SMITH, CHRISTY
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0CA25154- Internal id
d18e8bad-90c6-4b24-a468-dc63cda66efd- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-27. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 746,656 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $102,407 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,928 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.444 |
| Race | White alone | 38.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 9.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 9.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 44.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 22.0% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 22.5% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 58.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 30.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 54.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.6% |
| Household | Family households | 76.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 3.14 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 36.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $634,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $2,088 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 71.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 1.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 5.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 11.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 4.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.1% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $3,949,505 | $4,067,087 | $51,825 | $0 | $3,203,118 |
| 2020 | $6,112,639 | $5,943,381 | $169,258 | $0 | $4,728,273 |
Elections
Committees
- FLIP FORWARD PAC β principal Β· type V
- FLIP FORWARD PAC β independent Β· type V
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $101,489 | $3,363,063 | 31 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | CLIMATE POWER ACTION | support | $3,350 | Ad Production (Estimate) |
| β | CLIMATE POWER ACTION | support | $27,500 | Ad Buy (Estimate) |
| β | CLIMATE POWER ACTION | support | $1,945 | Texting Services (Estimate) |
| β | CLIMATE POWER ACTION | support | $15,648 | Mail Production and Postage (Estimate) |
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $15,456 | Mailer and postage |
| 2022-11-07 | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $4,078 | Texting |
| 2022-11-02 | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $17,716 | Mailer |
| 2022-10-31 | NRCC | oppose | $386,370 | MEDIA |
| 2022-10-29 | WORKING AMERICA | support | $7,000 | Digital Advertising |
| 2022-10-28 | NRCC | oppose | $9,298 | MEDIA |
| 2022-10-28 | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $12,507 | Mailer and postage |
| 2022-10-25 | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | oppose | $25,405 | Digital Ad Placement & Production |
| 2022-10-24 | AMERICAN LEADERSHIP PAC | oppose | $35,250 | Digital Advertising |
| 2022-10-21 | NRCC | oppose | $8,056 | MEDIA |
| 2022-10-21 | NRCC | oppose | $772,470 | MEDIA |
| 2022-10-20 | WORKING AMERICA | support | $29 | wages and benefits |
| 2022-10-20 | WORKING AMERICA | support | $1,000 | Digital Advertising |
| 2022-10-17 | LCV VICTORY FUND | support | $8 | Staff time for Press release (via Drawdown) |
| 2022-10-14 | NRCC | oppose | $774,670 | MEDIA |
| 2022-10-14 | NRCC | oppose | $8,056 | MEDIA |
| 2022-10-12 | INDIVISIBLE PROJECT INC. | support | $2,500 | Billboard |
| 2022-10-08 | DOLORES HUERTA ACTION FUND | support | $107 | Contract Labor Door-To-Door Canvassing Slate Program |
| 2022-10-08 | DOLORES HUERTA ACTION FUND | support | $563 | Door-To-Door Canvassing Field Program |
| 2022-10-07 | NRCC | oppose | $484,270 | MEDIA |
| 2022-10-07 | NRCC | oppose | $8,056 | MEDIA |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $15,456 | fec_ies | |
| β | CLIMATE POWER ACTION | supports_independently | $1,945 | fec_ies | |
| β | CLIMATE POWER ACTION | supports_independently | $3,350 | fec_ies | |
| β | CLIMATE POWER ACTION | supports_independently | $15,648 | fec_ies | |
| β | CLIMATE POWER ACTION | supports_independently | $27,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-12-20 | ACTIVATE AMERICA | contributed_to | $935 | pas2 | |
| 2022-12-15 | JIM COSTA FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $-2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-29 | SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION) | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-15 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $58 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-15 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-15 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $12 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-15 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $42 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-15 | EQUALITY CALIFORNIA FEDERAL PAC | contributed_to | $1,968 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-14 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD AFFILIATES OF CALIFORNIA VOTES PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-14 | VOTE FOR EQUALITY | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-11 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $512 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-11 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $171 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-11 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $24 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-11 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $210 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-11 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $59 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-11 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $33 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-11 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $257 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-10 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF TEAMSTERS | contributed_to | $9,316 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-10 | GIFFORDS PAC | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-10 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $512 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-10 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-09 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD ADVOCACY PROJECT LOS ANGELES COUNTY | contributed_to | $26 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-08 | COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC | contributed_to | $18 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-08 | AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $907 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-08 | COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC | contributed_to | $111 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-08 | COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC | contributed_to | $7 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | GIFFORDS PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | ACTIVATE AMERICA | contributed_to | $415 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $4,078 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-07 | OCCUPY DEMOCRATS ELECTION FUND | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | contributed_to | $4,077 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | INTERNATIONAL LONGSHORE AND WAREHOUSE UNION -- POLITICAL ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | SIERRA CLUB POLITICAL COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-06 | CLF | contributed_to | $1,050 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-05 | SWING LEFT | contributed_to | $67 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-05 | SWING LEFT | contributed_to | $180 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-05 | CLIMATE POWER ACTION | contributed_to | $1,809 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-04 | VOTE FOR EQUALITY | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | MAKE IT IN AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | ACTIVATE AMERICA | contributed_to | $96 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | AMERICAN FEDERATION OF GOVT. EMPL. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC | contributed_to | $92 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC | contributed_to | $5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $254 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | contributed_to | $17,716 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $17,716 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-02 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $15 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $37 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | SIERRA CLUB | contributed_to | $3 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $23 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD ADVOCACY PROJECT LOS ANGELES COUNTY | contributed_to | $31 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $40 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | COMMUNICATIONS WORKERS OF AMERICA - COPE POLITICAL CONTRIBUTIONS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-4,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | MAKE IT IN AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | DOING RIGHT - RESULTS ACTION UNITY LEADERSHIP PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | INDIVISIBLE ACTION | contributed_to | $199 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC | contributed_to | $185 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | EQUALITY CALIFORNIA FEDERAL PAC | contributed_to | $1,025 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | CLF | contributed_to | $50,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC | contributed_to | $900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $374 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | NRCC | contributed_to | $386,370 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | JOE NEGUSE FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | TRICIA ZUNKER FOR WISCONSIN | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $386,370 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-31 | DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC | contributed_to | $25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-30 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $13 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-30 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $22 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-29 | WORKING AMERICA | supports_independently | $7,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-29 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $26 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-29 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $60 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-29 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $352 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-29 | WORKING AMERICA | contributed_to | $7,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | MACHINISTS NON PARTISAN POLITICAL LEAGUE OF THE INTERNATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF MACHINISTS & AEROSPACE WORKERS | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | LCV VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $12,506 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | ACTIVATE AMERICA | contributed_to | $446 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | LCV VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $12,507 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-28 | NRCC | contributed_to | $9,297 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | JIM COSTA FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | UAW NATIONAL CAP | contributed_to | $644 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD AFFILIATES OF CALIFORNIA VOTES PAC | contributed_to | $70 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | CLF | contributed_to | $209,917 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | NRCC | opposes_independently | $9,298 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-28 | CALIFORNIA TEACHERS ASSOCIATION | contributed_to | $207 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | GRASSROOTS ORGANIZING WINS (GROWPAC) | contributed_to | $3,615 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-27 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-27 | D.R.I.V.E. - DEM, REP, IND VOTER ED (THE PAC OF THE INT'L BRHD OF TEAMSTERS) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-27 | ONE VOICE | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-27 | COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC | contributed_to | $148 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-27 | COURAGE CALIFORNIA SUPER PAC | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-26 | LCV VICTORY FUND | contributed_to | $15,456 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-26 | CLIMATE POWER ACTION | contributed_to | $15,648 | pas2 |
Outbound (2)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | FLIP FORWARD PAC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | FLIP FORWARD PAC | β | candidate_committees |