MARTINEZ JOHNSON, ALEXIS

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2NM03173
Internal id: 475c286d-c4c0-44a2-a859-2dfa1203712b
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NM-03. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	701,127
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$62,557
Income	Per-capita income	$35,743
Income	In poverty	19.9%
Income	Unemployed	6.1%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.496
Race	White alone	45.0%
Race	Black alone	1.3%
Race	Asian alone	1.2%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	43.0%
Race	Two or more races	21.6%
Origin	Foreign-born	8.0%
Language	Speaks English only at home	65.3%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	23.7%
Education	High school or higher	55.7%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	28.1%
Education	Advanced degree	13.3%
Household	Family households	62.5%
Household	Avg household size	2.53
Household	Never married (15+)	36.7%
Housing	Median home value	$232,100
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,038
Housing	Single-family detached	64.3%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.9%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	3.9%
Housing	Vacant units	15.6%
Service	Veterans (18+)	6.6%
Health	With a disability	17.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	82.1%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	13.8%
Commute	Drove alone	76.0%
Commute	Public transit	0.5%
Commute	Worked from home	10.5%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$0	$0	$2,351	$11,351	$0
2024	$-0	$0	$2,351	$11,351	$-0
2022	$303,536	$301,185	$2,351	$9,388	$231,739

Elections

2022 general house · NM-3 — lost_general

Committees

ALEXIS MARTINEZ JOHNSON FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$0	$302,900	5

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	CHC BOLD PAC	oppose	$10,000	Television Ad Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$11,450	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$140,000	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$1,450	Media Production - Estimate
2022-10-31	CHC BOLD PAC	oppose	$140,000	Television Ad Buy - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2026-01-15	BROTHERHOOD OF LOCOMOTIVE ENGINEERS & TRAINMEN …	24K	$1,000
2022-11-08	HMP	24A	$1,450
2022-11-07	CHC BOLD PAC	24A	$10,000
2022-11-02	HMP	24A	$11,450
2022-11-01	HMP	24A	$140,000
2022-10-31	CHC BOLD PAC	24A	$140,000
2022-10-28	WINRED	24K	$-600
2022-10-21	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL …	24N	$1,933
2022-10-20	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	24K	$5,000
2022-10-20	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24N	$534
2022-10-17	WINRED	24K	$-5
2022-10-17	JAKE ELLZEY FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-10-17	MAGGIE'S LIST	24K	$2,000
2022-10-17	BE VICTORIOUS OVER DEMOCRATS PAC	24K	$1,000
2022-10-12	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	24N	$534
2022-10-11	INVEST IN A STRONG AND SECURE AMERICA	24K	$500
2022-10-05	NRCC	24C	$103,000
2022-09-29	CLF	24K	$5,000
2022-09-27	HISPANIC LEADERSHIP TRUST	24K	$5,000
2022-09-26	WINRED	24K	$-1,900
2022-09-20	NRCC	24K	$5,000
2022-09-18	SCALISE FOR CONGRESS	24K	$2,000
2022-09-18	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$5,000
2022-09-09	NEW MEXICO FREEDOM FUND	24K	$2,000
2022-07-21	MERRION OIL & GAS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION …	24K	$2,900

Connected on the graph

Inbound (32)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$11,450	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$140,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$1,450	fec_ies
—	CHC BOLD PAC	opposes_independently	$10,000	fec_ies
2026-01-15	BROTHERHOOD OF LOCOMOTIVE ENGINEERS & TRAINMEN PAC FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-08	HMP	contributed_to	$1,450	pas2
2022-11-07	CHC BOLD PAC	contributed_to	$10,000	pas2
2022-11-02	HMP	contributed_to	$11,450	pas2
2022-11-01	HMP	contributed_to	$140,000	pas2
2022-10-31	CHC BOLD PAC	contributed_to	$140,000	pas2
2022-10-31	CHC BOLD PAC	opposes_independently	$140,000	fec_ies
2022-10-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$-600	pas2
2022-10-21	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION	contributed_to	$1,933	pas2
2022-10-20	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$534	pas2
2022-10-20	NATIONAL PRO-LIFE ALLIANCE PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-17	JAKE ELLZEY FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-17	BE VICTORIOUS OVER DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-17	MAGGIE'S LIST	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5	pas2
2022-10-12	NATIONAL EDUCATION ASSOCIATION	contributed_to	$534	pas2
2022-10-11	INVEST IN A STRONG AND SECURE AMERICA	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-10-05	NRCC	contributed_to	$103,000	pas2
2022-09-29	CLF	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-27	HISPANIC LEADERSHIP TRUST	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1,900	pas2
2022-09-20	NRCC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-18	THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-18	SCALISE FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-09	NEW MEXICO FREEDOM FUND	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-07-21	MERRION OIL & GAS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-06-16	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-03-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	ALEXIS MARTINEZ JOHNSON FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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