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DEMINGS, VAL

D Β· senate

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FEC candidate id
S2FL00631
Internal id
cdba7bcc-603f-407e-ac4a-bafb4bde901b
Status
challenger

Who this candidate represents (statewide)

Who lives here β€” American Community Survey 5-year estimates (2024), Florida. Source.

CategoryMetricValue
PeoplePopulation22,416,077
PeopleMedian age43
IncomeMedian household income$74,568
IncomePer-capita income$42,609
IncomeIn poverty12.6%
IncomeUnemployed4.8%
IncomeGini inequality index0.485
RaceWhite alone55.9%
RaceBlack alone15.1%
RaceAsian alone2.9%
RaceHispanic or Latino27.4%
RaceTwo or more races19.4%
OriginForeign-born21.9%
LanguageSpeaks English only at home69.4%
LanguageSpeaks Spanish at home22.6%
EducationHigh school or higher61.3%
EducationBachelor's or higher34.1%
EducationAdvanced degree12.9%
HouseholdFamily households64.6%
HouseholdAvg household size2.51
HouseholdNever married (15+)31.7%
HousingMedian home value$359,000
HousingMedian gross rent$1,669
HousingSingle-family detached54.7%
HousingBuilt before 19401.7%
HousingOvercrowded (>1 per room)3.3%
HousingVacant units14.7%
ServiceVeterans (18+)7.4%
HealthWith a disability13.7%
ConnectivityHouseholds with broadband91.6%
ConnectivityHouseholds with no internet5.5%
CommuteDrove alone70.2%
CommutePublic transit1.2%
CommuteWorked from home15.7%

Cycle financials

Source: FEC weball bulk file (cycle summary). Numbers in USD; 0 = no activity reported.

CycleRaisedSpentCash on handDebtsIndiv. contribs.
2022$81,084,464$81,522,973$332,913$0$78,573,918

Elections

Committees

Election prediction

Cycle 2026 Β· model baseline-v1 Β· base rate 15.1%

P(win) = 23.1%

FeatureΞ” P(win)
Base rate (historical)15.1%
D (major party)+10.0%
senate race-2.0%

Baseline model (incumbency Γ— party Γ— office). Calibration: backtest Brier score is the reference, see npm run db:ingest -- --source=predict-backtest-election. Future model versions must beat baseline Brier on the same held-out cohort or they don't ship.

Independent expenditures

Money spent by super PACs and other non-connected committees for or against this candidate. Source: FEC Schedule E (independent_expenditure CSV bulk).

CycleSupportOpposeIEs
2024$4,636$06
2022$2,501,856$3,759,178304

Recent (latest 25)

DateSpenderFor / againstAmountPurpose
β€”JDCA PACsupport$1,116Digital Advertising (Estimate)
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER ACTION PACsupport$1,200Video Production
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER ACTION PACsupport$600Graphic Design
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER ACTION PACsupport$560Radio Production
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER ACTION PACsupport$560Radio Production
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER ACTION PACsupport$600Graphic Design
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACoppose$11,250Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACoppose$1,000Mileage (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACoppose$15,000Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACoppose$500Mileage (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACoppose$8,750Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”VOTAR ES PODER PACsupport$270literature printing (estimate)
β€”VOTAR ES PODER PACsupport$25,000Paid canvassing (estimate)
β€”VOTAR ES PODER PACsupport$955literature printing (estimate)
β€”VOTAR ES PODER PACsupport$21,200Paid canvassing (estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACoppose$2,500Mileage (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACoppose$37,500Canvassing (Estimate)
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACoppose$750Mileage (Estimate)
β€”UNIDOSUS ACTION PACsupport$3,000GOTV Phone Outreach - Estimate
β€”UNIDOSUS ACTION PACsupport$9,000GOTV Phone Outreach - Estimate
β€”UNITED FOR PROGRESS PACsupport$3,093Direct Mail - Estimate
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECTsupport$4,800Ad Production
β€”SOMOS PACsupport$15,000Direct Mail - Estimate
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONsupport$2,877Ad Buy (Estimate)
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONsupport$6,356Ad Buy (Estimate)

Transfers from committees

Direct contributions from PACs and party committees. Source: FEC pas2 bulk (committee-to-candidate transactions).

DateFrom committeeTypeAmount
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER ACTION PAC24E$600
β€”UNIDOSUS ACTION PAC24E$1,526
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER ACTION PAC24E$1,200
β€”JDCA PAC24E$662
β€”VOTAR ES PODER PAC24E$0
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PAC24E$100,000
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECT24E$4,800
β€”FLORIDA HOMEOWNERS PROTECTION POLITICAL ACTION …24E$250
β€”END CITIZENS UNITED24E$107
β€”EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOW…24E$4
β€”VOTAR ES PODER PAC24E$20,197
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC24A$200
β€”END CITIZENS UNITED24E$18
β€”RED SENATE24A$241
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PAC24E$4,942
β€”END CITIZENS UNITED24E$80
β€”FOR OUR FUTURE24E$131
β€”LET AMERICA VOTE PAC24E$19,052
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PAC24E$1,512
β€”FOR OUR FUTURE24E$41,506
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PAC24A$4,000
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PAC24E$4,942
β€”GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTION24E$32
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PAC24E$9,885
β€”UNIDOSUS ACTION PAC24E$9,000

Connected on the graph

Inbound (100)

datefromtypeamountrolesource
β€”END CITIZENS UNITEDcontributed_to$18pas2
β€”END CITIZENS UNITEDcontributed_to$80pas2
β€”END CITIZENS UNITEDcontributed_to$107pas2
β€”UNIDOSUS ACTION FUND, INC.contributed_to$9,000pas2
β€”FLORIDA HOMEOWNERS PROTECTION POLITICAL ACTION COMMITTEEcontributed_to$250pas2
β€”UNIDOSUS ACTION FUND, INC.contributed_to$1,526pas2
β€”GIVEGREEN UNITED ACTIONcontributed_to$32pas2
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACcontributed_to$200pas2
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACcontributed_to$4,000pas2
β€”EVERYTOWN FOR GUN SAFETY VICTORY FUND (EVERYTOWN VICTORY FUND)contributed_to$4pas2
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREcontributed_to$131pas2
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$100,000pas2
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$9,885pas2
β€”JDCA PACcontributed_to$662pas2
β€”RED SENATEcontributed_to$241pas2
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECTcontributed_to$4,800pas2
β€”LET AMERICA VOTE PACcontributed_to$19,052pas2
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER FUND INCcontributed_to$1,200pas2
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER FUND INCcontributed_to$600pas2
β€”VOTAR ES PODER PACcontributed_to$0pas2
β€”VOTAR ES PODER PACcontributed_to$20,197pas2
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREcontributed_to$41,506pas2
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$4,942pas2
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$4,942pas2
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PACcontributed_to$1,512pas2
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$1,116fec_ies
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER FUND INCsupports_independently$1,200fec_ies
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER FUND INCsupports_independently$560fec_ies
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER FUND INCsupports_independently$600fec_ies
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER FUND INCsupports_independently$560fec_ies
β€”BLACK VOTERS MATTER FUND INCsupports_independently$600fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACopposes_independently$11,250fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACopposes_independently$1,000fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACopposes_independently$37,500fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACopposes_independently$750fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACopposes_independently$500fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACopposes_independently$2,500fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACopposes_independently$15,000fec_ies
β€”WOMEN SPEAK OUT PACopposes_independently$8,750fec_ies
β€”VOTAR ES PODER PACsupports_independently$21,200fec_ies
β€”VOTAR ES PODER PACsupports_independently$25,000fec_ies
β€”VOTAR ES PODER PACsupports_independently$955fec_ies
β€”VOTAR ES PODER PACsupports_independently$270fec_ies
β€”UNIDOSUS ACTION FUND, INC.supports_independently$9,000fec_ies
β€”UNIDOSUS ACTION FUND, INC.supports_independently$3,000fec_ies
β€”UNITED FOR PROGRESSsupports_independently$3,093fec_ies
β€”THE LINCOLN PROJECTsupports_independently$4,800fec_ies
β€”SOMOS PACsupports_independently$15,000fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONsupports_independently$2,877fec_ies
β€”PRIORITIES USA ACTIONsupports_independently$6,356fec_ies
β€”LET AMERICA VOTE PACsupports_independently$224fec_ies
β€”LET AMERICA VOTE PACsupports_independently$19,053fec_ies
β€”LET AMERICA VOTE PACsupports_independently$368fec_ies
β€”LET AMERICA VOTE PACsupports_independently$33,184fec_ies
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$1,640fec_ies
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$0fec_ies
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$1fec_ies
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$0fec_ies
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$73fec_ies
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$1,256fec_ies
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$73fec_ies
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$0fec_ies
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$0fec_ies
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$23,660fec_ies
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$1,640fec_ies
β€”JDCA PACsupports_independently$217fec_ies
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$73,593fec_ies
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$11,401fec_ies
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$232fec_ies
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$79fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$21,533fec_ies
β€”CFFE PACsupports_independently$46,138fec_ies
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$9,886fec_ies
β€”CFFE PACsupports_independently$56,647fec_ies
β€”FLORIDA FREEDOM PACsupports_independently$4,943fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$915fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$9,577fec_ies
β€”CFFE PACsupports_independently$48,701fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$1,318fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$915fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$14fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$29fec_ies
β€”CFFE PACsupports_independently$28,875fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$786fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$29fec_ies
β€”CFFE PACsupports_independently$38,375fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$3,076fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$1,985fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$201fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$1,259fec_ies
β€”CFFE PACsupports_independently$28,875fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$131fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$140fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$1,861fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$1,551fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$2,776fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$4,000fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$2,785fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$915fec_ies
β€”FOR OUR FUTUREsupports_independently$20fec_ies

Outbound (2)

datetypetoamountrolesource
β€”independent_committee_ofVDUSS PACβ€”candidate_committees
β€”principal_candidate_ofVDUSS PACβ€”candidate_committees

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