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BLACKMAN, WALTER JACK

R Β· house

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FEC candidate id
H2AZ01339
Internal id
b78306f9-19e6-45b3-8bb8-07e03ba51592
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AZ-02. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation826,257
PeopleMedian age42
IncomeMedian household income$67,729
IncomePer-capita income$34,854
IncomeIn poverty16.6%
IncomeUnemployed6.3%
IncomeGini inequality index0.458
RaceWhite alone58.5%
RaceBlack alone2.4%
RaceAsian alone1.3%
RaceHispanic or Latino18.2%
RaceTwo or more races12.4%
OriginForeign-born5.7%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home78.8%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home8.8%
EducationHigh school or higher53.4%
EducationBachelor's or higher26.2%
EducationAdvanced degree10.2%
HouseholdFamily households64.8%
HouseholdAvg household size2.49
HouseholdNever married (15+)33.2%
HousingMedian home value$345,300
HousingMedian gross rent$1,254
HousingSingle-family detached70.0%
HousingBuilt before 19401.2%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)5.1%
HousingVacant units18.8%
ServiceVeterans (18+)8.9%
HealthWith a disability16.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband85.4%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet11.3%
CommuteDrove alone69.5%
CommutePublic transit0.5%
CommuteWorked from home13.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$1,163,970$1,151,626$12,344$0$1,097,086

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$500$477,00520

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAsupport$500IE Digital Production/Placement
2022-07-21SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$184mail production (from advance line 21)
2022-07-20SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$41TV ad costs (from advance line 21)
2022-07-20SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$41Radio ad costs (from advance line 21)
2022-07-18SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$184mail production (from advance line 21)
2022-07-14SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$184Mail production (from advance line 21)
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$33,713Mail production, postage
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$155,295TV ad placement
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$9,000Radio ad placement
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$33,713Mail production, postage
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$33,713Mail production, postage
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$200data analytics
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$184mail production (from advance line 21)
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$32,713Mail production, postage
2022-07-08SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$312TV ad production (from advance line 21)
2022-07-08SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$163Radio ad production (from advance line 21)
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$3,811Radio ad production
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$9,000Radio ad placement
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$9,260TV ad production
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDoppose$155,295TV ad placement

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICA24E$500
2022-09-05WINRED24K$-25
2022-08-27WINRED24K$-10
2022-08-23WINRED24K$-10
2022-08-14WINRED24K$-3
2022-08-09WINRED24K$-1
2022-08-01WINRED24K$-2
2022-07-23WINRED24K$-10
2022-07-21SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$183
2022-07-20SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$40
2022-07-20SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$40
2022-07-18SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$183
2022-07-14SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$183
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$32,713
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$155,295
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$33,713
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$183
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$33,713
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$33,713
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$200
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$9,000
2022-07-08SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$163
2022-07-08SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$312
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$9,000
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUND24A$155,295

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAcontributed_to$500pas2
β€”ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAsupports_independently$500fec_ies
2022-09-05WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-08-27WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-08-23WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-08-14WINREDcontributed_to$-3pas2
2022-08-09WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2022-08-01WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-07-23WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-07-21SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$183pas2
2022-07-21SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$184fec_ies
2022-07-20SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$40pas2
2022-07-20SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$41fec_ies
2022-07-20SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$41fec_ies
2022-07-20SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$40pas2
2022-07-18SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$183pas2
2022-07-18SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$184fec_ies
2022-07-14SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$184fec_ies
2022-07-14SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$183pas2
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$33,713fec_ies
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$200pas2
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$32,713fec_ies
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$184fec_ies
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$33,713pas2
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$33,713pas2
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$200fec_ies
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$32,713pas2
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$155,295pas2
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$9,000pas2
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$33,713fec_ies
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$9,000fec_ies
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$155,295fec_ies
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$183pas2
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$33,713pas2
2022-07-11SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$33,713fec_ies
2022-07-08SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$312pas2
2022-07-08SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$163fec_ies
2022-07-08SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$312fec_ies
2022-07-08SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$163pas2
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$155,295fec_ies
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$3,811fec_ies
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$9,000fec_ies
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDopposes_independently$9,260fec_ies
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$9,260pas2
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$3,811pas2
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$155,295pas2
2022-07-06SCHOOL FREEDOM FUNDcontributed_to$9,000pas2
2022-06-11WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-06-11WINREDcontributed_to$-2pas2
2022-06-07WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-05-10WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-05-10WINREDcontributed_to$-20pas2
2022-05-10WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-05-09WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-05-07WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-05-04WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-05-02WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-05-02WINREDcontributed_to$-12pas2
2022-05-02WINREDcontributed_to$-12pas2
2022-04-28WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-04-27AMERICANS FOR LEGISLATING EXCELLENCE PACcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2022-04-26WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-04-24WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-18BLACK AMERICA'S POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-04-15WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-04-15WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-04-11WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-04-09WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-04-05WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-04-01WINREDcontributed_to$-171pas2
2022-03-18WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-03-18WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2022-03-05WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-03-02WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-03-02WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-03-01WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-02-25WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-02-23WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2022-02-21WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2022-02-20WINREDcontributed_to$-100pas2
2022-02-18WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2022-01-18WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-12-22WINREDcontributed_to$-50pas2
2021-12-05WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-12-05WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-12-03WINREDcontributed_to$-11pas2
2021-12-03WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-11-30ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2021-10-26WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-10-23WINREDcontributed_to$-30pas2
2021-10-22WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-10-22WINREDcontributed_to$-10pas2
2021-10-13ELBERT GUILLORY'S AMERICAcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2021-09-29THE GEO GROUP, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$2,500pas2
2021-09-15WINREDcontributed_to$-15pas2
2021-08-31WINREDcontributed_to$-25pas2
2021-08-30WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-08-28WINREDcontributed_to$-5pas2
2021-08-27WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2
2021-08-27WINREDcontributed_to$-1pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofWALT BLACKMAN FOR CONGRESSβ€”candidate_committees

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