ELLSWORTH, BRAD
D Β· house Β· bioguide E000289
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- FEC candidate id
H6IN08210- Internal id
0fb6e0e6-9548-42c6-8b3d-23d5a1310c75- Status
- challenger
Who this candidate represents
Who lives here β American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), IN-08. Source.
| Category | Metric | Value |
|---|---|---|
| People | Population | 755,776 |
| People | Median age | 40 |
| Income | Median household income | $65,139 |
| Income | Per-capita income | $35,709 |
| Income | In poverty | 13.4% |
| Income | Unemployed | 3.8% |
| Income | Gini inequality index | 0.454 |
| Race | White alone | 88.6% |
| Race | Black alone | 3.6% |
| Race | Asian alone | 1.0% |
| Race | Hispanic or Latino | 3.3% |
| Race | Two or more races | 5.1% |
| Origin | Foreign-born | 2.6% |
| Language | Speaks English only at home | 95.6% |
| Language | Speaks Spanish at home | 2.0% |
| Education | High school or higher | 59.2% |
| Education | Bachelor's or higher | 23.2% |
| Education | Advanced degree | 8.1% |
| Household | Family households | 63.3% |
| Household | Avg household size | 2.37 |
| Household | Never married (15+) | 29.2% |
| Housing | Median home value | $174,000 |
| Housing | Median gross rent | $907 |
| Housing | Single-family detached | 75.3% |
| Housing | Built before 1940 | 6.3% |
| Housing | Overcrowded (>1 per room) | 2.0% |
| Housing | Vacant units | 9.4% |
| Service | Veterans (18+) | 7.0% |
| Health | With a disability | 16.8% |
| Connectivity | Households with broadband | 87.2% |
| Connectivity | Households with no internet | 10.0% |
| Commute | Drove alone | 80.2% |
| Commute | Public transit | 0.4% |
| Commute | Worked from home | 6.3% |
Cycle financials
Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.
| Cycle | Raised | Spent | Cash on hand | Debts | Indiv. contribs. |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2014 | $1 | $2,931 | $0 | $0 | $0 |
| 2012 | $28,333 | $36,555 | $2,930 | $22,726 | $0 |
| 2010 | $2,368,816 | $2,590,431 | $11,152 | $22,726 | $1,223,418 |
| 2008 | $1,571,820 | $1,366,668 | $232,767 | $22,726 | $552,681 |
| 2006 | $1,769,961 | $1,742,345 | $27,615 | $132,161 | $984,151 |
Elections
- 2006 general house Β· IN-8 β won
- 2008 general house Β· IN-8 β won
- 2010 general house Β· IN-8 β lost_general
Committees
- ELLSWORTH FOR INDIANA β principal Β· type S
- INDIANA HOUSE VICTORY FUND β joint_fundraising Β· type Q
- INDIANA VICTORY 2006 β joint_fundraising Β· type N
- KEEP INDIANA BLUE β joint_fundraising Β· type H
Recent votes
No votes on file.
Sponsored & cosponsored bills
No sponsorships on file.
Election prediction
Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%
P(win) = 25.1%
| Feature | Ξ P(win) |
|---|---|
| Base rate (historical) | 15.1% |
| D (major party) | +10.0% |
Baseline model (incumbency Γ party Γ office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.
Connected on the graph
Outbound (4)
| date | type | to | amount | role | source |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | INDIANA VICTORY 2006 | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | KEEP INDIANA BLUE | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | joint_fundraising_committee_of | INDIANA HOUSE VICTORY FUND | β | candidate_committees | |
| β | principal_candidate_of | ELLSWORTH FOR INDIANA | β | candidate_committees |