WILLIAMS, MARSHA VIRIGINIA
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2IL16065- Internal id
8a3a46be-f160-4667-bade-fde107c7cdb2- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IL-17. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 746,022 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $59,364 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $33,489 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.8% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.459 |
| Race | White alone | 70.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 13.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.2% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.8% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 88.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 56.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 24.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.7% |
| Household | Family households | 56.2% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.23 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 38.4% |
| Housing | Median home value | $132,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $904 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 7.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.6% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.6% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.4% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.7% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $55,146 | $66,621 | $0 | $0 | $44,793 |
Elections
Committees
- FRIENDS TO ELECT MARSHA WILLIAMS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-09 | FRIENDS TO ELECT MARSHA WILLIAMS | 24K | $104 |
| 2022-03-01 | PROGRESSIVE CHANGE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE | 24Z | $125 |
| 2021-10-07 | THE CENTER FOR FREETHOUGHT EQUALITY PAC | 24K | $250 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (3)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-03-09 | FRIENDS TO ELECT MARSHA WILLIAMS | contributed_to | $104 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-01 | PROGRESSIVE CHANGE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $125 | pas2 | |
| 2021-10-07 | THE CENTER FOR FREETHOUGHT EQUALITY PAC | contributed_to | $250 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | FRIENDS TO ELECT MARSHA WILLIAMS | β | candidate_committees |