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D'ARRIGO, MELANIE

D · house

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FEC candidate id
H0NY03075
Internal id
00fcb396-cabd-4261-8e4f-c28b15550e9e
Status
open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-03. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation770,395
PeopleMedian age45
IncomeMedian household income$139,677
IncomePer-capita income$69,139
IncomeIn poverty5.8%
IncomeUnemployed4.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.479
RaceWhite alone56.0%
RaceBlack alone3.6%
RaceAsian alone23.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino15.2%
RaceTwo or more races9.5%
OriginForeign-born27.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home62.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home10.9%
EducationHigh school or higher71.0%
EducationBachelor's or higher53.4%
EducationAdvanced degree25.0%
HouseholdFamily households74.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.82
HouseholdNever married (15+)29.4%
HousingMedian home value$770,400
HousingMedian gross rent$2,315
HousingSingle-family detached66.9%
HousingBuilt before 194012.9%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.3%
HousingVacant units4.5%
ServiceVeterans (18+)2.7%
HealthWith a disability10.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.3%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet4.3%
CommuteDrove alone57.5%
CommutePublic transit14.4%
CommuteWorked from home16.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$5,450$6,153$0$0$0
2022$412,000$418,737$703$57,200$399,015
2020$190,841$183,401$7,440$52,200$122,999

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
open seat-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$1,100$01

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
INDIVISIBLE ACTIONsupport$1,100Text Messages (estimate)

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
INDIVISIBLE ACTION24E$1,061
INDIVISIBLE ACTION24E$1,269
2022-09-26INDIVISIBLE ACTION24E$1,269
2022-09-26INDIVISIBLE ACTION24E$1,061
2022-08-23BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT…24E$446
2022-08-22HER BOLD MOVE ACTION24K$500
2022-08-19UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION P…24K$2,500
2022-08-14BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT…24E$482
2022-08-05BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT…24E$224
2022-07-30BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT…24E$171
2022-07-05BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT…24E$359
2022-06-30BLUE AMERICA PAC24K$1,000
2022-04-21NATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR WOMEN, INC. PAC24K$2,500
2022-04-08MOMS IN OFFICE24K$500
2021-11-12INDIVISIBLE ACTION24K$1,000
2021-06-10NATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR WOMEN, INC. PAC24K$2,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (17)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
INDIVISIBLE ACTIONcontributed_to$1,061pas2
INDIVISIBLE ACTIONcontributed_to$1,269pas2
INDIVISIBLE ACTIONsupports_independently$1,100fec_ies
2022-09-26INDIVISIBLE ACTIONcontributed_to$1,061pas2
2022-09-26INDIVISIBLE ACTIONcontributed_to$1,269pas2
2022-08-23BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEEcontributed_to$446pas2
2022-08-22HER BOLD MOVE ACTIONcontributed_to$500pas2
2022-08-19UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAWcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-08-14BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEEcontributed_to$482pas2
2022-08-05BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEEcontributed_to$224pas2
2022-07-30BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEEcontributed_to$171pas2
2022-07-05BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEEcontributed_to$359pas2
2022-06-30BLUE AMERICA PACcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2022-04-21NATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR WOMEN, INC. PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-04-08MOMS IN OFFICEcontributed_to$500pas2
2021-11-12INDIVISIBLE ACTIONcontributed_to$1,000pas2
2021-06-10NATIONAL ORGANIZATION FOR WOMEN, INC. PACcontributed_to$2,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
principal_candidate_ofFRIENDS OF MELANIE DARRIGOcandidate_committees

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