MILLS, AISHA
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H2NY18111- Internal id
d9c2c286-d4d5-4d66-9006-e631cc729470- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-18. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 786,484 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $94,063 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,058 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.462 |
| Race | White alone | 65.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 19.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 11.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.3% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 77.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 12.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 63.3% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 36.6% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 16.4% |
| Household | Family households | 64.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.56 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 35.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $381,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,609 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 60.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.7% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.3% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 4.9% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 91.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.8% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 67.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 4.0% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.2% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $0 | $5,175 | $0 | $1 | $0 |
| 2022 | $60,434 | $55,259 | $5,175 | $20,409 | $43,327 |
Elections
- 2022 general house Β· NY-18 β lost_general
Committees
- AISHA MILLS FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-23 | GIVING WILLINGLY EMPOWERING NATIONALLY PAC | 24K | $500 |
| 2022-08-19 | HIGHER HEIGHTS FOR AMERICA PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-08-16 | THE COLLECTIVE PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-08-15 | KEEP AL GREEN IN CONGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-07-19 | L PAC | 24K | $5,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (5)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-08-23 | GIVING WILLINGLY EMPOWERING NATIONALLY PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-19 | HIGHER HEIGHTS FOR AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-16 | THE COLLECTIVE PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-15 | KEEP AL GREEN IN CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-19 | L PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | AISHA MILLS FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |