DOBSON, CAROLEENE
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4AL02220- Internal id
91fab3a7-0dda-4a8c-8800-80e953d687e1- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), AL-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 710,301 |
| People | Median age | 38 |
| Income | Median household income | $52,839 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $31,447 |
| Income | In poverty | 20.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.0% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.493 |
| Race | White alone | 41.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 50.4% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.9% |
| Race | Two or more races | 4.4% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 58.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 26.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 10.4% |
| Household | Family households | 59.6% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.42 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 39.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $161,900 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,006 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 67.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.9% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 16.7% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 84.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 12.1% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 81.4% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 7.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $8,654 | $11,585 | $0 | $2,135,238 | $149 |
| 2024 | $3,857,871 | $3,854,940 | $2,931 | $2,138,000 | $1,226,100 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· AL-2 β lost_general
Committees
- DOBSON FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $133,881 | $0 | 7 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2024-11-04 | ALABAMA FAMILIES PAC | support | $8,507 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2024-11-02 | ALABAMA FAMILIES PAC | support | $1,039 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2024-10-25 | ALABAMA FAMILIES PAC | support | $1,741 | TEXT MESSAGES |
| 2024-10-17 | NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL⦠| support | $92 | PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2024-10-17 | NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL⦠| support | $2,211 | PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2024-08-16 | 1787 FUND | support | $59,711 | BILLBOARDS |
| 2024-07-31 | 1787 FUND | support | $60,580 | BILLBOARDS |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | TENACIOUS PAC | 24K | $3,300 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (8)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-09-30 | TENACIOUS PAC | contributed_to | $3,300 | pas2 | |
| 2024-11-04 | ALABAMA FAMILIES PAC | supports_independently | $8,507 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-11-02 | ALABAMA FAMILIES PAC | supports_independently | $1,039 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-25 | ALABAMA FAMILIES PAC | supports_independently | $1,741 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-17 | NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $92 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-17 | NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $2,211 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-16 | 1787 FUND | supports_independently | $59,711 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-07-31 | 1787 FUND | supports_independently | $60,580 | fec_ies |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | DOBSON FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |