CANNING, DOYLE

D · house

FEC candidate id: H2OR04160
Internal id: 67c024a5-33eb-4478-955a-7c1b332d4ea0
Status: open seat

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), OR-04. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	710,014
People	Median age	42
Income	Median household income	$68,838
Income	Per-capita income	$39,319
Income	In poverty	15.9%
Income	Unemployed	6.4%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.466
Race	White alone	81.7%
Race	Black alone	0.9%
Race	Asian alone	2.7%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	9.4%
Race	Two or more races	10.3%
Origin	Foreign-born	5.6%
Language	Speaks English only at home	91.6%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	4.8%
Education	High school or higher	56.7%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	32.8%
Education	Advanced degree	13.8%
Household	Family households	58.6%
Household	Avg household size	2.29
Household	Never married (15+)	33.9%
Housing	Median home value	$412,900
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,298
Housing	Single-family detached	62.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	6.3%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	2.3%
Housing	Vacant units	8.7%
Service	Veterans (18+)	8.6%
Health	With a disability	18.2%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	91.5%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.3%
Commute	Drove alone	67.0%
Commute	Public transit	1.3%
Commute	Worked from home	15.1%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$0	$0	$0	$0	$0
2022	$281,376	$281,376	$0	$0	$276,311

Elections

2022 general house · OR-4 — lost_general

Committees

CANNING FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 20.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
D (major party)	+10.0%
open seat	-5.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-05-16	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT…	24E	$18
2022-05-08	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT…	24E	$68
2022-05-05	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT…	24E	$34
2022-04-26	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT…	24E	$55
2022-04-25	FRIENDS OF THE EARTH ACTION POLITICAL ACTION CO…	24K	$1,000
2022-04-19	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMIT…	24E	$54
2022-03-02	PROGRESSIVE CHANGE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	24Z	$250
2022-02-11	PROGRESSIVE CHANGE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	24Z	$125

Connected on the graph

Inbound (8)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-05-16	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$18	pas2
2022-05-08	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$68	pas2
2022-05-05	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$34	pas2
2022-04-26	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$55	pas2
2022-04-25	FRIENDS OF THE EARTH ACTION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-04-19	BLUE AMERICA PAC INDEPENDENT EXPENDITURE COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$54	pas2
2022-03-02	PROGRESSIVE CHANGE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-02-11	PROGRESSIVE CHANGE CAMPAIGN COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$125	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	CANNING FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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