POE, TED
R Β· house Β· bioguide P000592
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- FEC candidate id
H4TX02108- Internal id
b554f9dd-ea52-4bca-80b3-d8f7c5e06c29- Status
- incumbent
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), TX-02. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 814,076 |
| People | Median age | 35 |
| Income | Median household income | $99,648 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $46,857 |
| Income | In poverty | 9.5% |
| Income | Unemployed | 5.2% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.453 |
| Race | White alone | 55.1% |
| Race | Black alone | 12.7% |
| Race | Asian alone | 4.3% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 32.2% |
| Race | Two or more races | 20.3% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 16.8% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 70.3% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 23.5% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.1% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 39.3% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 14.1% |
| Household | Family households | 74.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.89 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.0% |
| Housing | Median home value | $312,100 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,636 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 73.0% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 0.6% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 3.3% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 6.5% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 6.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 10.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 95.4% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 3.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 74.1% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.8% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 14.7% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2018 | $336,976 | $1,410,828 | $990,989 | $0 | $181,653 |
| 2016 | $838,510 | $623,230 | $2,064,841 | $0 | $445,617 |
| 2014 | $924,139 | $507,176 | $1,849,562 | $0 | $554,325 |
| 2012 | $966,271 | $480,982 | $1,432,599 | $0 | $597,949 |
| 2010 | $876,075 | $569,846 | $947,310 | $0 | $607,163 |
| 2008 | $800,697 | $391,243 | $641,081 | $0 | $504,463 |
| 2006 | $1,020,314 | $814,252 | $231,627 | $0 | $636,354 |
| 2004 | $1,771,484 | $1,745,918 | $25,565 | $0 | $1,096,978 |
Elections
- 2004 general house Β· TX-2 β won
- 2006 general house Β· TX-2 β won
- 2008 general house Β· TX-2 β won
- 2010 general house Β· TX-2 β won
- 2012 general house Β· TX-2 β won
- 2014 general house Β· TX-2 β won
- 2016 general house Β· TX-2 β won
- 2018 general house Β· TX-2 β lost_general
Committees
- 2004 JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTEE II β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- JUSTICE FREEDOM & LIBERTY PAC β principal Β· type Q
- JUSTICE FREEDOM & LIBERTY PAC β independent Β· type Q
- TEAM TEXAS COMMITTEE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
- TEXANS FOR TEXANS β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 99.0%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| incumbent | +78.0% |
| R (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (5)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | independent_committee_of | JUSTICE FREEDOM & LIBERTY PAC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | JUSTICE FREEDOM & LIBERTY PAC | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | 2004 JOINT CANDIDATE COMMITTEE II | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | TEAM TEXAS COMMITTEE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | TEXANS FOR TEXANS | β | candidate_committees |