GARCIA HOLMES, MICHELLE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H0NM01189- Internal id
4c2864bc-f636-43f3-b305-796c56b20dde- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NM-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 711,799 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $71,236 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $42,996 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.468 |
| Race | White alone | 56.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 41.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 23.7% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.1% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 78.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 15.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 60.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 17.9% |
| Household | Family households | 56.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.28 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $304,400 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,144 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 63.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $862 | $2,562 | $0 | $1,675 | $0 |
| 2022 | $391,732 | $401,737 | $1,699 | $4,166 | $231,052 |
| 2020 | $395,288 | $383,584 | $11,705 | $0 | $248,924 |
Elections
Committees
- GARCIA HOLMES FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-31 | NO EASY DAY PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-10-25 | AMERICAN GRIT PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-10-20 | NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-10-17 | BE VICTORIOUS OVER DEMOCRATS PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-10-11 | INVEST IN A STRONG AND SECURE AMERICA | 24K | $500 |
| 2022-10-07 | GUY FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-09-29 | CLF | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-09-28 | HELLFIRE PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-09-27 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP TRUST | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-09-20 | SCALISE FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-09-20 | THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2022-07-21 | MERRION OIL & GAS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION β¦ | 24K | $2,900 |
| 2022-06-20 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | 24K | $5,000 |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | 24A | $8 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (14)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-31 | NO EASY DAY PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-25 | AMERICAN GRIT PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-20 | NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-17 | BE VICTORIOUS OVER DEMOCRATS PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-11 | INVEST IN A STRONG AND SECURE AMERICA | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-07 | GUY FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-29 | CLF | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-28 | HELLFIRE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-27 | HISPANIC LEADERSHIP TRUST | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-20 | SCALISE FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-20 | THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-21 | MERRION OIL & GAS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-20 | HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-06-11 | PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES | contributed_to | $8 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | GARCIA HOLMES FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |