections
- 2018 general senate Β· MO-S β won
- 2018 general senate Β· MO-S β won
- 2018 general senate Β· MO-S β won
- 2018 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MO-S β won
- 2018 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MO-S β won
- 2024 general senate Β· MO-S β won
- 2024 general senate Β· MO-S β won
- 2024 general senate Β· MO-S β won
- 2024 general senate Β· MO-S β won
- 2024 general senate Β· MO-S β won
- 2024 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2024 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2030 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2030 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2030 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2030 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2030 general senate Β· MO-S β running
- 2030 general senate Β· MO-S β running
Committees
- FOUNDERS COMMITTEE; THE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- HAWLEY VICTORY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- JOSH HAWLEY FOR SENATE β principal Β· type S
- PROTECTING THE MAJORITY COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- STRENGTHEN THE SENATE MAJORITY 2018 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- WINSOME LEADERS I β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- WINSOME LEADERS II β joint_fundraising Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $72,927 | $0 | 72 |
| 2024 | $1,049,328 | $379,165 | 244 |
| 2022 | $749,979 | $169,745 | 56 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | support | $2,591 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | support | $15,545 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | support | $7,772 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | support | $2,600 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $5,182 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $5,182 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $2,575 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $2,591 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $5,182 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $2,600 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL MARKETING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $5,182 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $1,875 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $5,182 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $14,881 | IE-HAWLEY-DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $192 | IE-HAWLEY-POSTAGE |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $5,182 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $1,250 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $5,193 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $53,295 | IE-HAWLEY-DIRECT MAIL PRODUCTION |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $5,182 | IE- HAWLEY- DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $33 | IE-HAWLEY-POSTAGE |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | support | $2,575 | IE-HAWLEY-DIGITAL ADVERTISING |
| β | PROTECT AMERICAN VALUES PAC | support | $4,500 | Digital Advertising |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | oppose | $3,510 | Estimated Production Costs |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | oppose | $1,525 | Estimated Production Costs |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee JOSH HAWLEY FOR SENATE.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WHEELER, KURT | BLACKSTONE Β· INVESTOR | RENO, NV | 1 | $7,000 |
| LONG, LARRY | CITIZENS Β· BANKER | KILGORE, TX | 1 | $250 |
| CUNNINGHAM, JAMES | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | HARTSBURG, MO | 1 | $250 |
| KORPAL, TERRENCE J. MR. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | BALLWIN, MO | 1 | $250 |
| RUPE, CARL H. MR. M.D. | SELF-EMPLOYED Β· SMALL BUSINESS CONSULTANT | LITTLETON, NC | 1 | $200 |
| VESTER-HAWTHORNE, CLAUDIA S. MAJ. USA RET. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | ANNVILLE, PA | 1 | $50 |
| BUCKNO, ANDREA | NOT APPLICABLE Β· CAREGIVER/CARETAKER | ALLENTOWN, PA | 1 | $50 |
| MONTEMAYOR, MARTHA L. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | PRESCOTT, AZ | 1 | $50 |
| FULDNER, CHRIS T. MR. | NONE Β· RETIRED | SPRINGFIELD, MO | 1 | $50 |
| PERKINS, SCOTT | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | SAINT CHARLES, MO | 1 | $25 |
| COATES, JOYCE E. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | WARSAW, MO | 1 | $25 |
| NOWACK, ANNA MS. | FMC-NA Β· R.N. | COLBERT, WA | 1 | $25 |
| LOPEZ, MARIA | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | SANGER, CA | 1 | $10 |
| SINANDER, MARGO WHITNEY | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | CEDAR GLEN, CA | 1 | $10 |
| BRANTLEY, BESSIE | HERITAGE CHRISTIAN ACADEMY Β· TEACHER | ZEBULON, NC | 1 | $10 |
| HARTSELL, SAMUEL DAVID MR. | RETIRED Β· RETIRED | HOOVER, AL | 1 | $5 |
| HUGHES, KATHLEEN MRS. | NONE Β· RETIRED | COLUMBIA, AL | 1 | $3 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $1,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $14,881 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $2,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $2,575 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $1,875 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $192 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $2,575 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $2,591 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,182 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $5,193 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $53,295 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $33 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | supports_independently | $2,600 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | supports_independently | $7,772 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | supports_independently | $15,545 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES ACTION | supports_independently | $2,591 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROTECT AMERICAN VALUES PAC | supports_independently | $4,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | opposes_independently | $1,525 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | opposes_independently | $3,510 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | opposes_independently | $3,510 | fec_ies | |
| β | THE LINCOLN PROJECT | opposes_independently | $1,525 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $25,900 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $51,750 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $51,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $51,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $17,250 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $25,750 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $8,583 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $51,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $10,300 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $51,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $51,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $48,081 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $25,900 | fec_ies | |
| β | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $26,008 | fec_ies | |
| 2026-02-25 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $31 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-19 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-11 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $3 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-05 | NELSON MULLINS RILEY & SCARBOROUGH, LLP FEDERAL POLITICAL COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-04 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-29 | CHS/COMMUNITY HEALTH SYSTEMS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION CMTE (CHS PAC) | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-28 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $3 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-21 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-14 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-06 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $60 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-05 | HY-VEE INC EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-31 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $4 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-23 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $4 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-19 | INT'L ASSOCIATION OF BRIDGE, STRUCTURAL, ORNAMENTAL AND REINFORCING IRON WORKERS (IPAL) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-18 | AMERICAN SOYBEAN ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SOYPAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-17 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $26 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-10 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $12 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-10 | AMERICAN ACADEMY OF PHYSICIAN ASSOCIATES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (PA PAC) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-09 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $384 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-03 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $6 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-03 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $7 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-12-02 | NATIONAL COMMUNITY PHARMACISTS ASSOCIATION - PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-30 | HCA HEALTHCARE, INC. GOOD GOVERNMENT FUND | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-25 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $30 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-25 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $31 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-11-21 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $384 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-21 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $385 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-11-19 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $5 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-19 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $6 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-11-18 | ENTERPRISE HOLDINGS, INC. / ENTERPRISE MOBILITY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-13 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-11 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $4 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-11-11 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $4 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-05 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $40 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-05 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $41 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-10-28 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-28 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $16 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-10-21 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-21 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $15 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-10-15 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $16 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-10-15 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-07 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $21 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-10-07 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $20 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-06 | FEDERATION OF AMERICAN HOSPITALS PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-30 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $52 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-09-30 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $52 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-25 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $384 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-25 | INTERNATIONAL FRANCHISE ASSOCIATION FRANCHISING POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE INC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-25 | ENTERPRISE HOLDINGS, INC. / ENTERPRISE MOBILITY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-25 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $385 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-09-24 | ASSOCIATION OF AMERICAN PUBLISHERS PAC (AAP PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-24 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $32 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-09-24 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $31 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-22 | HY-VEE INC EMPLOYEES' POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-17 | INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF FIREFIGHTERS INTERESTED IN REGISTRATION AND EDUCATION PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-16 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | contributed_to | $9 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-16 | SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUND | supports_independently | $10 | fec_ies | |
| 2025-09-15 | SMALL BUSINESS INVESTOR ALLIANCE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-10 | AMERICA'S ESSENTIAL HOSPITALS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE, (ESSENTIAL HOSPITALS PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (7)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | PROTECTING THE MAJORITY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | WINSOME LEADERS II | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | HAWLEY VICTORY COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | STRENGTHEN THE SENATE MAJORITY 2018 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | WINSOME LEADERS I | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | FOUNDERS COMMITTEE; THE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOSH HAWLEY FOR SENATE | β | candidate_committees |