GOSAR, PAUL DR.

R · house · currently seated · bioguide G000565

FEC candidate id: H0AZ01259
Internal id: e7175272-b500-48e5-922f-bfe44aeadecb
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-09. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	863,227
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$78,678
Income	Per-capita income	$37,800
Income	In poverty	10.8%
Income	Unemployed	5.2%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.427
Race	White alone	62.9%
Race	Black alone	4.5%
Race	Asian alone	2.2%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	31.2%
Race	Two or more races	17.7%
Origin	Foreign-born	10.1%
Language	Speaks English only at home	79.0%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	17.3%
Education	High school or higher	52.2%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	22.9%
Education	Advanced degree	8.4%
Household	Family households	69.9%
Household	Avg household size	2.59
Household	Never married (15+)	28.3%
Housing	Median home value	$371,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,509
Housing	Single-family detached	70.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	0.5%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	4.2%
Housing	Vacant units	13.0%
Service	Veterans (18+)	10.5%
Health	With a disability	14.9%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	92.1%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.5%
Commute	Drove alone	71.5%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	15.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$357,756	$276,247	$173,106	$4,610	$318,494
2024	$478,478	$497,470	$91,597	$0	$432,326
2022	$949,146	$854,966	$107,639	$0	$885,963
2020	$651,499	$759,239	$13,459	$0	$391,104
2018	$588,764	$575,158	$121,200	$0	$362,289
2016	$707,653	$712,872	$107,593	$0	$415,941
2014	$489,817	$401,797	$112,812	$0	$258,599
2012	$1,150,701	$1,126,649	$24,791	$31,270	$690,419
2010	$1,173,026	$1,172,287	$740	$58,771	$761,950

Elections

2010 general house · AZ-1 — won
2010 general house · AZ-9 — running
2012 general house · AZ-4 — won
2012 general house · AZ-9 — running
2014 general house · AZ-4 — won
2014 general house · AZ-9 — running
2016 general house · AZ-9 — running
2016 general house · AZ-4 — won
2018 general house · AZ-9 — running
2018 general house · AZ-4 — won
2020 general house · AZ-9 — running
2020 general house · AZ-4 — won
2022 general house · AZ-9 — won
2024 general house · AZ-9 — won
2026 general house · AZ-9 — running

Committees

ARIZONA MAJORITY COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type N
COPPER STATE VICTORY FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
GOSAR FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
GOSAR SCHWEIKERT KELLY VICTORY COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type H
GRAND CANYON STATE LEADERSHIP FUND — joint_fundraising · type N
GREAT EIGHT COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type N

Recent votes

2026-05-15 · Cong. 119 · house roll 175
YEA on HR 8469 — Making appropriations for military construction, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and related agencies for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, and for other purposes.
2026-05-15 · Cong. 119 · house roll 174
YEA on HR 8469 — Making appropriations for military construction, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and related agencies for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, and for other purposes.
2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 173
YEA on HR 8365 — Monitor Accountability Act
2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 172
NAY on HR 8365 — Monitor Accountability Act
2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 171
YEA on HR 5625 — Cashless Bail Reporting Act
2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 170
NAY on HCONRES 75 — Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers Resolution, to remove the United States Armed Forces from hostilities against the Islamic Republic of Iran.
2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 169
YEA on HR 6260 — Keeping Violent Offenders Off Our Streets Act of 2025
2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 168
NAY on HR 6260 — Keeping Violent Offenders Off Our Streets Act of 2025
2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · house roll 167
YEA on HRES 1259 — Expressing the sense of the House of Representatives that the President should prioritize securing the release of Pastor Jin Mingri, Pastor Gao Quanfu and his wife Pang Yu, Dr. Gulshan Abbas, and Jimmy Lai detained by the People's Republic of China during future engagements with Chinese President Xi Jinping.
2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · house roll 166
YEA on HRES 1251 — Calling on elected officials and civil society leaders to counter antisemitism and educate the public on the contributions of the Jewish-American community.

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$25,250	$65,866	15

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	oppose	$7,143	Ad Buy (Estimate)
—	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	oppose	$1,908	Ad Production
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	oppose	$759	Ad Production (Estimate)
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	oppose	$902	Ad Production (Estimate)
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	oppose	$820	Ad Production (Estimate)
2022-10-05	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	oppose	$42,500	Digital Ad Buy
2022-10-05	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	oppose	$4,333	TV Ad Buy
2022-10-03	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	oppose	$1,100	Ad Production Production for this IE paid as part of a mon…
2022-07-30	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	support	$250	Digial billboard
2022-07-28	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	support	$10,000	Digital placement of advertising
2022-07-25	AMERICANS FOR LIMITED GOVERNMENT	support	$15,000	Production and deployment of emails 7/25 - 8/2
2021-08-10	REALLY AMERICAN PAC	oppose	$200	Ad Production
2021-03-23	REALLY AMERICAN PAC	oppose	$3,000	Ad Production
2021-03-03	REALLY AMERICAN PAC	oppose	$200	Ad Production
2021-03-03	REALLY AMERICAN PAC	oppose	$3,000	Ad Production

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	24A	$1,908
—	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	24E	$250
2026-03-31	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$0
2026-03-24	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$1
2026-03-03	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$8
2026-03-02	ANTI-WOKE FUND	24K	$2,000
2026-03-02	ANTI-WOKE FUND	24K	$5,000
2026-02-25	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$0
2026-02-18	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$1
2026-02-17	HALLIBURTON COMPANY PAC	24K	$1,500
2026-02-10	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$1
2026-02-03	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$1
2026-01-27	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$2
2026-01-21	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$0
2026-01-13	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$0
2026-01-06	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$1
2025-12-23	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$0
2025-12-18	RAPTOR PAC	24K	$2,000
2025-12-09	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$0
2025-12-05	HALLIBURTON COMPANY PAC	24K	$1,000
2025-12-01	AGPAC OF THE ARIZONA FARM BUREAU FEDERATION	24K	$1,500
2025-11-25	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$0
2025-11-18	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$0
2025-11-13	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$0
2025-10-29	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	24E	$1

Top individual donors (2026 cycle)

Via this candidate's principal committee GOSAR FOR CONGRESS.

Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.

Donor	Employer / occupation	City, ST	Gifts	Total
BARDSWICH, LLOYD JOSEPH	UNITED STATES ANTIMONY CORPORATION · MINING ENGINEER	BULLHEAD CITY, AZ	1	$500
NABOURS, GERALD W. MR	RETIRED · RETIRED	SCOTTSDALE, AZ	1	$300
STULLENBARGER, JEAN	RETIRED · RETIRED	YUMA, AZ	1	$250
CONNOLLY, PATRICK	RETIRED · RETIRED	LAKE HAVASU CITY, AZ	1	$104
DE SZENDEFFY, ROD P	SELF EMPLOYED - ROD P DE SZENDEFFY · BUSINESS OWNER	CAVE CREEK, AZ	1	$100
JACKSON, THOMAS E	RETIRED · RETIRED	KINGMAN, AZ	1	$75
MORRIS, JOHN M	SELF · ORTHODONIST	SALT LAKE CITY, UT	1	$75
WOODYARD, TERRY LEE	RETIRED · RETIRED	BULLHEAD CITY, AZ	1	$50
BOHRNSTEDT, ERIK J.	RETIRED · RETIRED	SAN TAN VALLEY, AZ	1	$50
STRAYER, BRIAN	MIRABEL COATINGS · MANAGER	LITCHFIELD PARK, AZ	1	$25
KOONTZ, STEVEN	RETIRED · RETIRED	COPPELL, TX	1	$25
FERRARI, MARY	RETIRED · RETIRED	FORT MOHAVE, AZ	1	$25

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
2026-05-18	8757135e	clip_about	—	clip
—	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	contributed_to	$250	pas2
—	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	contributed_to	$1,908	pas2
—	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	opposes_independently	$1,908	fec_ies
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	opposes_independently	$820	fec_ies
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	opposes_independently	$902	fec_ies
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	opposes_independently	$7,143	fec_ies
—	PRIORITIES USA ACTION	opposes_independently	$759	fec_ies
2026-05-14	45319c54	clip_about	—	clip
2026-03-31	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2026-03-24	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2026-03-03	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$8	pas2
2026-03-02	ANTI-WOKE FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2026-03-02	ANTI-WOKE FUND	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2026-02-25	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2026-02-18	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2026-02-17	HALLIBURTON COMPANY PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2026-02-10	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2026-02-03	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2026-01-27	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$2	pas2
2026-01-21	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2026-01-13	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2026-01-06	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2025-12-23	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2025-12-18	RAPTOR PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2025-12-09	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2025-12-05	HALLIBURTON COMPANY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-12-01	AGPAC OF THE ARIZONA FARM BUREAU FEDERATION	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2025-11-25	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2025-11-18	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2025-11-13	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2025-10-29	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2025-10-07	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$18	pas2
2025-09-30	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$3	pas2
2025-09-12	ANTI-WOKE FUND	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2025-09-10	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$350	pas2
2025-08-27	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2025-08-09	LETS GET TO WORK PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-08-09	LETS GET TO WORK PAC	contributed_to	$3,500	pas2
2025-08-06	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2025-07-23	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2025-07-10	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ABC PAC)	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2025-07-10	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ABC PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-07-09	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2025-06-24	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2025-06-24	ASSOCIATED BUILDERS AND CONTRACTORS, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ABC PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2025-06-18	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2025-06-04	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2025-05-28	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$2	pas2
2025-05-21	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2025-05-13	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2025-04-15	PUBLIC POWER PAC OF AZ	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-04-15	PUBLIC POWER PAC OF AZ	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2025-03-18	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$175	pas2
2025-02-26	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$2	pas2
2025-02-26	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$50	pas2
2025-02-11	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2025-02-11	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$15	pas2
2025-02-05	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2025-02-05	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$5	pas2
2025-01-15	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-12-15	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-11-03	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	contributed_to	$1,908	pas2
2022-10-18	DEFENDING AMERICA'S VALUES EVERYWHERE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-18	GUN OWNERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-13	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$1,164	pas2
2022-10-13	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$293	pas2
2022-10-09	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-10-05	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	opposes_independently	$4,333	fec_ies
2022-10-05	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	opposes_independently	$42,500	fec_ies
2022-10-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$-19	pas2
2022-10-05	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	contributed_to	$42,500	pas2
2022-10-05	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	contributed_to	$4,333	pas2
2022-10-03	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	opposes_independently	$1,100	fec_ies
2022-10-03	THE LINCOLN PROJECT	contributed_to	$1,100	pas2
2022-09-30	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-09-29	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-27	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION INSTITUTE FOR LEGISLATIVE ACTION	contributed_to	$911	pas2
2022-09-21	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$25	pas2
2022-09-21	GOA VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$19,401	pas2
2022-09-21	WESTERN ENERGY ALLIANCE PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-09-20	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS	contributed_to	$209	pas2
2022-09-15	VA CONSERVATIVE LEADERSHIP FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-08	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$101	pas2
2022-09-07	FREEDOM CAUCUS FUND	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-01	JIM JORDAN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$200	pas2
2022-08-30	AMERICAN PODIATRIC MEDICAL ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-08-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-08-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$-10	pas2
2022-08-23	SAVE AMERICA STOP SOCIALISM PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-08-16	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-11	HEIDELBERG MATERIALS US, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,500	pas2
2022-08-01	GOA VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$19,401	pas2
2022-07-30	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	supports_independently	$250	fec_ies
2022-07-28	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2022-07-27	DEFENDING THE REPUBLIC PAC INC.	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
2022-07-25	AMERICANS FOR LIMITED GOVERNMENT	contributed_to	$15,000	pas2
2022-07-25	AMERICANS FOR LIMITED GOVERNMENT	supports_independently	$15,000	fec_ies
2022-07-22	GOA VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$30,000	pas2

Outbound (23)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	GRAND CANYON STATE LEADERSHIP FUND	—		candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	ARIZONA MAJORITY COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	COPPER STATE VICTORY FUND	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	GOSAR FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	GOSAR SCHWEIKERT KELLY VICTORY COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	GREAT EIGHT COMMITTEE	—		candidate_committees
2026-05-14	spoke_in_clip	45319c54	—		clip
2025-12-18	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 1628 — 761st Tank Battalion Congressional Gold Medal Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2025-02-07	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 1137 — No Kill Switches in Cars Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2025-01-31	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 850 — SHUSH Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2025-01-03	member_of_committee	House Oversight and Investigations Subcommittee	—	CHAIR	congress-committee
2025-01-03	member_of_committee	House Health Care and Financial Services Subcommittee	—	MEMBER	congress-committee
2025-01-03	member_of_committee	House Energy and Mineral Resources Subcommittee	—	MEMBER	congress-committee
2025-01-03	member_of_committee	House Oversight and Government Reform Committee	—	MEMBER	congress-committee
2025-01-03	member_of_committee	House Natural Resources Committee	—	MEMBER	congress-committee
2025-01-03	member_of_committee	House Federal Law Enforcement Subcommittee	—	MEMBER	congress-committee
2024-09-19	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 9678 — Federal Lands Amplified Security for the Homeland (FLASH) Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2024-02-15	sponsor_of_bill	HR 7365 — VETS Safe Travel Act	—	sponsor	sponsorship
2023-11-13	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 6011 — ROWATA Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2023-10-20	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 6009 — Restoring American Energy Dominance Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2023-05-17	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 3397 — WEST Act of 2024	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2023-05-10	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 3195 — Superior National Forest Restoration Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2023-03-22	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 1725 — End Zuckerbucks Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship

Clips (2)

Quotes, press releases, and Congressional Record fragments where this entity is the subject. Source: govinfo.gov BILLSTATUS + per-source ingest pipelines.

Date	Source	Speaker	Headline
—	GDELT	—	armenianweekly.com: https://armenianweekly.com/2026/05/18/censure-randy-fine-for-racist-remarks-targeting-armenians/
—	Congressional Record	—	REMEMBERING OUR FALLEN OFFICERS

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