JAYE, BRIAN STEVEN
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2MI08154- Internal id
1fbca445-3da7-4ea4-b9a8-32a75de15914- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-10. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 771,566 |
| People | Median age | 41 |
| Income | Median household income | $76,410 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $41,502 |
| Income | In poverty | 10.7% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.439 |
| Race | White alone | 71.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 13.8% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.8% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 6.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 14.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 82.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 30.5% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.4% |
| Household | Family households | 61.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.38 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $233,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,241 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 66.6% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 4.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 93.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 5.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.7% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $910 | $3,651 | $237 | $0 | $910 |
| 2024 | $15,209 | $12,138 | $3,071 | $0 | $5,029 |
| 2022 | $55,655 | $47,153 | $6,324 | $0 | $21,182 |
| 2020 | $201 | $0 | $235 | $0 | $91 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· MI-8 β running
- 2022 general house Β· MI-9 β running
- 2022 general house Β· MI-10 β running
- 2024 general house Β· MI-10 β lost_general
- 2026 general house Β· MI-10 β running
Committees
- COMMITTEE TO ELECT BRIAN JAYE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $1,319 | $0 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-31 | SUPERMAJORITY PAC | support | $345 | Direct Mail Services |
| 2022-10-24 | SUPERMAJORITY PAC | support | $974 | Direct Mail Services |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-31 | SUPERMAJORITY PAC | 24E | $345 |
| 2022-10-28 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION P⦠| 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-10-24 | SUPERMAJORITY PAC | 24E | $973 |
| 2022-10-19 | MICHIGAN STATE AFL-CIO | 24F | $12 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (6)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-10-31 | SUPERMAJORITY PAC | supports_independently | $345 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-31 | SUPERMAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $345 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-24 | SUPERMAJORITY PAC | supports_independently | $974 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-24 | SUPERMAJORITY PAC | contributed_to | $973 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-19 | MICHIGAN STATE AFL-CIO | contributed_to | $12 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | COMMITTEE TO ELECT BRIAN JAYE | β | candidate_committees |