JEFFORDS, JAMES M
I Β· senate Β· bioguide J000072
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- FEC candidate id
S8VT00018- Internal id
ba40cd8b-be43-48d3-aeaa-5b8031e003a8- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents (statewide)
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Vermont. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 647,106 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $81,203 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,500 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.1% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 90.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 2.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 70.6% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 43.8% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 18.6% |
| Household | Family households | 58.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.28 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 33.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $316,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,234 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 19.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.2% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 16.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2008 | $10,900 | $375,050 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2006 | $279,979 | $1,318,353 | $364,149 | $0 | $195,193 |
| 2004 | $4,015,518 | $2,935,081 | $2,048,253 | $0 | $3,907,730 |
| 2002 | $1,749,553 | $955,320 | $1,277,116 | $0 | $1,647,226 |
| 2000 | $2,087,965 | $1,889,243 | $482,884 | $0 | $816,078 |
| 1998 | $167,931 | $113,474 | $284,164 | $0 | $75,969 |
| 1996 | $76,647 | $81,310 | $229,708 | $0 | $14,500 |
| 1994 | $1,011,383 | $1,119,592 | $234,370 | $3,789 | $230,426 |
| 1992 | $78,465 | $63,355 | $342,620 | $2,477 | $450 |
| 1990 | $83,253 | $67,992 | $327,510 | $1,066 | $325 |
| 1988 | $976,451 | $876,877 | $312,249 | $0 | $223,170 |
Elections
- 1988 general senate Β· VT-S β won
- 1994 general senate Β· VT-S β won
- 1994 general senate Β· VT-S β won
- 1994 general senate Β· VT-S β won
- 2000 general senate Β· VT-S β won
- 2000 general senate Β· VT-S β won
- 2000 general senate Β· VT-S β won
- 2006 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· VT-S β lost_general
- 2006 general senate Β· VT-S β won
Committees
- JEFFORDS FOR VERMONT COMMITTEE INC β principal Β· type S
- REPUBLICAN SENATORIAL INNER CIRCLE 1990 β joint_fundraising Β· type Y
- W/N 1999 β joint_fundraising Β· type S
- W/N 2000 COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type S
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 91.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| senate race | -2.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (4)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | W/N 2000 COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | W/N 1999 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | REPUBLICAN SENATORIAL INNER CIRCLE 1990 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JEFFORDS FOR VERMONT COMMITTEE INC | β | candidate_committees |