KATKO, JOHN M
R Β· house Β· bioguide K000386
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY24073- Internal id
46f7567f-e60b-4de1-87f7-2b098b71b8f6- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-24. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 771,272 |
| People | Median age | 42 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,690 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,503 |
| Income | In poverty | 12.3% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.7% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.431 |
| Race | White alone | 89.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 2.5% |
| Race | Asian alone | 0.9% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 4.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.6% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 3.0% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 94.4% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.3% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 25.9% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 11.2% |
| Household | Family households | 62.5% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.30 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 31.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $172,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $959 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 70.4% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 4.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.4% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 14.1% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.8% |
| Health | With a disability | 15.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.1% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 8.2% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 77.6% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 9.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $1,801,833 | $1,171,222 | $902,673 | $0 | $655,454 |
| 2020 | $3,839,114 | $3,615,241 | $272,061 | $0 | $1,741,686 |
| 2018 | $2,778,979 | $3,016,492 | $48,188 | $0 | $1,006,957 |
| 2016 | $2,703,780 | $2,431,862 | $285,701 | $0 | $1,131,459 |
| 2014 | $1,029,766 | $1,017,698 | $13,018 | $26,612 | $784,773 |
Elections
- 2014 general house Β· NY-24 β won
- 2016 general house Β· NY-24 β won
- 2018 general house Β· NY-24 β won
- 2020 general house Β· NY-24 β won
- 2022 general house Β· NY-24 β won
Committees
- KATKO FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type N
- KATKO FOR CONGRESS β independent Β· type N
- NEW YORK MAJORITY FUND 2014 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- PATRIOT DAY I 2015 β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- YOUNG GUNS DAY III 2014 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $0 | $16,250 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2021-06-02 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | oppose | $6,250 | Digital Advertising |
| 2021-05-28 | DRAIN THE DC SWAMP PAC | oppose | $10,000 | Digital Advertising |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2022-12-31 | AMERICAN SECURITY PAC | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-06 | DROPBOX INC PAC | contributed_to | $-2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-01 | ANHEUSER-BUSCH COMPANIES LLC POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-08-31 | BASF CORPORATION EMPLOYEES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-24 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-07-02 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-30 | ALLIED PILOTS ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-15 | TO PROTECT OUR HERITAGE PAC | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-15 | SCALISE FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $-2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-06-09 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-13 | DELTA AIR LINES PAC | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-05-10 | HONEYWELL INTERNATIONAL POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-29 | GENERAL DYNAMICS CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (GENERAL DYNAMICS EMPLOYEE PAC) | contributed_to | $-2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-28 | THE EYE OF THE TIGER POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-21 | NUCOR CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-20 | NATIONAL VICTORY ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-20 | T-MOBILE US, INC. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (T-PAC) | contributed_to | $-500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-20 | PRO-ISRAEL AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | L3HARRIS TECHNOLOGIES, INC. PAC | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-15 | CONTINUING AMERICA'S STRENGTH AND SECURITY PAC | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-14 | ENTERGY CORPORATION EMPLOYEE POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ENPAC) | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-14 | NEW YORK LIFE INSURANCE COMPANY POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-12 | BUILDING BRIDGES PAC | contributed_to | $-500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-11 | NETJETS ASSOCIATION OF SHARED AIRCRAFT PILOTS PAC; NJASAP PAC | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-08 | AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC | contributed_to | $-2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-08 | ENGINEERS POLITICAL EDUCATION COMMITTEE (EPEC)/INTERNATIONAL UNION OF OPERATING ENGINEERS | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-08 | FUTURE FIRST LEADERSHIP PAC | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-08 | MINN-DAK FARMERS COOPERATIVE SUGAR PAC (MDSPAC) | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-08 | NATIONAL AIR TRAFFIC CONTROLLERS ASSOCIATION PAC | contributed_to | $-1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-08 | AMERICAN COUNCIL OF ENGINEERING COMPANIES (ACEC/PAC) | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-07 | MARATHON PETROLEUM CORPORATION EMPLOYEES POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (MPAC) | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-04-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-03-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-23 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-25 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-15 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-10 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-07 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-03 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-02-01 | NATSO INC. NATSO PAC | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-31 | BOSTON SCIENTIFIC CORPORATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (BSC PAC) | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-30 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-29 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-28 | AMERICAN BANKERS ASSOCIATION PAC (BANKPAC) | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-26 | AZOA SERVICES CORP. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ALLIANZ OF AMERICA PAC) | contributed_to | $-1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-20 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-19 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-16 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-14 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-13 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-12 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-11 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-11 | VOTE TO ELECT REPUBLICANS NOW PAC | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-10 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-5 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-08 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-1 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $-2 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-06 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-05 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-04 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2022-01-01 | WINRED | contributed_to | $0 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-31 | GINGER PAC | contributed_to | $2,100 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-31 | GINGER PAC | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-30 | BOLD ACTIVE CONSERVATIVES OF NEBRASKA PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2021-12-30 | LIBERTY MUTUAL INSURANCE COMPANY - PAC | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (5)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | KATKO FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | NEW YORK MAJORITY FUND 2014 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | YOUNG GUNS DAY III 2014 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | PATRIOT DAY I 2015 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | KATKO FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |