MCGUIRE, JOHN
R · house · currently seated · bioguide M001239
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- FEC candidate id
H0VA07133- Internal id
2b450d18-c9c2-4cea-98bd-c0a08ea23f32- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), VA-05. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 798,638 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,558 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,062 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.481 |
| Race | White alone | 69.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 19.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 4.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 93.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.8% |
| Household | Family households | 63.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.38 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 32.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $276,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,114 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.9% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.9% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 13.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 85.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 11.9% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 73.0% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.0% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,262,974 | $855,298 | $441,894 | $99,287 | $752,316 |
| 2020 | $763,934 | $763,934 | $0 | $0 | $761,981 |
Elections
- 2020 general house · VA-7 — won
- 2020 general house · VA-5 — running
- 2026 general house · VA-5 — running
Committees
- MCGUIRE FOR VIRGINIA — principal · type H
- MCGUIRE FOR VIRGINIA — principal · type H
- MCGUIRE RECOUNT COMMITTEE — principal · type H
Recent votes
- 2026-05-15 · Cong. 119 · house roll 175
YEA on HR 8469 — Making appropriations for military construction, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and related agencies for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, and for other purposes. - 2026-05-15 · Cong. 119 · house roll 174
YEA on HR 8469 — Making appropriations for military construction, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and related agencies for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, and for other purposes. - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 173
YEA on HR 8365 — Monitor Accountability Act - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 172
NAY on HR 8365 — Monitor Accountability Act - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 171
YEA on HR 5625 — Cashless Bail Reporting Act - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 170
NAY on HCONRES 75 — Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers Resolution, to remove the United States Armed Forces from hostilities against the Islamic Republic of Iran. - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 169
YEA on HR 6260 — Keeping Violent Offenders Off Our Streets Act of 2025 - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 168
NAY on HR 6260 — Keeping Violent Offenders Off Our Streets Act of 2025 - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · house roll 167
YEA on HRES 1259 — Expressing the sense of the House of Representatives that the President should prioritize securing the release of Pastor Jin Mingri, Pastor Gao Quanfu and his wife Pang Yu, Dr. Gulshan Abbas, and Jimmy Lai detained by the People's Republic of China during future engagements with Chinese President Xi Jinping. - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · house roll 166
YEA on HRES 1251 — Calling on elected officials and civil society leaders to counter antisemitism and educate the public on the contributions of the Jewish-American community.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- sponsor · 2026-05-15 — HR 8843 — To amend title 18, United States, to include property damage in acts that constitute domestic terrorism, and for other purposes.
- cosponsor · 2026-02-04 — HR 6976 — Duty Status Reform Act
- cosponsor · 2026-02-02 — HR 7300 — Make Elections Great Again Act
- cosponsor · 2025-11-17 — HR 5267 — American Franchise Act
- sponsor · 2025-09-09 — HR 5218 — Border Wall Status Act
- cosponsor · 2025-03-25 — HR 7 — No Taxpayer Funding for Abortion and Abortion Insurance Full Disclosure Act of 2025
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $1,679,793 | $0 | 32 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-06-15 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $2,226 | Text messages |
| 2024-06-14 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $18,750 | Phone calls |
| 2024-06-07 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $30,176 | Digital Placement |
| 2024-05-31 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $1,750 | Door Hangers |
| 2024-05-31 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $21,000 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-05-31 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $25,000 | Canvassing |
| 2024-05-30 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $30,176 | Digital Placement |
| 2024-05-30 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $10,000 | Media Production |
| 2024-05-30 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $659,938 | Media Placement |
| 2024-05-30 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $21,000 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-05-30 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $21,000 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-05-29 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $956 | Phone Calls |
| 2024-05-28 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $24,445 | Digital Placement |
| 2024-05-28 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $6,230 | Text Messages |
| 2024-05-21 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $875 | Door hangers |
| 2024-05-16 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $68,762 | Media Placement |
| 2024-05-15 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $29,701 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-05-14 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $1,148 | Text Messages |
| 2024-05-13 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $25,000 | Canvassing |
| 2024-05-10 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $100,670 | Media Placement |
| 2024-05-10 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $29,701 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-05-09 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $19,923 | Digital Placement |
| 2024-05-09 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $875 | Door Hangers |
| 2024-05-06 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $29,701 | Direct mail |
| 2024-05-03 | AMERICAN PATRIOTS PAC | support | $212,304 | Media Placement |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee MCGUIRE FOR VIRGINIA.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| WEINBERGER, MEG | STATE OF FLORIDA · STATE REP | PALM BEACH GARDENS, FL | 1 | $3,300 |
| COOGAN, BILL | RETIRED · RETIRED | MANAKIN SABOT, VA | 1 | $500 |
| ROCOVICH, JOHN GEORGE MR JR | MOSSAND ROUVICHATTORNOIS · ATTORNEY | ROANOKE, VA | 1 | $500 |
| HANLON, SUSAN B MS | RETIRED · RETIRED | CLARENDON HILLS, IL | 1 | $500 |
| HAYDEN, MARILYN J MRS RET | RETIRED · RETIRED | SCOTTSDALE, AZ | 1 | $500 |
| HUNTER, NANCY B MRS | RETIRED · RETIRED | LYNCHBURG, VA | 2 | $500 |
| COHEN, JORDAN | CRESTA · SALESPERSON | INDIANAPOLIS, IN | 1 | $250 |
| WILLIAMS, MICHAEL R MR | RETIRED · RETIRED | DONGOLA, IL | 1 | $200 |
| WILKES, MARK MR | REMAX · REALTOR | BRANDY STATION, VA | 2 | $200 |
| KNAPP, EDWARD W MR | RETIRED · RETIRED | NORTH PALM BEACH, FL | 1 | $100 |
| RUNNING, NELS MR RET | RETIRED · RETIRED | ARLINGTON, VA | 1 | $100 |
| SMITH, MARTIN E MR SR | RETIRED · RETIRED | TAPPAHANNOCK, VA | 1 | $100 |
| THOMAS, MARC J MR | RETIRED · RETIRED | ARLINGTON, VA | 1 | $100 |
| WALL, IRENE B MRS RET | RETIRED · RETIRED | PRUDENVILLE, MI | 1 | $100 |
| DUPLANTIS, JOHN B MR | RETIRED · RETIRED | LAFAYETTE, LA | 1 | $100 |
| BORN, WANDA L MRS | RETIRED · RETIRED | HENRICO, VA | 1 | $100 |
| WILLIAMS, GEORGE W MR | RETIRED · RETIRED | CHARLOTTESVILLE, VA | 1 | $100 |
| OBATA, MICHELLE | MARKON, LLC · DEFENSE ANALYST | SPRINGFIELD, VA | 1 | $25 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (84)
Outbound (26)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | principal_candidate_of | MCGUIRE RECOUNT COMMITTEE | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | principal_candidate_of | MCGUIRE FOR VIRGINIA | — | candidate_committees | |
| — | principal_candidate_of | MCGUIRE FOR VIRGINIA | — | candidate_committees | |
| 2026-05-15 | sponsor_of_bill | HR 8843 — To amend title 18, United States, to include property damage in acts that constitute domes | — | sponsor | sponsorship |
| 2026-04-15 | traded_security | org:da907bad | $1,001 | P | stock-act-trade |
| 2026-04-15 | traded_security | org:226cbfd5 | $1,001 | P | stock-act-trade |
| 2026-02-04 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 6976 — Duty Status Reform Act | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2026-02-02 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 7300 — Make Elections Great Again Act | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2026-01-30 | traded_security | org:226cbfd5 | $1,001 | P | stock-act-trade |
| 2026-01-30 | traded_security | org:da907bad | $1,001 | S (partial) | stock-act-trade |
| 2026-01-21 | traded_security | org:da907bad | $1,001 | P | stock-act-trade |
| 2026-01-20 | traded_security | org:db82c123 | $1,001 | S (partial) | stock-act-trade |
| 2025-11-17 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 5267 — American Franchise Act | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2025-09-09 | sponsor_of_bill | HR 5218 — Border Wall Status Act | — | sponsor | sponsorship |
| 2025-06-30 | traded_security | org:c419caa8 | $1,001 | P | stock-act-trade |
| 2025-06-27 | traded_security | org:4f710616 | $1,001 | S (partial) | stock-act-trade |
| 2025-05-16 | traded_security | org:4f710616 | $1,001 | P | stock-act-trade |
| 2025-04-10 | traded_security | org:6803d22d | $1,001 | P | stock-act-trade |
| 2025-03-25 | cosponsor_of_bill | HR 7 — No Taxpayer Funding for Abortion and Abortion Insurance Full Disclosure Act of 2025 | — | cosponsor | sponsorship |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Armed Services Committee | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Oversight and Government Reform Committee | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Cybersecurity, Information Technology, and Government Innovation Subcommittee | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Military and Foreign Affairs Subcommittee | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Cyber, Information Technologies, and Innovation Subcommittee | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Tactical Air and Land Forces Subcommittee | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
| 2025-01-03 | member_of_committee | House Health Care and Financial Services Subcommittee | — | MEMBER | congress-committee |
Clips (14)
Quotes, press releases, and Congressional Record fragments where this entity is the subject. Source: govinfo.gov BILLSTATUS + per-source ingest pipelines.