CARL, JERRY LEE, JR
R · house · bioguide C001054
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- FEC candidate id
H0AL01055- Internal id
f20f3f0b-82a8-4319-ad72-ff619d6aa7aa- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AL-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 735,406 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $66,291 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,976 |
| Income | In poverty | 14.2% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.463 |
| Race | White alone | 74.2% |
| Race | Black alone | 16.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 5.1% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.9% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.0% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.3% |
| Household | Family households | 67.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.53 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 26.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $222,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,014 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 18.9% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 10.1% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 82.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.5% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $757,032 | $556,735 | $269,588 | $254,536 | $483,437 |
| 2024 | $2,246,839 | $2,631,447 | $69,290 | $254,536 | $1,063,039 |
| 2022 | $1,313,719 | $971,793 | $453,898 | $468,239 | $532,389 |
| 2020 | $2,344,517 | $2,232,544 | $111,973 | $469,226 | $1,044,196 |
Elections
- 2020 general house · AL-1 — won
- 2022 general house · AL-1 — won
- 2024 general house · AL-1 — won
- 2026 general house · AL-1 — running
Committees
- JERRY CARL FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Recent votes
- 2024-12-20 · Cong. 118 · house roll 517
YEA on HR 10545 — American Relief Act, 2025 - 2024-12-19 · Cong. 118 · house roll 516
YEA on HR 10515 — American Relief Act, 2025 - 2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 515
YEA on S 759 — Beagle Brigade Act of 2023 - 2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 514
YEA on HR 8663 — DETECT Fentanyl and Xylazine Act of 2024 - 2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 513
YEA on S 3857 — Jamul Indian Village Land Transfer Act - 2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 512
YEA on S 1351 — Stop Institutional Child Abuse Act - 2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 511
NAY on HR 1101 — Lumbee Fairness Act - 2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 510
YEA on Never Again Education Reauthorization Act - 2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 509
YEA on HR 115 — Midnight Rules Relief Act - 2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 508
NAY on HR 115 — Midnight Rules Relief Act
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- cosponsor · 2023-07-18 — HR 4470 — Protecting and Securing Chemical Facilities from Terrorist Attacks Act of 2023
- cosponsor · 2023-05-25 — HR 3238 — Affordable Housing Credit Improvement Act of 2023
- cosponsor · 2023-02-21 — HR 1121 — Protecting American Energy Production Act
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $877,986 | 22 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-03-07 | DARE DEFEND OUR RIGHTS PAC | oppose | $2,000 | MEDIA |
| 2024-03-01 | DARE DEFEND OUR RIGHTS PAC | oppose | $4,750 | MEDIA |
| 2024-02-29 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $90 | TV ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-02-29 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $130 | Phone/Text messaging (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-02-28 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $415 | TV ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-02-28 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $16,231 | TV ad placement |
| 2024-02-27 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $128,718 | TV ad placement, production |
| 2024-02-27 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $133 | data analytics |
| 2024-02-27 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $16,373 | Text/Phone messaging |
| 2024-02-23 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $46 | Radio ad costs (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-02-23 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $3,041 | Digital ad production, placement (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-02-22 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $3,500 | Digital ad production |
| 2024-02-22 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $50,000 | Digital ad placement |
| 2024-02-22 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $2,000 | Digital ad placement |
| 2024-02-21 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $524 | TV ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-02-21 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $12,985 | Radio ad placement |
| 2024-02-21 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $189 | Radio ad production (from advance line 21) |
| 2024-02-14 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $402,162 | TV ad placement, production |
| 2024-02-14 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | oppose | $18,747 | Radio ad placement, production |
| 2024-02-14 | DARE DEFEND OUR RIGHTS PAC | oppose | $14,000 | MEDIA |
| 2024-02-14 | DARE DEFEND OUR RIGHTS PAC | oppose | $1,000 | MEDIA PRODUCTION |
| 2024-02-12 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION | oppose | $200,950 | IE- CARL- MEDIA BUY |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee JERRY CARL FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| BAILEY, SHARON | HOMEMAKER · HOMEMAKER | ARAB, AL | 2 | $6,140 |
| PRINE, WILLIAM | MOBILE PULLY WORKS · CEO | MOBILE, AL | 1 | $3,500 |
| RAMSAY, LYMAN | RAMSAY CATTLE COMPANY · FARMING | THEODORE, AL | 1 | $2,602 |
| BARBER, DANIEL E. | BARNETT MILLWORKS · MANAGER | MOBILE, AL | 1 | $1,041 |
| GOLD, MICHAEL | PERSISTENT SYSTEMS LLC · VICE PRESIDENT | CARTHAGE, NC | 1 | $500 |
| DANZY, RUSSELL | RETIRED · RETIRED | PROVENCAL, LA | 10 | $329 |
| STAIGER, SARAH | RETIRED · RETIRED | ESCONDIDO, CA | 3 | $112 |
| BURNS, MICHAEL J | RETIRED · RETIRED | WEST PALM BEACH, FL | 2 | $42 |
| ALBERS, GREGG | RETIRED · RETIRED | MADISON HEIGHTS, VA | 1 | $20 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-31 | TOGETHER UNITED FOR LIBERTY, INTEGRITY AND PROSPERITY PAC (TULIP PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-27 | GARRET GRAVES FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-25 | MEUSER FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-23 | TENNESSEE TOUGH PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-20 | TEXAS FARM BUREAU AGFUND | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-19 | A NEW NATION PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-19 | FIELD OF DREAMS PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-18 | AMERICAN SECURITY PAC | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-12 | ELECTING REPUBLICANS INDIANA PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-12 | SIX PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-06 | HAYSTACK PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-03-05 | DECIDING CRITICAL RACES PAC (DCR PAC) | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-27 | BRINGING REPUBLICAN EXCELLENCE TO TOWN PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-26 | 31 DAYS PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-25 | MVL PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-19 | PA-FIRST PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-02-13 | MAINTAINING ALL REPUBLICANS IN OFFICE PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-09 | ON WISCONSIN PAC, INC. | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2026-01-08 | DISTRICT NO. 1-PCD, MARINE ENGINEERS' BENEFICIAL ASSOC. - POLITICAL ACTION FUND (MEBA-PAF) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-30 | AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-30 | IN THE ARENA PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-30 | AMERICAN SECURITY PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-30 | SECURING THE REPUBLIC FOR OUR NEXT GENERATION | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-23 | DOUBLE L PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-22 | DECIDING CRITICAL RACES PAC (DCR PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-22 | UNITED STATES PEANUT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (US PEANUT PAC) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-19 | FREEDOM FORCE PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-19 | HUNTSMAN CORPORATION PAC (HUNTSMAN PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-19 | L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES, INC. PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-17 | ELECT - THE PAC OF THE ALABAMA FARMERS FEDERATION | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-12 | DRUMMOND COMPANY, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DPAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-10 | THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-09 | PATRIOT POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-04 | CITIZENS FOR JOHN RUTHERFORD | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-04 | ELECTING REPUBLICANS INDIANA PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-03 | WALBERG FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-02 | AUSTAL USA LLC FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTIEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-02 | ELBIT SYSTEMS OF AMERICA LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ELBIT AMERICA PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-12-02 | AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-25 | SOUTHERN STATES PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-25 | BUILDING LEADERSHIP AND INSPIRING NEW ENTERPRISE PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-25 | LUCAS FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-24 | NEW SHERIFF PAC | contributed_to | $3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-11-24 | RESTORING OUR NATION PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-30 | BLUE CROSS BLUE SHIELD OF ALABAMA PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-24 | MAJORITY COMMITTEE PAC--MC PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-15 | RESTORING OUR NATION PAC | contributed_to | $-2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-14 | GARRET GRAVES FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-10-14 | DO RIGHT BAYOU PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-30 | GUY FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-29 | ASSOCIATED GENERAL CONTRACTORS OF AMERICA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-24 | UNIVERSITY OF SOUTH ALABAMA FEDERAL PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-19 | SAWTOOTH POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SAWTOOTH PAC) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-18 | MAINTAINING ALL REPUBLICANS IN OFFICE PAC | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-16 | NEW ENERGY IN WASHINGTON HOUSE PAC (N.E.W. HOUSE PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-08 | MNM PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-03 | THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-03 | THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-03 | SCALISE FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-03 | SCALISE FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-09-02 | CONSERVATIVE OPPORTUNITY LEADERSHIP AND ENTERPRISE PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-21 | RAZOR PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-20 | LAND OF OPPORTUNITY PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-20 | VULCAN MATERIALS COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-19 | LEADERSHIP AND LOYALTY ONLY TO AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-19 | DALE STRONG FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-18 | MISSOURI TRUTH PAC | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-18 | VITORIA PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-08-13 | RAPTOR PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-07-23 | BLAKE MOORE FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2025-04-16 | KRATOS DEFENSE & SECURITY SOLUTIONS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (KRATOS PAC) | contributed_to | $-3,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-03-01 | VICTORY EAST | contributed_to | $-1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2025-02-28 | CONSERVATIVE AMERICAN REPUBLICAN LEADERSHIP PAC | contributed_to | $4,059 | pas2 | |
| 2024-03-07 | DARE DEFEND OUR RIGHTS PAC | opposes_independently | $2,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-03-01 | DARE DEFEND OUR RIGHTS PAC | opposes_independently | $4,750 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $130 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-29 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $90 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-28 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $16,231 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-28 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $415 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-27 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $133 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-27 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $128,718 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-27 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $16,373 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-23 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $46 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-23 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $3,041 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-22 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $2,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-22 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $50,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-22 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $3,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-21 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $524 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-21 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $189 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-21 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $12,985 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-14 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $18,747 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-14 | DARE DEFEND OUR RIGHTS PAC | opposes_independently | $1,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-14 | DARE DEFEND OUR RIGHTS PAC | opposes_independently | $14,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-14 | SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND | opposes_independently | $402,162 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-02-12 | HOUSE FREEDOM ACTION FUND | opposes_independently | $200,950 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-12-31 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-31 | MASTERS, MATES AND PILOTS POLITICAL CONTRIBUTION FUND | contributed_to | $-1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-15 | pas2 |
Outbound (4)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | JERRY CARL FOR CONGRESS | — | candidate_committees | |
| 2023-07-18 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 4470 — Protecting and Securing Chemical Facilities from Terrorist Attacks Act of 2023 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-05-25 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 3238 — Affordable Housing Credit Improvement Act of 2023 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2023-02-21 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 1121 — Protecting American Energy Production Act | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |