OBRIEN, JOSHUA
L Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4MD01192- Internal id
dba8ff93-8c9f-456d-96c8-253278beca2d- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), MD-01. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 781,616 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $94,639 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,822 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.444 |
| Race | White alone | 72.8% |
| Race | Black alone | 14.9% |
| Race | Asian alone | 2.4% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 6.0% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 6.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 91.2% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 64.7% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.0% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.6% |
| Household | Family households | 67.8% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.50 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 30.5% |
| Housing | Median home value | $363,600 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,373 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 65.8% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 3.0% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 16.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.5% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.4% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 75.7% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.5% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.8% |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· MD-1 β lost_general
Committees
- JOSHUA OBRIEN FOR OFFICE β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 15.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | JOSHUA OBRIEN FOR OFFICE | β | candidate_committees |