CIARROCCHI, GUY

R · house

FEC candidate id: H2PA06197
Internal id: 1b69229a-2ec8-4bfe-813e-231ae673bdc9
Status: challenger

Who this candidate represents

Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), PA-06. Source.

Category	Metric	Value
People	Population	779,553
People	Median age	40
Income	Median household income	$106,917
Income	Per-capita income	$56,116
Income	In poverty	9.1%
Income	Unemployed	4.7%
Income	Gini inequality index	0.469
Race	White alone	71.1%
Race	Black alone	5.3%
Race	Asian alone	5.3%
Race	Hispanic or Latino	16.9%
Race	Two or more races	12.1%
Origin	Foreign-born	11.3%
Language	Speaks English only at home	80.8%
Language	Speaks Spanish at home	11.8%
Education	High school or higher	72.3%
Education	Bachelor's or higher	48.7%
Education	Advanced degree	20.4%
Household	Family households	68.8%
Household	Avg household size	2.60
Household	Never married (15+)	32.5%
Housing	Median home value	$416,700
Housing	Median gross rent	$1,509
Housing	Single-family detached	54.8%
Housing	Built before 1940	3.8%
Housing	Overcrowded (>1 per room)	1.7%
Housing	Vacant units	4.3%
Service	Veterans (18+)	4.8%
Health	With a disability	11.1%
Connectivity	Households with broadband	93.2%
Connectivity	Households with no internet	5.1%
Commute	Drove alone	66.4%
Commute	Public transit	1.4%
Commute	Worked from home	20.6%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

Cycle	Raised	Spent	Cash on hand	Debts	Indiv. contribs.
2024	$1,045	$1,083	$0	$0	$0
2022	$1,038,552	$1,038,514	$38	$0	$672,915

Elections

2022 general house · PA-6 — lost_general

Committees

OUR GUY FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 25.1%

Feature	Δ P(win)
Base rate (historical)	15.1%
R (major party)	+10.0%

Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

Cycle	Support	Oppose	IEs
2022	$34,000	$0	3

Recent (latest 25)

Date	Spender	For / against	Amount	Purpose
2022-11-05	LV STRONG	support	$4,500	digital ads
2022-10-31	LV STRONG	support	$4,500	digital ads
2022-04-02	LV STRONG	support	$25,000	digital ads

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

Date	From committee	Type	Amount
2022-12-21	DUANE MORRIS GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE	24K	$-1,000
2022-12-10	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-12-05	ESSENTIAL UTILITIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMM…	24K	$-1,000
2022-12-05	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-11-15	WINRED	24K	$-25
2022-11-15	WINRED	24K	$-50
2022-11-03	LEADERSHIP IN SAVING AMERICA (LISA) PAC	24K	$1,400
2022-11-03	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-11-02	DUANE MORRIS GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE	24K	$1,000
2022-11-02	CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	24K	$1,000
2022-11-01	TENACIOUS PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-11-01	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS	24F	$2
2022-11-01	WINRED	24K	$-2,900
2022-10-31	UPPER HAND FUND	24K	$2,500
2022-10-29	GREATER TOMORROW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	24K	$2,000
2022-10-28	LV STRONG	24E	$4,500
2022-10-28	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	24K	$5,000
2022-10-28	WORKING FOR OHIO	24K	$3,000
2022-10-28	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-27	DR. BRIAN BABIN FOR CONGRESS	24K	$1,000
2022-10-27	KEEPING REPUBLICAN IDEAS STRONG TIMELY & INVENT…	24K	$1,000
2022-10-26	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-26	WINRED	24K	$0
2022-10-25	MVL PAC	24K	$2,900
2022-10-24	WINRED	24K	$0

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

date	from	type	amount	source
2022-12-21	DUANE MORRIS GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-12-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-05	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-12-05	ESSENTIAL UTILITIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$-1,000	pas2
2022-11-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-50	pas2
2022-11-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-25	pas2
2022-11-05	LV STRONG	supports_independently	$4,500	fec_ies
2022-11-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-11-03	LEADERSHIP IN SAVING AMERICA (LISA) PAC	contributed_to	$1,400	pas2
2022-11-02	DUANE MORRIS GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-02	CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-11-01	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS	contributed_to	$2	pas2
2022-11-01	TENACIOUS PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-11-01	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-10-31	UPPER HAND FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-10-31	LV STRONG	supports_independently	$4,500	fec_ies
2022-10-29	GREATER TOMORROW POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-10-28	HUCK PAC FOR AMERICA	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-10-28	LV STRONG	contributed_to	$4,500	pas2
2022-10-28	WORKING FOR OHIO	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-10-28	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-27	DR. BRIAN BABIN FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-27	KEEPING REPUBLICAN IDEAS STRONG TIMELY & INVENTIVE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-26	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-25	MVL PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-10-24	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-23	KEEP AMERICA ROLLING	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-21	SUPPORT TAXFIGHTERS & ELECT EFFECTIVE LEADERS PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-20	BOG-PAC	contributed_to	$2,650	pas2
2022-10-19	PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC	contributed_to	$205	pas2
2022-10-19	CONSERVATIVE PROMISES PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-10-19	UNITED FOOD & COMMERCIAL WORKERS INTERNATIONAL UNION	contributed_to	$1,817	pas2
2022-10-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-200	pas2
2022-10-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-10-18	WINRED	contributed_to	$-100	pas2
2022-10-16	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-14	THE AMERICAN RENEWAL PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-13	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-11	INVEST IN A STRONG AND SECURE AMERICA	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-10-11	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS	contributed_to	$1	pas2
2022-10-03	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-10-03	STOP COLLECTIVISM OR TOTALITARIANISM TRIUMPHS PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-10-02	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-30	HELPING EXCEPTIONAL LEADERS ORGANIZE PAC (HELO PAC)	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-09-30	PENN ENTERTAINMENT INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,100	pas2
2022-09-30	BOG-PAC	contributed_to	$250	pas2
2022-09-30	JUMP INTO ACTION FOR CONSERVATIVES TO KEEP OUR IDEAS ELEVATED PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-09-30	PENNSYLVANIA PRO-LIFE FEDERATION PAC	contributed_to	$40	pas2
2022-09-29	PINE TREES PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-27	COACH GUY'S LEADERSHIP PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-09-26	BE VICTORIOUS OVER DEMOCRATS PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-26	CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-09-26	HAGEMAN FOR WYOMING	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-23	ENGINEERING THE FUTURE PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-09-23	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS	contributed_to	$566	pas2
2022-09-23	TKJ PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-09-22	BARTOS FOR US SENATE INC	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-09-22	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-21	F.N.B. CORPORATION PAC	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-09-19	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-15	WINRED	contributed_to	$-5,800	pas2
2022-09-15	PREIT-RUBIN INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$500	pas2
2022-09-14	MIKE JOHNSON FOR LOUISIANA	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-09-14	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-10	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-09-08	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-08-26	CLF	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-08-25	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-08-25	LEADERSHIP IN SAVING AMERICA (LISA) PAC	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-08-24	NATIONAL FEDERATION OF INDEPENDENT BUSINESS FEDERAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-08-17	CITIZENS UNITED POLITICAL VICTORY FUND	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-16	VICTORY AND FREEDOM PAC (VAF PAC)	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-08-15	BULLDOG PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-12	ESSENTIAL UTILITIES, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$3,000	pas2
2022-08-11	WINRED	contributed_to	$0	pas2
2022-08-11	ROUGHRIDER PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-11	DOSE OF REALITY, OPTIMISM AND ZEAL PAC (DR OZ PAC)	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-08-08	NATIONAL READY MIXED CONCRETE ASSN. PAC (CONCRETEPAC)	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-08-07	WINRED	contributed_to	$-2,900	pas2
2022-07-28	WAWA, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-07-28	DUANE MORRIS GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-21	LOUDERMILK FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-20	RON ESTES FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-19	ELECTING MAJORITY MAKING EFFECTIVE REPUBLICANS PAC	contributed_to	$2,500	pas2
2022-07-18	MR. SOUTHERN MISSOURIAN IN THE HOUSE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-07-18	CONSERVATIVE OPPORTUNITY LEADERSHIP AND ENTERPRISE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-18	LAND OF OPPORTUNITY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-18	CREATING OPPORTUNITIES, MARKETS AND ENTHUSIASM IN RURAL KENTUCKY PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-16	BUILDING LEADERSHIP AND INSPIRING NEW ENTERPRISE PAC	contributed_to	$2,000	pas2
2022-07-14	HELLFIRE PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-08	CONSERVATIVE PROMISES PAC	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-07-06	DUANE MORRIS GOVERNMENT COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$1,500	pas2
2022-06-30	MONROE ENERGY LLC FUELING THE CLIMB POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2
2022-06-30	CAROL FOR CONGRESS	contributed_to	$1,000	pas2
2022-06-29	CITIZENS FOR PROSPERITY IN AMERICA TODAY PAC	contributed_to	$5,000	pas2
2022-06-29	PENN ENTERTAINMENT INC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE	contributed_to	$2,900	pas2

Outbound (1)

date	type	to	amount	role	source
—	principal_candidate_of	OUR GUY FOR CONGRESS	—		candidate_committees

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