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MASTERS, BLAKE

R Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S2AZ00372
Internal id
971c8985-a5da-49e3-a462-907a59ceec96
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Arizona. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation7,378,838
PeopleMedian age39
IncomeMedian household income$79,964
IncomePer-capita income$42,503
IncomeIn poverty12.5%
IncomeUnemployed5.1%
IncomeGini inequality index0.464
RaceWhite alone59.0%
RaceBlack alone4.6%
RaceAsian alone3.6%
RaceHispanic or Latino31.4%
RaceTwo or more races19.5%
OriginForeign-born13.0%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home74.3%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home19.3%
EducationHigh school or higher56.8%
EducationBachelor's or higher33.3%
EducationAdvanced degree13.0%
HouseholdFamily households64.3%
HouseholdAvg household size2.53
HouseholdNever married (15+)34.1%
HousingMedian home value$394,500
HousingMedian gross rent$1,543
HousingSingle-family detached64.2%
HousingBuilt before 19401.5%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)4.3%
HousingVacant units10.6%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.9%
HealthWith a disability13.8%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.5%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet6.0%
CommuteDrove alone66.8%
CommutePublic transit1.1%
CommuteWorked from home18.4%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2026$0$0$0$0$0
2024$3,235$103,365$0$0$0
2022$15,659,649$15,559,519$100,130$823,326$12,638,177

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
R (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2022$19,344,852$38,275,1551,023

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$2,500Mileage (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$450Mileage (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$15,000Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$1,000Mileage (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$10,000Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$750Mileage (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$125Mileage (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$1,750Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$5,500Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupport$37,500Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”VOTEVETSoppose$8,919Digital Advertising Production
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECToppose$18,275Ad Production
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECToppose$9,075Ad Production
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$1,250Phone Voter Contact
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$125Video & Audio Editing
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$270TV Advertising
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$270TV Advertising
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$270TV Advertising
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$270TV Advertising
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$270TV Advertising
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$1,250Phone Voter Contact
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$1,250Video Production
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$1,250Phone Voter Contact
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$1,250Phone Voter Contact
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupport$1,250Phone Voter Contact

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECT24A$18,275
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECT24A$737
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECT24A$9,075
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$16
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$500
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$1,384
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$175
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$1,384
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$1,716
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC24E$3,500
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC24E$300
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$1,384
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$185
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$1,384
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTES24A$1,200
β€”SKY IS BLUE24E$700
β€”INDIVISIBLE ACTION24A$3,833
β€”INDIVISIBLE ACTION24A$2,837
β€”VOTEVETS24A$8,918
β€”NEW JOURNEY PAC, INC.24E$2,000
2022-12-31WINRED24K$-20
2022-12-31WINRED24K$-10
2022-12-31WINRED24K$-3
2022-12-30WINRED24K$-2
2022-12-29WINRED24K$-2

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”NEW JOURNEY PAC, INC.contributed_to$2,000pas2
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACcontributed_to$300pas2
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACcontributed_to$3,500pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$1,384pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$1,384pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$1,716pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$500pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$175pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$16pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$185pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$1,384pas2
β€”SKY IS BLUEcontributed_to$700pas2
β€”VOTEVETScontributed_to$8,918pas2
β€”INDIVISIBLE ACTIONcontributed_to$2,837pas2
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECTcontributed_to$737pas2
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECTcontributed_to$18,275pas2
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECTcontributed_to$9,075pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$1,384pas2
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTEScontributed_to$1,200pas2
β€”INDIVISIBLE ACTIONcontributed_to$3,833pas2
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$15,000fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$125fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$5,500fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$1,750fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$37,500fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$450fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$2,500fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$1,000fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$10,000fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACsupports_independently$750fec_ies
β€”VOTEVETSopposes_independently$8,919fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECTopposes_independently$9,075fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$270fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$125fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$270fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$270fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$270fec_ies
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECTopposes_independently$18,275fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$270fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
β€”THE PEOPLE, EMPOWEREDsupports_independently$1,250fec_ies
β€”SOMOS PACopposes_independently$909fec_ies
β€”SOMOS PACopposes_independently$303fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$15,923fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$3,779,073fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$2,076,036fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$17,072fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$947,031fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$19,876fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$13,000fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$4,061,354fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$1,083,829fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$1,148,926fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$17,372fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$18,720fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$16,769fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$1,329,590fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$400fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$1,770,423fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$19,750fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$3,643,476fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$999,007fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$18,191fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$999,340fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$540,202fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$1,040,326fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$516,900fec_ies
β€”SENATE CONSERVATIVES FUNDsupports_independently$2,311fec_ies
β€”SMPopposes_independently$815,812fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$38,031fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$1,731fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$10,042fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$85,276fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$5,300fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$6,360fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$79,484fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$300,000fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$3,975fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$3,975fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONopposes_independently$2,650fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$618fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$123fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$500fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$17,105fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$101,685fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$48fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$1,384fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$58,106fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$1,384fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$1,384fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$56fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$17fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$1,353fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$35,833fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$1,384fec_ies
β€”PLANNED PARENTHOOD VOTESopposes_independently$618fec_ies

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”principal_candidate_ofMASTERS FOR AZ SENATE REPUBLICAN NOMINEE FUND 2022β€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofBLAKE MASTERS FOR SENATEβ€”candidate_committees

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