BURAU, JUSTIN
R Β· house
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H2IL06082- Internal id
f63fb2b9-baf0-4815-b042-7cb515a6ad67- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 739,663 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $88,650 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $43,296 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.9% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.454 |
| Race | White alone | 44.7% |
| Race | Black alone | 5.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 45.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 20.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 27.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 50.5% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 36.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 37.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 13.3% |
| Household | Family households | 63.9% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.69 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $359,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,445 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 40.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 4.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 5.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 2.5% |
| Health | With a disability | 9.9% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 57.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 10.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 17.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $28,274 | $26,000 | $2,274 | $4,361 | $20,363 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· IL-3 β lost_general
Committees
- JUSTIN BURAU FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $7,500 | $0 | 1 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-06 | RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC | support | $7,500 | Digital advertising (production and placement) |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-06 | RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC | 24E | $7,500 |
| 2022-09-06 | A BRTHD AIMED TOWARD EDUC OF IL FED ELEC DEVICE⦠| 24K | $500 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-06 | RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC | supports_independently | $7,500 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-06 | RESTORATION OF AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $7,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-06 | A BRTHD AIMED TOWARD EDUC OF IL FED ELEC DEVICE FOR POLITICALLY ACTIVE MOTORCYCLISTS... | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JUSTIN BURAU FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |