JOHNSON, DREW
R Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H4NV03167- Internal id
e23dff41-4351-4aaf-97c3-9cfed1738ede- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NV-03. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 809,043 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $84,345 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,045 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 6.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.476 |
| Race | White alone | 46.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 10.1% |
| Race | Asian alone | 17.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 21.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 16.5% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 24.2% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 67.8% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 13.6% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.5% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 34.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.5% |
| Household | Family households | 62.4% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.56 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 34.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $465,700 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,787 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 62.7% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.2% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 7.8% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 12.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 94.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.6% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 69.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.9% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,242 | $15,926 | $0 | $207,059 | $1,242 |
| 2024 | $1,506,099 | $1,491,415 | $14,684 | $207,059 | $496,837 |
Elections
- 2024 general house Β· NV-3 β lost_general
Committees
- DREW FOR NEVADA β principal Β· type H
- DREW FOR NV-03 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2024 β principal Β· type H
- DREW JOHNSON FOR CONGRESS-GTM NF NV03 β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $217,848 | $741,226 | 25 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | oppose | $71,317 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | HMP | oppose | $71,317 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | oppose | $2 | Email (Estimate) |
| β | HMP | oppose | $71,317 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| 2024-10-24 | RESTORING LIBERTY PAC | support | $24,117 | Mailer |
| 2024-10-08 | NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL⦠| support | $54 | PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2024-10-08 | NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL⦠| support | $1,102 | PRINTING / POSTAGE |
| 2024-10-04 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | support | $25,000 | Direct Mail |
| 2024-10-04 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | support | $10,000 | Text Messages |
| 2024-10-03 | DCCC | oppose | $83,000 | Digital Media Buy Estimate |
| 2024-10-03 | DCCC | oppose | $23,988 | Digital Media Buy Estimate |
| 2024-10-03 | DCCC | oppose | $22,221 | Digital Media Buy Estimate |
| 2024-09-19 | DCCC | oppose | $20,121 | Digital Media Buy Estimate |
| 2024-09-19 | DCCC | oppose | $22,221 | Digital Media Buy Estimate |
| 2024-09-19 | DCCC | oppose | $64,000 | Digital Media Buy Estimate |
| 2024-09-19 | DCCC | oppose | $64,000 | Digital Media Buy Estimate |
| 2024-09-19 | DCCC | oppose | $22,221 | Digital Media Buy Estimate |
| 2024-09-19 | DCCC | oppose | $20,121 | Digital Media Buy Estimate |
| 2024-09-17 | DCCC | oppose | $14,731 | Digital Media - Production Estimate |
| 2024-09-17 | DCCC | oppose | $15,000 | Digital Media - Production Estimate |
| 2024-09-17 | DCCC | oppose | $18,310 | Digital Media - Production Estimate |
| 2024-09-12 | DCCC | oppose | $20,121 | Digital Media Buy Estimate |
| 2024-09-12 | DCCC | oppose | $95,000 | Digital Media Buy Estimate |
| 2024-09-12 | DCCC | oppose | $22,221 | Digital Media Buy Estimate |
| 2024-08-28 | A STRONG INNOVATION ECONOMY REQUIRES STRONG IP β¦ | support | $157,574 | Digital Advertising/Texting |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (25)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $71,317 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $71,317 | fec_ies | |
| β | HMP | opposes_independently | $71,317 | fec_ies | |
| β | FOR OUR FUTURE | opposes_independently | $2 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-24 | RESTORING LIBERTY PAC | supports_independently | $24,117 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-08 | NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $54 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-08 | NATIONAL RIFLE ASSOCIATION OF AMERICA POLITICAL VICTORY FUND | supports_independently | $1,102 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-04 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $25,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-04 | PROTECT FREEDOM POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | supports_independently | $10,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-03 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $83,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-03 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $23,988 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-10-03 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $22,221 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-19 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $20,121 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-19 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $22,221 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-19 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $64,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-19 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $64,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-19 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $22,221 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-19 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $20,121 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-17 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $14,731 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-17 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $15,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-17 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $18,310 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-12 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $20,121 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-12 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $95,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-09-12 | DCCC | opposes_independently | $22,221 | fec_ies | |
| 2024-08-28 | A STRONG INNOVATION ECONOMY REQUIRES STRONG IP PROTECTION | supports_independently | $157,574 | fec_ies |
Outbound (3)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | DREW FOR NEVADA | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | DREW JOHNSON FOR CONGRESS-GTM NF NV03 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | DREW FOR NV-03 REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2024 | β | candidate_committees |