LONG, BILLY MR.

R · senate

FEC candidate id: H0MO07113
Internal id: 7f34d054-88ba-451c-9497-c1e071caef6e
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MO-07. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	785,302
People	Median age	39
Income	Median household income	$63,127
Income	Per-capita income	$34,513
Income	In poverty	14.0%
Income	Unemployed	3.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.456
Race	White alone	85.7%
Race	Black alone	1.9%
Race	Asian alone	1.4%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	6.5%
Race	Two or more races	7.8%
Origin	Foreign-born	3.8%
Language	Speaks English only at home	93.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	3.5%
Education	High school or higher	59.5%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	27.7%
Education	Advanced degree	10.0%
Household	Family households	63.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.42
Household	Never married (15+)	28.4%
Housing	Median home value	$214,300
Housing	Median gross rent	$961
Housing	Single-family detached	71.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.0%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.4%
Housing	Vacant units	10.9%
Service	Veterans (18+)	7.7%
Health	With a disability	15.4%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	87.4%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	7.9%
Commute	Drove alone	76.7%
Commute	Public transit	0.3%
Commute	Worked from home	10.2%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$136,900	$166,732	$0	$0	$136,900
2024	$35,977	$28,158	$29,832	$130,000	$28,195
2022	$2,205,145	$2,658,243	$22,013	$130,000	$1,097,390
2020	$1,337,163	$1,534,977	$475,111	$0	$424,282
2018	$1,530,793	$1,247,421	$672,925	$0	$504,380
2016	$1,468,339	$1,640,591	$389,553	$0	$512,989
2014	$1,199,797	$952,887	$561,805	$0	$584,249
2012	$924,152	$639,660	$314,895	$0	$512,340
2010	$1,302,007	$1,272,604	$29,403	$0	$1,059,135

Elections

2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general house · MO-7 — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2010 general senate · MO-S — running
2012 general senate · MO-S — running
2012 general senate · MO-S — running
2012 general senate · MO-S — running
2012 general senate · MO-S — running
2012 general house · MO-7 — running
2012 general senate · MO-S — running
2012 general senate · MO-S — running
2012 general senate · MO-S — running
2012 general senate · MO-S — running
2012 general senate · MO-S — running
2012 general senate · MO-S — running
2012 general senate · MO-S — running
2012 general senate · MO-S — running
2014 general senate · MO-S — running
2014 general senate · MO-S — running
2014 general house · MO-7 — running
2014 general senate · MO-S — running
2016 general senate · MO-S — running
2016 general house · MO-7 — running
2016 general senate · MO-S — running
2016 general senate · MO-S — running
2016 general senate · MO-S — running
2016 general senate · MO-S — running
2016 general senate · MO-S — running
2016 general senate · MO-S — running
2016 general senate · MO-S — running
2018 general senate · MO-S — running
2018 general senate · MO-S — running
2018 general senate · MO-S — running
2018 general senate · MO-S — running
2018 general senate · MO-S — running
2018 general house · MO-7 — running
2018 general senate · MO-S — running
2018 general senate · MO-S — running
2018 general senate · MO-S — running
2018 general senate · MO-S — running
2018 general senate · MO-S — running
2018 general senate · MO-S — running
2018 general senate · MO-S — running
2020 general senate · MO-S — running
2020 general house · MO-7 — running
2020 general senate · MO-S — running
2020 general senate · MO-S — running
2020 general senate · MO-S — running
2022 general senate · MO-S — running
2022 general senate · MO-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · MO-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · MO-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · MO-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · MO-S — running
2022 general senate · MO-S — running
2022 general senate · MO-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · MO-S — lost_general
2022 general senate · MO-S — running

Committees

BILLY LONG FOR SENATE — principal · type S
HEALTH FIRST COMMITTEE — joint_fundraising · type N
LONGHORN INNOVATION 2016 — joint_fundraising · type H
SECURITY FOR AMERICA FUND — joint_fundraising · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
R (major party)	+10.0%
senate race	-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$305,200	$0	7

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-08-01	WINMO PAC	support	$3,200	Robo Calls
2022-07-28	WINMO PAC	support	$22,000	Video Texting
2022-05-16	WINMO PAC	support	$120,000	Media Buy
2022-04-08	WINMO PAC	support	$32,500	Texting & Data
2022-03-30	WINMO PAC	support	$2,500	Digital Production
2022-03-29	WINMO PAC	support	$10,000	Media Production
2022-03-28	WINMO PAC	support	$115,000	Media Buy

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-06-10	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION…	24K	$-1,000
2022-10-17	SCALISE FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-09-30	IN THE ARENA PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-09-19	FIRST IN FREEDOM PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-08-31	AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTIO…	24K	$-5,000
2022-07-25	OUTDOOR AMUSEMENT BUSINESS ASSOCIATION INC POLI…	24K	$2,500
2022-05-13	BUILDING AMERICA'S REPUBLICAN REPRESENTATION PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-03-31	BRINGING REPUBLICAN EXCELLENCE TO TOWN PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-03-31	VALOR PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-03-30	WINMO PAC	24E	$2,500
2022-03-29	WINMO PAC	24E	$10,000
2022-03-28	WINMO PAC	24E	$115,000
2022-03-23	VOTE TO ELECT REPUBLICANS NOW PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-03-16	BUDDY PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-03-14	OUTDOOR AMUSEMENT BUSINESS ASSOCIATION INC POLI…	24K	$2,500
2022-01-28	LEE PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-01-26	LOBIONDO FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2022-01-04	EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,000
2021-12-30	VALOR PAC	24K	$2,900
2021-12-27	KEEP AMERICA ROLLING	24K	$1,000
2021-11-03	ASTELLAS US LLC PAC (ASTELLAS PAC)	24K	$-2,000
2021-10-12	KEEP AMERICA ROLLING	24K	$1,000
2021-10-08	HILMAR CHEESE COMPANY, INC. PAC	24K	$2,500
2021-09-29	EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,000
2021-09-27	LEADERSHIP FOR ENTERPRISE AND OPPORTUNITY PAC	24K	$2,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (91)

date	from	type	amount	source
2025-06-10	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE; AKA DFA-PAC	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-10-17	SCALISE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-30	IN THE ARENA PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-19	FIRST IN FREEDOM PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-31	AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-5,000	pas2
2022-08-01	WINMO PAC	supports_independently	$3,200	fec_ies
2022-07-28	WINMO PAC	supports_independently	$22,000	fec_ies
2022-07-25	OUTDOOR AMUSEMENT BUSINESS ASSOCIATION INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-05-16	WINMO PAC	supports_independently	$120,000	fec_ies
2022-05-13	BUILDING AMERICA'S REPUBLICAN REPRESENTATION PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-04-08	WINMO PAC	supports_independently	$32,500	fec_ies
2022-03-31	BRINGING REPUBLICAN EXCELLENCE TO TOWN PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-03-31	VALOR PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-03-30	WINMO PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-03-30	WINMO PAC	supports_independently	$2,500	fec_ies
2022-03-29	WINMO PAC	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2022-03-29	WINMO PAC	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
2022-03-28	WINMO PAC	supports_independently	$115,000	fec_ies
2022-03-28	WINMO PAC	contributed_to	$115,000	pas2
2022-03-23	VOTE TO ELECT REPUBLICANS NOW PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-03-16	BUDDY PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-03-14	OUTDOOR AMUSEMENT BUSINESS ASSOCIATION INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-01-28	LEE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-01-26	LOBIONDO FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-01-04	EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-12-30	VALOR PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2021-12-27	KEEP AMERICA ROLLING	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-11-03	ASTELLAS US LLC PAC (ASTELLAS PAC)	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2021-10-12	KEEP AMERICA ROLLING	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-10-08	HILMAR CHEESE COMPANY, INC. PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-29	EUREKA POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-09-27	LEADERSHIP FOR ENTERPRISE AND OPPORTUNITY PAC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2021-09-27	LEADERSHIP FOR ENTERPRISE AND OPPORTUNITY PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-09-24	THE COUNCIL OF INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-24	TEXAS RED	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-23	HOOSIERDOC PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-09-20	FOX CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (FOX PAC)	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-09-14	HERZOG PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-08-31	AMEREN CORPORATION FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AMEREN FEDPAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-08-24	SHOW-ME POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-08-11	CNG HOLDINGS, INC. PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-08-03	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE; AKA DFA-PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-07-31	BUILDING LEADERSHIP AND INSPIRING NEW ENTERPRISE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-07-28	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BENEFITS AND INSURANCE PROFESSIONALS PAC (NABIP PAC)	contributed_to	$4,000	pas2
2021-07-26	GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GENERAL DYNAMICS EMPLOYEE PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-07-14	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-07-07	AMEREN CORPORATION FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AMEREN FEDPAC)	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2021-07-06	THE WILLIAMS COMPANIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-07-01	FRIENDS OF SUSAN BROOKS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-30	DAVID ROUZER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-06-30	DAVID ROUZER FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-06-30	NOOGA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-30	ASSOCIATION OF KENTUCKY FRIED CHICKEN FRANCHISEES INC PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-06-29	US ONCOLOGY INC. NETWORK POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-29	BRINGING REPUBLICAN EXCELLENCE TO TOWN PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-06-29	IN THE ARENA PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-28	DECIDING CRITICAL RACES PAC (DCR PAC)	contributed_to	$1,200	pas2
2021-06-25	ANHEUSER-BUSCH COMPANIES LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2021-06-25	NATIONAL ELECTRICAL CONTRACTORS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-06-25	PATRIOTS IN ACTION	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-06-24	FIRST IN FREEDOM PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-23	INDEPENDENT INSURANCE AGENTS & BROKERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (INSURPAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-22	DAVITA INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DAPAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-06-22	PEOPLE FOR ENTERPRISE TRADE AND ECONOMIC GROWTH (PETE PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-06-22	FOX CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (FOX PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-06-17	AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-06-17	AMERICAN OPTOMETRIC ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-06-15	THE SEASONAL EMPLOYER PAC	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2021-06-15	AMERICAN FINANCIAL SERVICES ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-06-15	LEGGETT & PLATT INCORPORATED POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-06-14	CMR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-05-26	PHILLIPS 66 PAC	contributed_to	$-2,000	pas2
2021-05-26	HUSCH BLACKWELL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-05-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$3	pas2
2021-05-19	DR. BRIAN BABIN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-05-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$3	pas2
2021-05-12	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-04-27	REPUBLICAN JEWISH COALITION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (RJC-PAC)	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-04-20	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-04-20	BILL PAC	contributed_to	$1,250	pas2
2021-04-14	OUTDOOR AMUSEMENT BUSINESS ASSOCIATION INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2021-03-30	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF BENEFITS AND INSURANCE PROFESSIONALS PAC (NABIP PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-03-29	DAIRY FARMERS OF AMERICA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE; AKA DFA-PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2021-03-29	NATIONAL MILK PRODUCERS FEDERATION PAC (NMPF PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-03-23	CMR POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2021-03-17	NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF REALTORS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-03-15	THE CIGNA GROUP EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-03-01	TOYOTA MOTOR NORTH AMERICA, INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (TOYOTA/LEXUS PAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-03-01	AMERICAN FINANCIAL SERVICES ASSOCIATION PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-02-12	BRINGING REPUBLICAN EXCELLENCE TO TOWN PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2021-01-19	BUILD POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE OF THE NATIONAL ASSOCIATION OF HOME BUILDERS (BUILDPAC)	contributed_to	$-2,500	pas2

Outbound (4)

date	type	to	amount	source
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	SECURITY FOR AMERICA FUND	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	HEALTH FIRST COMMITTEE	—	candidate_committees
—	joint_fundraising_committee_of	LONGHORN INNOVATION 2016	—	candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	BILLY LONG FOR SENATE	—	candidate_committees

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