KENNEDY, TIMOTHY
D · house · currently seated · bioguide K000402
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- FEC candidate id
H4NY26078- Internal id
5771114e-af2f-4cc9-b2a0-36d508e7958a- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here — American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), NY-26. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 772,895 |
| People | Median age | 39 |
| Income | Median household income | $65,395 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $38,777 |
| Income | In poverty | 17.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.5% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.469 |
| Race | White alone | 67.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 16.2% |
| Race | Asian alone | 6.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 7.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 7.2% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 8.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 86.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 3.9% |
| Education | High school or higher | 62.0% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.7% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 15.9% |
| Household | Family households | 54.1% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.22 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 41.8% |
| Housing | Median home value | $208,200 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,063 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 54.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 9.5% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 1.5% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 8.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 5.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 14.7% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 89.6% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 7.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 70.8% |
| Commute | Public transit | 3.6% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 12.4% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $1,854,874 | $1,189,939 | $1,003,999 | $0 | $1,386,424 |
| 2024 | $2,664,314 | $2,325,250 | $339,065 | $0 | $1,858,363 |
Elections
Committees
- KENNEDY FOR CONGRESS — principal · type H
Recent votes
- 2026-05-15 · Cong. 119 · house roll 175
YEA on HR 8469 — Making appropriations for military construction, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and related agencies for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, and for other purposes. - 2026-05-15 · Cong. 119 · house roll 174
NAY on HR 8469 — Making appropriations for military construction, the Department of Veterans Affairs, and related agencies for the fiscal year ending September 30, 2027, and for other purposes. - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 173
NAY on HR 8365 — Monitor Accountability Act - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 172
YEA on HR 8365 — Monitor Accountability Act - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 171
YEA on HR 5625 — Cashless Bail Reporting Act - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 170
YEA on HCONRES 75 — Directing the President, pursuant to section 5(c) of the War Powers Resolution, to remove the United States Armed Forces from hostilities against the Islamic Republic of Iran. - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 169
NAY on HR 6260 — Keeping Violent Offenders Off Our Streets Act of 2025 - 2026-05-14 · Cong. 119 · house roll 168
YEA on HR 6260 — Keeping Violent Offenders Off Our Streets Act of 2025 - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · house roll 167
YEA on HRES 1259 — Expressing the sense of the House of Representatives that the President should prioritize securing the release of Pastor Jin Mingri, Pastor Gao Quanfu and his wife Pang Yu, Dr. Gulshan Abbas, and Jimmy Lai detained by the People's Republic of China during future engagements with Chinese President Xi Jinping. - 2026-05-13 · Cong. 119 · house roll 166
YEA on HRES 1251 — Calling on elected officials and civil society leaders to counter antisemitism and educate the public on the contributions of the Jewish-American community.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
- cosponsor · 2026-05-13 — HRES 1282 — Recognizing the 75th anniversary of the American College of Obstetricians and Gynecologists and its critical role in advancing the practice of obstetrics and gynecology and the health and well-being of patients through excellence in clinical practice, education, advocacy, and research.
- cosponsor · 2026-05-13 — HR 8802 — To provide compensation to law enforcement officers who defended the United States Capitol during the events that occurred at or near the United States Capitol on January 6, 2021, and for other purposes.
- cosponsor · 2026-04-28 — HR 6400 — Rx ACCESS Act
- sponsor · 2026-03-19 — HR 8010 — VA Police Recruitment and Retention Act of 2026
- cosponsor · 2026-02-20 — HR 6222 — ROTOR Act
- sponsor · 2026-02-11 — HR 7501 — Safe Flights for Passengers and Flight Crews Act
- cosponsor · 2026-02-09 — HR 7392 — To impose a hiring freeze on United States Immigration and Customs Enforcement, and for other purposes.
- cosponsor · 2026-02-03 — HR 7335 — Humanitarian Standards for Individuals in ICE and CBP Custody Act
- sponsor · 2025-12-10 — HR 6574 — Loan Equity for Advanced Professionals Act
- sponsor · 2025-12-09 — HR 6507 — DHS Grants Accountability Act
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 · model baseline-v1 · base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Δ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency × party × office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2024 | $68,985 | $0 | 2 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| — | PROTECT PROGRESS | support | $6,923 | IE-Kennedy-Media Production |
| 2024-04-24 | PROTECT PROGRESS | support | $62,062 | IE-Kennedy-Media Buy |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
Top individual donors (2026 cycle)
Via this candidate's principal committee KENNEDY FOR CONGRESS.
Aggregated from FEC Schedule A by donor (name + city + state). Employer + occupation reflect the donor's most recent gift. Source: FEC indiv bulk.
| Donor | Employer / occupation | City, ST | Gifts | Total |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| PONIKAU, JENS | BUFFALO GEOTHERMAL HEATING · CO-FOUNDER | AMHERST, NY | 2 | $7,000 |
| POWERS, JONATHAN | CLEANCAPITAL · PRESIDENT | BUFFALO, NY | 2 | $5,175 |
| PARZIALE, VINCENT | GRAMERCY GROUP INC · COO | SYOSSET, NY | 2 | $5,175 |
| LEBOEUF, TIMOTHY | SYMPHONY PROPERTY MANAGEMENT · PARTNER | BUFFALO, NY | 2 | $5,000 |
| RUSINIAK, BERNARD JR | RUSINIAK'S SERVICE, INC. · BUSINESS OWNER | DEPEW, NY | 2 | $5,000 |
| SENECA NATION OF INDIANS | — | SALAMANCA, NY | 2 | $3,500 |
| CIMINELLI, PAUL F. | CIMINELLI REAL ESTATE CORPORATION · CEO | BUFFALO, NY | 2 | $3,500 |
| REGER, GORDON J. | REGER HOLDINGS, LLC · CHAIRMAN | WEST SENECA, NY | 1 | $3,500 |
| NORD, MATTHEW | APOLLO GLOBAL MANAGEMENT · BANKER | NEW YORK, NY | 1 | $3,500 |
| KAPNER, HILARY | HSK CONSULTING · CONSULTANT | BETHESDA, MD | 1 | $3,500 |
| VALLEY, DAVE | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | KENMORE, NY | 2 | $3,499 |
| KELLY, JOY | JOY REAL ESTATE, LLC · PROPERTY MANAGER | BUFFALO, NY | 1 | $3,000 |
| FELDMAN, JOY | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | BUFFALO, NY | 1 | $2,587 |
| BRINKWORTH, KEVIN | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | AMHERST, NY | 2 | $2,000 |
| STRANGIO, FRANK | PLATI NIAGARA, INC. · HOTEL OWNER | NIAGARA FALLS, NY | 1 | $1,035 |
| MCBRIDE, ROBERT | SELF EMPLOYED · EXECUTIVE | WEST ISLIP, NY | 1 | $1,035 |
| CAIRD, CINDY | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | FORT LAUDERDALE, FL | 1 | $1,035 |
| DORN, ANDREW W. JR | COAL ASH RECYCLING LLC · CHAIRMAN | HAMBURG, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
| BUTLER, EDWARD J. | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | AMHERST, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
| BERGER, JOHN JR | LAWLEY · PARTNER | WILLIAMSVILLE, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
| GILL, HARBINDER S. | NOT EMPLOYED · NOT EMPLOYED | WILLIAMSVILLE, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
| GILBERT, DENNIS SR | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | WILLIAMSVILLE, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
| GIAMBRA, JOEL | NOT EMPLOYED · RETIRED | BUFFALO, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
| GRENAUER, ELEANOR | GLEN PARK TAVERN · BUSINESS OWNER | BUFFALO, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
| MATHON, JASPAL | OUT THE DOOR LIQUORS · BUSINESS OWNER | BUFFALO, NY | 1 | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
Outbound (100)
Clips (5)
Quotes, press releases, and Congressional Record fragments where this entity is the subject. Source: govinfo.gov BILLSTATUS + per-source ingest pipelines.
| Date | Source | Speaker | Headline |
|---|---|---|---|
| — | GDELT | — | wkbw.com: https://www.wkbw.com/news/local-news/buffalo/main-street-overhaul-begins-in-buffalo-with-70-million-reconstruction-project |
| — | GDELT | — | wsaz.com: https://www.wsaz.com/2026/05/18/jury-deliberations-underway-wvsp-trooper-murder-trial/ |
| — | Congressional Record | — | FOURTH ANNIVERSARY OF THE TOPS SUPERMARKET SHOOTING IN BUFFALO, NEW YORK |
| — | Congressional Record | — | COMMEMORATING NATIONAL POLICE WEEK |
| — | Congressional Record | — | HONORING KEVIN G. BANES |