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JENSEN, JESSE

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FEC candidate id
H0WA08103
Internal id
ab459c39-241e-4e2c-b56e-7134796cf63d
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), WA-08. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation781,768
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$127,442
IncomePer-capita income$61,542
IncomeIn poverty6.2%
IncomeUnemployed4.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.450
RaceWhite alone69.5%
RaceBlack alone2.0%
RaceAsian alone11.1%
RaceHispanic or Latino11.4%
RaceTwo or more races11.5%
OriginForeign-born15.3%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home80.5%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home6.7%
EducationHigh school or higher63.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher42.0%
EducationAdvanced degree15.9%
HouseholdFamily households74.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.77
HouseholdNever married (15+)26.4%
HousingMedian home value$695,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,924
HousingSingle-family detached77.0%
HousingBuilt before 19401.8%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)2.8%
HousingVacant units7.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.5%
HealthWith a disability11.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband94.9%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet3.2%
CommuteDrove alone65.5%
CommutePublic transit1.4%
CommuteWorked from home21.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$0$1,423$0$0$0
2020$857,594$847,467$10,127$0$718,280

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$254,714$29,72714

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$18,971Digital Advertising
2022-08-03LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$7,990Text Messaging
2022-07-25LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$11,023Television Advertising
2022-07-20AMERICA UNITEDoppose$29,727DIRECT MAIL: PRINTING AND POSTAGE
2022-07-19LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$7,500Television Advertising
2022-07-11LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$15,000Television Advertising
2022-07-06LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$22,500Digital Advertising
2022-04-08LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$40,000Federal IE - Digital Advertising
2022-03-28LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$15,340Federal IE - Radio Advertising
2022-03-14LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$30,000Federal IE - Digital Advertising
2022-03-14LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$6,200Federal IE - Digital Advertising
2022-02-24LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$1,250Federal IE - Website
2022-02-22LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$3,500Federal IE - Radio
2022-02-18LEAD THE WAY PACsupport$75,440Federal IE - Radio

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
β€”LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$18,971
2022-08-03LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$7,990
2022-07-25LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$11,022
2022-07-20AMERICA UNITED24A$29,727
2022-07-19LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$7,500
2022-07-11LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$15,000
2022-07-06LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$22,500
2022-04-08LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$40,000
2022-03-28LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$15,340
2022-03-14LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$6,200
2022-03-14LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$30,000
2022-02-24LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$1,250
2022-02-22LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$3,500
2022-02-18LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$75,440
2021-12-14LEAD THE WAY PAC24E$1,716
2021-06-11PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$8

Connected on the graph

Inbound (30)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$18,971pas2
β€”LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$18,971fec_ies
2022-08-03LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$7,990fec_ies
2022-08-03LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$7,990pas2
2022-07-25LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$11,023fec_ies
2022-07-25LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$11,022pas2
2022-07-20AMERICA UNITED PACcontributed_to$29,727pas2
2022-07-20AMERICA UNITED PACopposes_independently$29,727fec_ies
2022-07-19LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$7,500pas2
2022-07-19LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$7,500fec_ies
2022-07-11LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$15,000pas2
2022-07-11LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$15,000fec_ies
2022-07-06LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$22,500fec_ies
2022-07-06LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$22,500pas2
2022-04-08LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$40,000fec_ies
2022-04-08LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$40,000pas2
2022-03-28LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$15,340pas2
2022-03-28LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$15,340fec_ies
2022-03-14LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$30,000fec_ies
2022-03-14LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$30,000pas2
2022-03-14LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$6,200pas2
2022-03-14LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$6,200fec_ies
2022-02-24LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$1,250pas2
2022-02-24LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
2022-02-22LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$3,500fec_ies
2022-02-22LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$3,500pas2
2022-02-18LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$75,440pas2
2022-02-18LEAD THE WAY PACsupports_independently$75,440fec_ies
2021-12-14LEAD THE WAY PACcontributed_to$1,716pas2
2021-06-11PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$8pas2

Outbound (3)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”leadership_committee_ofFOUR TOUR PACβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofJENSEN FOR WA-08β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofFOUR TOUR PACβ€”candidate_committees

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