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WELLS, STEVEN M

R · house

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FEC candidate id
H2NY22238
Internal id
9a83550e-21c0-4fde-8481-4146c1d6cf62
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-22. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation767,369
PeopleMedian age40
IncomeMedian household income$73,829
IncomePer-capita income$41,034
IncomeIn poverty14.2%
IncomeUnemployed4.9%
IncomeGini inequality index0.461
RaceWhite alone77.5%
RaceBlack alone8.7%
RaceAsian alone4.0%
RaceHispanic or Latino5.9%
RaceTwo or more races7.3%
OriginForeign-born7.7%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home88.8%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home3.2%
EducationHigh school or higher61.6%
EducationBachelor's or higher35.6%
EducationAdvanced degree16.1%
HouseholdFamily households58.7%
HouseholdAvg household size2.27
HouseholdNever married (15+)37.2%
HousingMedian home value$192,600
HousingMedian gross rent$1,051
HousingSingle-family detached63.1%
HousingBuilt before 19406.1%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)1.6%
HousingVacant units8.2%
ServiceVeterans (18+)5.8%
HealthWith a disability14.0%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband90.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.5%
CommuteDrove alone72.5%
CommutePublic transit1.7%
CommuteWorked from home11.8%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2024$0$2,337$0$0$0
2022$1,223,749$1,221,412$2,337$0$346,606

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

FeatureΔ P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
2022-08-26WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-08-26WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-08-26WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-08-26WINRED24K$-2,100
2022-08-26WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-08-26WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-08-26WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-08-26WINRED24K$-2,100
2022-08-26WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-08-26WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-08-22THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE24K$5,000
2022-08-22REPUBLICAN MAINSTREET PARTNERSHIP PAC24K$2,000
2022-08-22SCALISE FOR CONGRESS24K$2,000
2022-08-19CLF24K$5,000
2022-07-21AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITI…24K$-5,000
2022-07-21AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITI…24K$5,000
2022-07-20ELEVANCE HEALTH, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTE…24K$5,000
2022-07-19REPUBLICAN MAINSTREET PARTNERSHIP PAC24K$3,000
2022-07-13AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITI…24K$5,000
2022-07-06WINRED24K$-2,900
2022-06-20NEW YORK RENEWAL PAC24K$2,000
2022-06-15REPUBLICAN GOVERNANCE GROUP/TUESDAY GROUP PAC24K$5,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (22)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
2022-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-2,100pas2
2022-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-2,100pas2
2022-08-26WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-08-22REPUBLICAN MAINSTREET PARTNERSHIP PACcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-08-22SCALISE FOR CONGRESScontributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-08-22THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-08-19CLFcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-21AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-21AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$-5,000pas2
2022-07-20ELEVANCE HEALTH, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ELEVANCE HEALTH PAC)contributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-19REPUBLICAN MAINSTREET PARTNERSHIP PACcontributed_to$3,000pas2
2022-07-13AMERICAN ISRAEL PUBLIC AFFAIRS COMMITTEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$5,000pas2
2022-07-06WINREDcontributed_to$-2,900pas2
2022-06-20NEW YORK RENEWAL PACcontributed_to$2,000pas2
2022-06-15REPUBLICAN GOVERNANCE GROUP/TUESDAY GROUP PACcontributed_to$5,000pas2

Outbound (1)

datetypetoamountrolesource
principal_candidate_ofSTEVE WELLS FOR CONGRESScandidate_committees

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