LYNN, ERIC
D Β· house
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- FEC candidate id
H6FL13189- Internal id
7bb8e8d0-dd89-4ad0-bda4-b4fa1e4e71bc- Status
- open seat
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), FL-13. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 769,211 |
| People | Median age | 51 |
| Income | Median household income | $72,731 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $47,331 |
| Income | In poverty | 11.0% |
| Income | Unemployed | 4.3% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.482 |
| Race | White alone | 76.3% |
| Race | Black alone | 7.0% |
| Race | Asian alone | 3.6% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 11.6% |
| Race | Two or more races | 9.8% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 12.7% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 83.7% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 7.7% |
| Education | High school or higher | 61.8% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 35.1% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 12.8% |
| Household | Family households | 56.7% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.22 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 28.3% |
| Housing | Median home value | $351,800 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $1,641 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 48.1% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 2.1% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 18.2% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 8.6% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.0% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 90.3% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 6.3% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 68.3% |
| Commute | Public transit | 1.3% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 19.6% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2026 | $15,639 | $10,507 | $311,396 | $0 | $0 |
| 2024 | $27,134 | $22,877 | $306,264 | $0 | $0 |
| 2022 | $2,247,469 | $2,086,314 | $301,527 | $0 | $2,058,380 |
| 2020 | $9,496 | $7,800 | $140,372 | $0 | $0 |
| 2018 | $3,031 | $10,260 | $138,676 | $0 | $0 |
| 2016 | $798,855 | $652,951 | $145,905 | $0 | $749,879 |
Elections
Committees
- ERIC LYNN FOR CONGRESS β principal Β· type H
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 20.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
| open seat | -5.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Independent expenditures
Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).
| Cycle | Support | Oppose | IEs |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2022 | $4,860,057 | $63,271 | 27 |
Recent (latest 25)
| Date | Spender | For / against | Amount | Purpose |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $8,670 | Media production costs - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | oppose | $1,308 | Text messages - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $39,795 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $1,949 | Telephone calls - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $563 | Telephone calls - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $1,949 | Telephone calls - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $898,668 | Media buy - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $11,346 | Media production costs - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $582,500 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $14,997 | Media Production Costs - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $499,975 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $499,975 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $7,742 | Media production costs - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $4,963 | Production costs - Estimated |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $15,075 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $1,999,988 | Media Buy - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $200,000 | Digital advertising - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $21,144 | Media production costs - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $747 | Text messages - Estimate |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | support | $40,172 | Direct Mail - Estimate |
| 2022-11-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $78 | Phone/Text Messaging (from advance line 21) |
| 2022-11-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $11,915 | Phone/Text Messaging |
| 2022-11-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | oppose | $100 | data analytics |
| 2022-11-01 | AMERICANS FOR PROTECTING LIBERTY | oppose | $2,900 | P2P MMS MESSAGES |
| 2022-10-27 | AMERICANS FOR PROTECTING LIBERTY | oppose | $45,000 | MEDIA PLACEMENT / MEDIA PRODUCTION |
Transfers from committees
Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).
| Date | From committee | Type | Amount |
|---|---|---|---|
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $14,997 |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $39,795 |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $582,500 |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $4,963 |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $7,742 |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $499,975 |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $8,670 |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $11,346 |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $898,668 |
| 2022-11-14 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $1,948 |
| 2022-11-14 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $562 |
| 2022-11-14 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $746 |
| 2022-11-14 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | 24E | $7,169 |
| 2022-11-09 | APTIM CORP. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AKA APT⦠| 24K | $-5,000 |
| 2022-11-07 | ADRIANO ESPAILLAT FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-11-07 | JASON CROW FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-11-07 | SWALWELL FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $2,000 |
| 2022-11-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $78 |
| 2022-11-04 | GLENN F. IVEY FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-11-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $100 |
| 2022-11-03 | CASTOR FOR CONGRESS | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-11-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH ACTION | 24A | $11,914 |
| 2022-11-02 | JOBS, EDUCATION, & FAMILIES FIRST JEFF PAC | 24K | $2,500 |
| 2022-11-02 | SHORE PAC | 24K | $1,000 |
| 2022-11-02 | DEMOCRATS WIN SEATS (DWS PAC) | 24K | $1,000 |
Connected on the graph
Inbound (100)
| date | from | type | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $39,795 | pas2 | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $898,668 | pas2 | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $8,670 | pas2 | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $11,346 | pas2 | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $14,997 | pas2 | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $582,500 | pas2 | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $499,975 | pas2 | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $7,742 | pas2 | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $4,963 | pas2 | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $15,075 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $200,000 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $21,144 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $40,172 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $39,795 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $1,949 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $8,670 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $563 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $747 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | opposes_independently | $1,308 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $1,999,988 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $898,668 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $11,346 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $582,500 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $14,997 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $499,975 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $499,975 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $7,742 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $4,963 | fec_ies | |
| β | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $1,949 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-14 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $746 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-14 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $562 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-14 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $7,169 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-14 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $1,948 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-09 | APTIM CORP. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AKA APTIM PAC) | contributed_to | $-5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | JASON CROW FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | ADRIANO ESPAILLAT FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-07 | SWALWELL FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $78 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-05 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $78 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-04 | GLENN F. IVEY FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | CASTOR FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $11,914 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | contributed_to | $100 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $11,915 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-03 | CLUB FOR GROWTH | opposes_independently | $100 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-02 | SHORE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | JOBS, EDUCATION, & FAMILIES FIRST JEFF PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-02 | DEMOCRATS WIN SEATS (DWS PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | FRIENDS OF DON BEYER | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | AMERICANS FOR PROTECTING LIBERTY | opposes_independently | $2,900 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-11-01 | AMERICANS FOR PROTECTING LIBERTY | contributed_to | $2,900 | pas2 | |
| 2022-11-01 | DEMOCRACY ACTION NOW PAC | contributed_to | $1,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | REMEDY PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | LEADERSHIP OPPORTUNITY INNOVATION SERVICE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | CITIZENS TO ELECT RICK LARSEN | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | DEMOCRACY ENGINE, INC., PAC | contributed_to | $10 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-31 | JOE NEGUSE FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-29 | BLUE POWER PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | ADAM SMITH FOR CONGRESS COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-28 | DMFI PAC | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-27 | AMERICANS FOR PROTECTING LIBERTY | opposes_independently | $45,000 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-27 | SUPPORTING HOUSE PROBLEM SOLVERS - SHP PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-27 | AMERICANS FOR PROTECTING LIBERTY | contributed_to | $45,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-26 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $9,839 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-26 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | supports_independently | $9,840 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-25 | BUILDING RELATIONSHIPS IN DIVERSE GEOGRAPHIC ENVIRONMENTS PAC (BRIDGE PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-25 | AMERICAN ACADEMY OF DERMATOLOGY ASSOCIATION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (SKINPAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-25 | JDCA PAC | contributed_to | $506 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-24 | APTIM CORP. POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (AKA APTIM PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-21 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $200,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-21 | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | opposes_independently | $1,970 | fec_ies | |
| 2022-10-21 | PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT | contributed_to | $1,250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-21 | PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT | contributed_to | $1,250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-21 | WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC | contributed_to | $1,970 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-21 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $40,171 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-21 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $21,143 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-20 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $1,999,987 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-19 | JAMIE RASKIN FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-18 | NEW DEMOCRAT COALITION ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-18 | AMERICAN SOCIETY OF ANESTHESIOLOGISTS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE (ASA PAC) | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-18 | PROGRESS PINELLAS | contributed_to | $15,075 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-14 | BLUE DOG POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-06 | UAW - V - CAP (UAW VOLUNTARY COMMUNITY ACTION PROGRAM) 'INT'L UNION UNITED AUTOMOBILE AEROSPACE & AGRICULTURAL IMPLEMENT WORKERS OF AMERICA UAW | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-10-06 | BROTHERHOOD OF LOCOMOTIVE ENGINEERS & TRAINMEN PAC FUND | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-30 | LEAGUE OF CONSERVATION VOTERS ACTION FUND | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-30 | ADVANCING DEMOCRACY AND MOBILIZATION PAC | contributed_to | $2,500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-30 | ASSOCIATION OF PROFESSIONAL FLIGHT ATTENDANTS (APFA PAC) POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-30 | MAXWELL ALEJANDRO FROST FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-29 | SERVE AMERICA PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-29 | DEMOCRATS WIN SEATS (DWS PAC) | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-29 | MARYLAND ASSOCIATION FOR CONCERNED CITIZENS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $3,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-28 | FUTURE FORUM PAC | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-28 | JEFFRIES FOR CONGRESS | contributed_to | $2,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-28 | INTERNATIONAL BROTHERHOOD OF ELECTRICAL WORKERS POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEE | contributed_to | $5,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-27 | PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT | contributed_to | $1,250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-27 | PROGRESSIVE TURNOUT PROJECT | contributed_to | $1,250 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-23 | AIR LINE PILOTS ASSOCIATION PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-21 | DEVELOPING A NEW GENERATION PAC (DANG PAC) | contributed_to | $500 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-18 | TRIED-AND-TRUE PAC | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 | |
| 2022-09-13 | AMERICAN POSTAL WORKERS UNION COMMITTEE ON POLITICAL ACTION | contributed_to | $1,000 | pas2 |
Outbound (1)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | principal_candidate_of | ERIC LYNN FOR CONGRESS | β | candidate_committees |