ESPY, MICHAEL
D Β· senate
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
S8MS00287- Internal id
08974347-2a37-4d82-bbe0-198563c00597- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Mississippi. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 2,946,779 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $56,447 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $31,549 |
| Income | In poverty | 18.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.482 |
| Race | White alone | 55.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 36.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.7% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 55.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.9% |
| Household | Family households | 65.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.49 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $169,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $954 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 69.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.2% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 17.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 84.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 12.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 81.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 5.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $0 | $3,527 | $133,717 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $0 | $90,524 | $137,244 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $336,782 | $284,606 | $227,769 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $12,320,919 | $12,439,497 | $175,593 | $0 | $11,801,286 |
| 2018 | $7,488,522 | $7,194,351 | $294,171 | $0 | $6,412,012 |
Elections
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2018 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MS-S β running
- 2020 general senate Β· MS-S β lost_general
- 2020 general senate Β· MS-S β running
Committees
- MIKE ESPY FOR SENATE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE β principal Β· type S
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 23.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-31 | JACKSON LEWIS P.C. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | 24K | $-2,500 |
| 2022-03-01 | INTERNATIONAL UNION OF PAINTERS AND ALLIED TRAD⦠| 24K | $-4,000 |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24E | $8 |
| 2021-03-22 | LAFAYETTE COUNTY DEMOCRATIC PARTY | 24K | $-600 |
| 2018-08-29 | DESOTO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE | 24K | $100 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (5)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-31 | JACKSON LEWIS P.C. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-01 | INTERNATIONAL UNION OF PAINTERS AND ALLIED TRADES POLITICAL ACTION TOGETHER POLITICAL COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 | |
| 2021-03-22 | LAFAYETTE COUNTY DEMOCRATIC PARTY | contributed_to | $-600 | pas2 | |
| 2018-08-29 | DESOTO COUNTY DEMOCRATIC EXECUTIVE COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | MIKE ESPY FOR SENATE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |