WILLIAMS, BRANDON MCDONALD

R · house · bioguide W000828

FEC candidate id: H2NY22212
Internal id: ddf439d0-3a29-4b73-ba75-c93b03bbfccd
Status: incumbent

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-22. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	767,369
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$73,829
Income	Per-capita income	$41,034
Income	In poverty	14.2%
Income	Unemployed	4.9%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.461
Race	White alone	77.5%
Race	Black alone	8.7%
Race	Asian alone	4.0%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	5.9%
Race	Two or more races	7.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	7.7%
Language	Speaks English only at home	88.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	3.2%
Education	High school or higher	61.6%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	35.6%
Education	Advanced degree	16.1%
Household	Family households	58.7%
Household	Avg household size	2.27
Household	Never married (15+)	37.2%
Housing	Median home value	$192,600
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,051
Housing	Single-family detached	63.1%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.1%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.6%
Housing	Vacant units	8.2%
Service	Veterans (18+)	5.8%
Health	With a disability	14.0%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	90.6%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	6.5%
Commute	Drove alone	72.5%
Commute	Public transit	1.7%
Commute	Worked from home	11.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2026	$2,292	$8,363	$0	$0	$-2,227
2024	$4,190,243	$4,208,336	$6,071	$0	$1,876,099
2022	$941,403	$917,239	$24,164	$105,130	$613,116

Elections

2022 general house · NY-22 — won
2024 general house · NY-22 — lost_general

Committees

BRANDON FOR CONGRESS NY22 — principal · type H
WILLIAMS FOR NY-22 — principal · type H

Recent votes

2024-12-20 · Cong. 118 · house roll 517
YEA on HR 10545 — American Relief Act, 2025
2024-12-19 · Cong. 118 · house roll 516
YEA on HR 10515 — American Relief Act, 2025
2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 515
YEA on S 759 — Beagle Brigade Act of 2023
2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 514
YEA on HR 8663 — DETECT Fentanyl and Xylazine Act of 2024
2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 513
YEA on S 3857 — Jamul Indian Village Land Transfer Act
2024-12-18 · Cong. 118 · house roll 512
YEA on S 1351 — Stop Institutional Child Abuse Act
2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 511
NAY on HR 1101 — Lumbee Fairness Act
2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 510
YEA on Never Again Education Reauthorization Act
2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 509
YEA on HR 115 — Midnight Rules Relief Act
2024-12-17 · Cong. 118 · house roll 508
NAY on HR 115 — Midnight Rules Relief Act

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 99.0%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
incumbent	+78.0%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2024	$85,081	$5,604,069	61
2022	$836,173	$4,435,312	48

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
—	HMP	oppose	$86,400	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$423,827	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOW…	oppose	$250,000	Digital Advertising Buy & Production (Estimate)
—	HMP	oppose	$147,000	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$10,810	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$11,612	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$5,925	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$84,150	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	VOTEVETS	oppose	$290,190	TV Advertising Buy
—	HMP	oppose	$57,162	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$9,708	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$23,375	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$396,264	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$341,280	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$57,162	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$57,162	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$525	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$58,833	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$716,140	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$575,328	Television Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$30,000	Digital Advertising - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$12,975	Media Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$6,000	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$6,000	Digital Production - Estimate
—	HMP	oppose	$12,464	Media Production - Estimate

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
—	HMP	24A	$524
—	HMP	24A	$6,000
—	VOTEVETS	24A	$290,190
2025-03-30	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	24A	$30
2022-12-31	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-29	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-12-21	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-12-19	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-18	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-12-17	WINRED	24K	$-2
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-16	AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITI…	24K	$5,000
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-7
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-1
2022-12-16	WINRED	24K	$-4
2022-12-12	WINRED	24K	$-4

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
—	HMP	contributed_to	$6,000	pas2
—	HMP	contributed_to	$524	pas2
—	VOTEVETS	contributed_to	$290,190	pas2
—	NYIC POLITICAL ACTION FUND	opposes_independently	$253	fec_ies
—	NYIC POLITICAL ACTION FUND	opposes_independently	$253	fec_ies
—	NRDC ACTION VOTES	opposes_independently	$375,000	fec_ies
—	NRDC ACTION VOTES	opposes_independently	$25,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$11,478	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$47,600	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,464	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$173,513	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$11,947	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$44,653	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$6,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$439,379	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,805	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$147,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$345,600	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$47,600	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,805	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$6,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$11,478	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$462,707	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$86,400	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$423,827	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$44,653	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$6,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$173,513	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$147,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$47,600	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$462,707	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$173,513	fec_ies
—	EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOWN VICTORY FUND)	opposes_independently	$250,000	fec_ies
—	VOTEVETS	opposes_independently	$290,190	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$9,708	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$396,264	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$341,280	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$23,375	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$30,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$575,328	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$57,162	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$12,975	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$58,833	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$57,162	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$6,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$6,000	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$84,150	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$10,810	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$11,612	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$5,925	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$525	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$716,140	fec_ies
—	HMP	opposes_independently	$57,162	fec_ies
2025-03-30	PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES	contributed_to	$30	pas2
2024-11-01	PATRIOTS FOR A BRIGHTER AMERICA	supports_independently	$1,320	fec_ies
2024-10-31	AFT SOLIDARITY	opposes_independently	$1,000	fec_ies
2024-10-31	AFT SOLIDARITY	opposes_independently	$7,300	fec_ies
2024-10-30	SAVE CENTRAL NEW YORK PAC	supports_independently	$7,500	fec_ies
2024-10-26	SAVE CENTRAL NEW YORK PAC	supports_independently	$12,500	fec_ies
2024-10-25	PATRIOTS FOR A BRIGHTER AMERICA	supports_independently	$8,524	fec_ies
2024-10-17	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$3,563	fec_ies
2024-10-17	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$176	fec_ies
2024-10-16	ANIMAL WELLNESS ACTION	opposes_independently	$14,676	fec_ies
2024-10-16	ANIMAL WELLNESS ACTION	opposes_independently	$46,000	fec_ies
2024-10-10	AFSCME WORKING FAMILIES FUND	opposes_independently	$5,678	fec_ies
2024-10-02	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$13	fec_ies
2024-10-02	NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	supports_independently	$1,486	fec_ies
2024-09-19	DCCC	opposes_independently	$194,566	fec_ies
2024-09-19	DCCC	opposes_independently	$59,508	fec_ies
2024-09-19	DCCC	opposes_independently	$194,566	fec_ies
2024-09-19	DCCC	opposes_independently	$59,508	fec_ies
2024-09-17	DCCC	opposes_independently	$14,950	fec_ies
2024-09-17	AFSCME WORKING FAMILIES FUND	opposes_independently	$6,304	fec_ies
2024-09-17	AFSCME WORKING FAMILIES FUND	opposes_independently	$188,000	fec_ies
2024-09-12	DCCC	opposes_independently	$59,508	fec_ies
2024-09-12	DCCC	opposes_independently	$194,438	fec_ies
2024-08-30	CLF	supports_independently	$50,000	fec_ies
2024-08-22	DCCC	opposes_independently	$129,880	fec_ies
2024-08-22	DCCC	opposes_independently	$41,760	fec_ies
2024-08-15	DCCC	opposes_independently	$41,260	fec_ies
2024-08-15	DCCC	opposes_independently	$106,420	fec_ies
2024-08-13	DCCC	opposes_independently	$18,399	fec_ies
2024-08-13	DCCC	opposes_independently	$17,000	fec_ies
2024-08-08	DCCC	opposes_independently	$41,260	fec_ies
2024-08-08	DCCC	opposes_independently	$153,340	fec_ies
2022-12-31	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-29	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-12-21	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-12-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$-4	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-17	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-4	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-7	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-4	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-4	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-4	pas2
2022-12-16	AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2
2022-12-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$-1	pas2

Outbound (8)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	BRANDON FOR CONGRESS NY22	—		candidate_committees
—	principal_candidate_of	WILLIAMS FOR NY-22	—		candidate_committees
2024-09-19	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 9678 — Federal Lands Amplified Security for the Homeland (FLASH) Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2024-01-05	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 3238 — Affordable Housing Credit Improvement Act of 2023	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2023-11-01	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 1398 — Protect America’s Innovation and Economic Security from CCP Act of 2024	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2023-10-11	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 5933 — DETERRENT Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2023-06-15	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 4145 — Safeguarding American Education From Foreign Control Act	—	cosponsor	sponsorship
2023-02-17	cosponsor_of_bill	HR 1069 — Clean Energy Demonstration Transparency Act of 2023	—	cosponsor	sponsorship

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