NOLAN, RICHARD M.
D Β· house Β· bioguide N000127
Sign in to add to a watchlist β
- FEC candidate id
H2MN08111- Internal id
6606ae14-b654-434f-af45-c299de56b67a- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MN-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 722,069 |
| People | Median age | 43 |
| Income | Median household income | $75,433 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $40,748 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.438 |
| Race | White alone | 88.0% |
| Race | Black alone | 1.3% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.1% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 2.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 1.9% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 96.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 1.1% |
| Education | High school or higher | 57.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 28.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.7% |
| Household | Family households | 62.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.35 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $264,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,019 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 77.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.4% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 22.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.9% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 11.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $1,411 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $0 | $19,430 | $1,411 | $0 | $0 |
| 2020 | $0 | $35,372 | $20,840 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $755,535 | $880,398 | $56,213 | $0 | $250,459 |
| 2016 | $3,047,314 | $2,892,902 | $181,075 | $0 | $1,878,996 |
| 2014 | $2,098,795 | $2,113,281 | $26,663 | $0 | $1,106,855 |
| 2012 | $1,269,915 | $1,228,765 | $41,150 | $38,514 | $836,911 |
Elections
- 2012 general house Β· MN-8 β won
- 2014 general house Β· MN-8 β won
- 2016 general house Β· MN-8 β won
- 2018 general house Β· MN-8 β lost_general
Committees
- NOLAN FOR CONGRESS VOLUNTEER COMMITTEE β principal Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | NOLAN FOR CONGRESS VOLUNTEER COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees |