MARLINGA, CARL J.

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2MI10176
Internal id: 83bd1cac-a620-453d-a1bc-9381503b58b9
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MI-10. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	771,566
People	Median age	41
Income	Median household income	$76,410
Income	Per-capita income	$41,502
Income	In poverty	10.7%
Income	Unemployed	5.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.439
Race	White alone	71.8%
Race	Black alone	13.8%
Race	Asian alone	6.8%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	3.2%
Race	Two or more races	6.2%
Origin	Foreign-born	14.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	82.2%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	1.6%
Education	High school or higher	58.1%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	30.5%
Education	Advanced degree	11.4%
Household	Family households	61.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.38
Household	Never married (15+)	34.2%
Housing	Median home value	$233,800
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,241
Housing	Single-family detached	66.6%
Housing	Built before 1940	4.4%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.8%
Housing	Vacant units	4.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.8%
Health	With a disability	14.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.1%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.6%
Commute	Drove alone	74.4%
Commute	Public transit	0.7%
Commute	Worked from home	14.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$1,784	$16,327	$20,077	$0	$0
2024	$2,954,055	$2,925,342	$34,620	$0	$2,370,780
2022	$1,059,984	$1,054,077	$5,906	$0	$925,376

Elections

2022 general house · MI-10 — lost_general
2024 general house · MI-10 — lost_general

Committees

MARLINGA FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2026	$8,590	$0	3
2024	$3,068,745	$287,280	48
2022	$21,072	$0	16

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	HMP	support	$40,773	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$7,983	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$21,855	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$32,000	Field Canvassing (Estimate)
—	HMP	support	$32,955	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$29,439	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$6	Email (Estimate)
—	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	support	$206	Catering
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$1,804	Canvassing Literature Printing, Production, and Shipping (E…
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$1,208	Canvassing Services (Estimate)
—	HMP	support	$7,983	Digital Production - Estimate
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$3,060	Canvassing Services (Estimate)
—	HMP	support	$60,849	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$13,743	Digital Production - Estimate
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$19,200	Field Canvassing (Estimate)
—	CFFE PAC	support	$244,000	Canvassing - Estimate
—	CFFE PAC	support	$27,200	Printing - Estimate
—	CFFE PAC	support	$281,250	Canvassing - Estimate
—	CFFE PAC	support	$100,000	Canvassing - Estimate
—	CFFE PAC	support	$250,000	Canvassing - Estimate
—	CFFE PAC	support	$62,500	Canvassing - Estimate
—	CFFE PAC	support	$112,500	Canvassing - Estimate
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	support	$1,450	Canvassing Services (Estimate)
—	HMP	support	$21,855	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	support	$49,173	Digital Advertising - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2025-04-15	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNIO…	24E	$7,186
2022-12-08	MACOMB COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE	24C	$1,535
2022-11-17	MACOMB COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE	24C	$4,657
2022-11-08	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS, AFL-CIO	24F	$17
2022-11-08	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24F	$1,433
2022-11-04	DLA PIPER LLP (US) POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (…	24K	$396
2022-11-03	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	24K	$500
2022-11-03	HUWAIDA FOR CONGRESS	24K	$250
2022-11-03	HUWAIDA FOR CONGRESS	24K	$250
2022-11-02	HMS SCRAP PAC	24K	$900
2022-10-31	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA …	24K	$5,000
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	24K	$2,000
2022-10-28	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24F	$957
2022-10-28	FOR OUR FUTURE	24E	$322
2022-10-28	FOR OUR FUTURE	24E	$1,747
2022-10-28	UAW NATIONAL CAP	24F	$18,478
2022-10-27	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	24K	$1,000
2022-10-26	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24F	$904
2022-10-24	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24F	$904
2022-10-23	UAW NATIONAL CAP	24F	$1,034
2022-10-20	UAW NATIONAL CAP	24F	$12,318
2022-10-20	SHRI FOR CONGRESS	24K	$250
2022-10-19	MICHIGAN STATE AFL-CIO	24F	$282
2022-10-19	UAW NATIONAL CAP	24F	$9,148
2022-10-19	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL …	24F	$3,235

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	EVERYDAY PEOPLE	supports_independently	$2,306	fec_ies
—	EVERYDAY PEOPLE	supports_independently	$2,500	fec_ies
—	EVERYDAY PEOPLE	supports_independently	$3,784	fec_ies
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$2,446	fec_ies
—	LCV VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$2,446	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$40,773	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$32,955	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$49,173	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$7,983	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$32,955	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$7,983	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$29,439	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$21,855	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$21,855	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$60,849	fec_ies
—	HMP	supports_independently	$13,743	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$19,200	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$32,000	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$6	fec_ies
—	CFFE PAC	supports_independently	$100,000	fec_ies
—	CFFE PAC	supports_independently	$250,000	fec_ies
—	CFFE PAC	supports_independently	$62,500	fec_ies
—	CFFE PAC	supports_independently	$112,500	fec_ies
—	CFFE PAC	supports_independently	$244,000	fec_ies
—	CFFE PAC	supports_independently	$27,200	fec_ies
—	CFFE PAC	supports_independently	$281,250	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$1,208	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$1,450	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$3,060	fec_ies
—	FOR OUR FUTURE	supports_independently	$1,804	fec_ies
—	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	supports_independently	$206	fec_ies
2025-04-15	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)	contributed_to	$7,186	pas2
2024-11-01	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$1,487	fec_ies
2024-10-31	EVERYDAY PEOPLE	supports_independently	$58	fec_ies
2024-10-29	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$1,512	fec_ies
2024-10-28	SEIU COPE (SERVICE EMPLOYEES INTERNATIONAL UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL EDUCATION)	supports_independently	$7,187	fec_ies
2024-10-26	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2024-10-25	EVERYDAY PEOPLE	supports_independently	$2,507	fec_ies
2024-10-23	YOUR COMMUNITY PAC	supports_independently	$14,340	fec_ies
2024-10-23	LCV VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$13	fec_ies
2024-10-23	YOUR COMMUNITY PAC	supports_independently	$203,413	fec_ies
2024-10-23	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$2,500	fec_ies
2024-10-23	YOUR COMMUNITY PAC	supports_independently	$203,413	fec_ies
2024-10-23	YOUR COMMUNITY PAC	supports_independently	$1,000	fec_ies
2024-10-23	YOUR COMMUNITY PAC	supports_independently	$4,830	fec_ies
2024-10-23	YOUR COMMUNITY PAC	supports_independently	$4,830	fec_ies
2024-10-23	YOUR COMMUNITY PAC	supports_independently	$378,942	fec_ies
2024-10-23	YOUR COMMUNITY PAC	supports_independently	$589,226	fec_ies
2024-10-21	RJC VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$277,500	fec_ies
2024-10-21	RJC VICTORY FUND	opposes_independently	$9,780	fec_ies
2024-10-15	LCV VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$95,000	fec_ies
2024-10-15	LCV VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$95,000	fec_ies
2024-10-09	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$21	fec_ies
2024-10-09	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$4	fec_ies
2024-10-02	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$61	fec_ies
2024-10-02	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$168	fec_ies
2024-10-02	WORKING AMERICA	supports_independently	$125	fec_ies
2022-12-08	MACOMB COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,535	pas2
2022-11-17	MACOMB COUNTY DEMOCRATIC COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$4,657	pas2
2022-11-08	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$1,433	pas2
2022-11-08	AMERICAN FEDERATION OF TEACHERS AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$17	pas2
2022-11-07	MICHIGAN ACTION USA	supports_independently	$3,469	fec_ies
2022-11-07	MICHIGAN ACTION USA	supports_independently	$3,469	fec_ies
2022-11-04	DLA PIPER LLP (US) POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (DLA PIPER PAC)	contributed_to	$396	pas2
2022-11-03	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-11-03	HUWAIDA FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-11-03	HUWAIDA FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-11-02	HMS SCRAP PAC	contributed_to	$900	pas2
2022-10-31	DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-31	LABORERS' INTERNATIONAL UNION OF NORTH AMERICA (LIUNA) PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-28	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$322	pas2
2022-10-28	FOR OUR FUTURE	contributed_to	$1,747	pas2
2022-10-28	UAW NATIONAL CAP	contributed_to	$18,478	pas2
2022-10-28	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$957	pas2
2022-10-27	LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-26	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$904	pas2
2022-10-24	SUPERMAJORITY PAC	supports_independently	$5,445	fec_ies
2022-10-24	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$904	pas2
2022-10-23	UAW NATIONAL CAP	contributed_to	$1,034	pas2
2022-10-20	UAW NATIONAL CAP	contributed_to	$12,318	pas2
2022-10-20	SHRI FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-10-19	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	supports_independently	$232	fec_ies
2022-10-19	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	supports_independently	$69	fec_ies
2022-10-19	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	supports_independently	$17	fec_ies
2022-10-19	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	supports_independently	$17	fec_ies
2022-10-19	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	supports_independently	$78	fec_ies
2022-10-19	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	supports_independently	$232	fec_ies
2022-10-19	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	supports_independently	$232	fec_ies
2022-10-19	COMMUNITY CHANGE VOTERS	supports_independently	$86	fec_ies
2022-10-19	MICHIGAN STATE AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$282	pas2
2022-10-19	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION	contributed_to	$3,235	pas2
2022-10-19	UAW NATIONAL CAP	contributed_to	$237	pas2
2022-10-19	UAW NATIONAL CAP	contributed_to	$9,148	pas2
2022-10-19	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$675	pas2
2022-10-19	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$15	pas2
2022-10-13	UAW NATIONAL CAP	contributed_to	$4,203	pas2
2022-10-11	UAW NATIONAL CAP	contributed_to	$12,221	pas2
2022-10-11	AFL-CIO	contributed_to	$56	pas2
2022-10-07	UNITED FOOD AND COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION ACTIVE BALLOT CLUB	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-06	UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	MARLINGA FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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