REVELES, AARON
OTHER Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4CA34109- Internal id
f793135c-1843-4c4d-8db1-b2a262e4fd1b- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), CA-34. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 748,464 |
| People | Median age | 37 |
| Income | Median household income | $63,055 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $34,276 |
| Income | In poverty | 20.6% |
| Income | Unemployed | 7.9% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.506 |
| Race | White alone | 16.9% |
| Race | Black alone | 4.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 17.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 64.4% |
| Race | Two or more races | 17.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 43.4% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 28.9% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 54.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 49.9% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 29.4% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 9.2% |
| Household | Family households | 57.0% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.65 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 50.9% |
| Housing | Median home value | $838,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,631 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 26.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 8.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 19.8% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 1.7% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 88.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 9.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 55.5% |
| Commute | Public transit | 12.1% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 15.2% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· CA-34 β lost_general
Committees
- REVELES FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | REVELES FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |