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HARRIS, JOHN LANCE

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H0LA05112
Internal id
a69d81b1-2daa-46b0-b85f-20bc84601924
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), LA-05. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation778,598
PeopleMedian age37
IncomeMedian household income$61,529
IncomePer-capita income$34,081
IncomeIn poverty19.5%
IncomeUnemployed6.2%
IncomeGini inequality index0.492
RaceWhite alone62.6%
RaceBlack alone28.2%
RaceAsian alone1.4%
RaceHispanic or Latino4.9%
RaceTwo or more races5.7%
OriginForeign-born3.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home94.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home3.0%
EducationHigh school or higher59.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher26.0%
EducationAdvanced degree9.5%
HouseholdFamily households64.3%
HouseholdAvg household size2.54
HouseholdNever married (15+)36.8%
HousingMedian home value$213,200
HousingMedian gross rent$1,010
HousingSingle-family detached65.3%
HousingBuilt before 19402.8%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.3%
HousingVacant units15.3%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.7%
HealthWith a disability16.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband86.1%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet10.7%
CommuteDrove alone80.3%
CommutePublic transit0.5%
CommuteWorked from home7.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$18,131$0$195,569$0
2024$0$0$18,131$213,700$0
2022$1,010$6,001$18,131$213,700$10
2020$711,205$688,083$23,122$219,700$458,355

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2021-03-15LOUISIANA BANKERS ASSOCIATION FED PAC24K$1,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (2)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2021-03-15LOUISIANA BANKERS ASSOCIATION FED PACcommittee_contributed_to_candidate$1,00024Kfec_pas2
2021-03-15LOUISIANA BANKERS ASSOCIATION FED PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofLANCE HARRIS FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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